A Strong Anticyclone A coming

Archive of NZ Weather & Climate
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.

For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18488
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

A Strong Anticyclone A coming

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

ECMWF have hopes of a a strong anticyclone to move over NZ from middle next week ;)

JohnGaul
NZ Anticyclone Soc
in association with the
NZ Drizzle Society
mikestormchaser
Posts: 2711
Joined: Sat 03/06/2006 20:11
Location: Rolleston, Canterbury
Has thanked: 355 times
Been thanked: 607 times

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

interesting but i wont be here :lol: as im off too aust for a holiday, hopefully i wont miss much while im gone, although i might see a storm or two in QLD alone! anyways i will be back before winter and snow comes witch is great!
Will see you guys back in 9 days! :D

cheers
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
tich
Posts: 3467
Joined: Sat 15/03/2003 18:32
Location: Christchurch (St Albans)/Akaroa
Has thanked: 21 times
Been thanked: 91 times

Unread post by tich »

Drizzle society would've been excited last night - we got a little drizzle in Chch! :roll:
RWood
Posts: 3745
Joined: Sat 24/01/2004 16:56
Location: Wellington
Has thanked: 188 times
Been thanked: 123 times

Unread post by RWood »

Just simply a beautiful crisp morning here, cloudless. :)
RWood
Posts: 3745
Joined: Sat 24/01/2004 16:56
Location: Wellington
Has thanked: 188 times
Been thanked: 123 times

Re: A Strong Anticyclone A coming

Unread post by RWood »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:ECMWF have hopes of a a strong anticyclone to move over NZ from middle next week ;)

JohnGaul
NZ Anticyclone Soc
in association with the
NZ Drizzle Society
Be careful Mr Gaul or we'll post you to coastal Chile to watch for drizzle! :lol:
User avatar
spike_01
Posts: 668
Joined: Thu 25/08/2005 10:06
Location: Wellington
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Unread post by spike_01 »

RWood wrote:Just simply a beautiful crisp morning here, cloudless. :)
Exactly the same here.. 8)
User avatar
Michael
Posts: 7210
Joined: Thu 27/03/2003 12:04
Location: Rainy Manurewa, Auckland - "City of Gales"
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 1 time
Contact:

Unread post by Michael »

About time here too..finally but its because the SW hopefully gone 8)
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18488
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

tich wrote:Drizzle society would've been excited last night - we got a little drizzle in Chch! :roll:
Oh Dear #-o and I missed it, Ben. What a bugger :(
Maybe next week :?: :roll: ;)
JohnGaul
NZTS
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

A rather cooler day today after three days in a row of 20C+ although much enjoyed.
Looks like the thunderheads will be out west tomorrow but another warm to strong gusty NWer :D followed by perhaps some spots of rain in the evening.
I am keeping an eye on this week coming although as models can be up and down all the time i will have to wait and see.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18488
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Yes I think this forthcoming anticyclone is weakoning a little. :D

JohnGaul
NZTS
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Warm day out at the moment currently 18C with a freshining N-NE wind and variable high cloud.
Perhaps some much needed brief overnight rain from the west, looks like tomorrow will be another warm one too :D .
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18488
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

I think this 'rich' anticyclone is now a 'gone-burger' (in the words of Jim Hickey) :D but alas to everyones regret, high pressures seem likely to remain for a while despite the current westerly influence. :(

JohnGaul
NZTS
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Early 20's yesterday and today only dropped to about 13-14C overnight and a strong NWer knocking on the door at 2am this morning, some good gusts inland from what ive heard few branches down etc.
Unfortunatly your right John let the sloth ball of boring weather roll on :lol: , we are heading towards some bad weather perhaps in June or July.
After the weather we have been having latly its got to be a build up to something surly ;) 8) , and yet there is hope at every turn :lol: .
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
User avatar
kiwisk8er
Posts: 332
Joined: Mon 03/04/2006 13:17
Location: Mosgiel, Dunedin 20 m ASL
Has thanked: 24 times
Been thanked: 46 times

Unread post by kiwisk8er »

So when is winter coming???
RWood
Posts: 3745
Joined: Sat 24/01/2004 16:56
Location: Wellington
Has thanked: 188 times
Been thanked: 123 times

Unread post by RWood »

"Surely" Jason - bad weather doesn't have to be bad-tempered! :lol:
User avatar
spike_01
Posts: 668
Joined: Thu 25/08/2005 10:06
Location: Wellington
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Unread post by spike_01 »

Looks more like some rain is on the way... Anticyclone is cancelled... 8)

HEAVY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY ON THE WEST COAST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND, RANGES
OF NELSON,MARLBOROUGH SOUNDS, TARARUA RANGES AND TARANAKI INLAND
TOWARDS THE CENTRAL NORTH ISLAND PLATEAU

MetService expects a low to deepen in the Tasman Sea today and an
active front to bring rain and strong northerlies to most places from
Tuesday night. The front is followed by a disturbed westerly flow
with bands of heavy showers or squally thunderstorms.
90 to 150mm of rain is expected between Doubtful Sound and Lewis Pass,
also in the ranges of Buller and Nelson, including the Richmond range
and the Marlborough Sounds with the heaviest falls near the ranges of
southern Westland.
There will probably be 60 to 100mm in the Tararua Ranges and in the
hilly country from Mt Taranaki extending inland towards the central
North Island plateau.
People in these areas are warned that streams and rivers are likely
to rise quickly.
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

The term bad weather is referred as something better than what we have at the moment Rwood :lol: although i am enjoying the unusually warm days.
Sceintists from NIWA etc predicting a dry winter ahead for farmers you have to feel for them really. What is to say that this theory will happen, no other predictions have gone through properly that ive seen in awhile from them.
Anyway great day for thunder out west tomorrow maybe even the odd funnel 8) .
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
tich
Posts: 3467
Joined: Sat 15/03/2003 18:32
Location: Christchurch (St Albans)/Akaroa
Has thanked: 21 times
Been thanked: 91 times

Unread post by tich »

So when is winter coming???
This weekend according to latest GASP model, but none of the other models are predicting any cold change.
Fujita Phil
Posts: 759
Joined: Wed 03/12/2003 15:44
Location: Dunedin, NZ
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 11 times
Contact:

Unread post by Fujita Phil »

It's May. We always want Winter to arrive but the fact is it's just too warm at this time of year for regular snow events. Lets wait for July to September, a much better time for the white stuff.

A watched pot ( insert "sky") never boils ( insert "dumps a sh*t load of snow")
Last edited by Fujita Phil on Wed 23/05/2007 14:55, edited 1 time in total.
There is no such thing as bad weather, just the wrong clothes.
RWood
Posts: 3745
Joined: Sat 24/01/2004 16:56
Location: Wellington
Has thanked: 188 times
Been thanked: 123 times

Unread post by RWood »

Jasestrm wrote:The term bad weather is referred as something better than what we have at the moment Rwood :lol: although i am enjoying the unusually warm days.
Sceintists from NIWA etc predicting a dry winter ahead for farmers you have to feel for them really. What is to say that this theory will happen, no other predictions have gone through properly that ive seen in awhile from them.
Anyway great day for thunder out west tomorrow maybe even the odd funnel 8) .
Cheers
Jason.
I was referring to the spelling of "surely" Jason ;)
Given the broad nature of the NIWA predictions I can't recall a recent rainfall prediction that was badly off. Last winter's temp. picks were well off the mark. It will get pretty serious in Hawkes Bay if they don't pick up a good easterly "wet" reasonably soon.
User avatar
kiwisk8er
Posts: 332
Joined: Mon 03/04/2006 13:17
Location: Mosgiel, Dunedin 20 m ASL
Has thanked: 24 times
Been thanked: 46 times

Unread post by kiwisk8er »

Yeah I know, I'm just sick of the boring weather thats all. I'm glad its stopped drizzling though.
Fujita Phil wrote:It's May. We always want Winter arrive but the fact is it's just too warm at this time of year for regular snow events. Lets wait for July to September, a much better time for the white stuff.

A watched pot ( insert "sky") never boils ( insert "dumps a sh*t load of snow")
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18488
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Was there any thunderstorms around the North Island today in accordance with the MetService forecasts? Karen didn't mention much about such on the weather on the telly tonight.
MetService lightning detector had most of the activity south of about Greymouth on the West Coast.
SG dectector didn't show up much lightning activity.
Ive been looking westwards from here hoping for a 'flash' but nothing.
Even the AM radio sfericals is quiet :(

JohnGaul
NZTS
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Perhaps two CB's here John on the sattelite for 7pm, kinda look like specticles :lol: rather strange high cloud band offshore south of BP too 8) .
http://satellite.landcareresearch.co.nz/noaa/
Was surprised we got hardly any rain here this morning not even 1mm, so the soils continue to slowly dry up.
Still the warm temps keep on coming each day and another one for tomorrow :D .
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
User avatar
03Stormchaser
Moderator
Posts: 4428
Joined: Tue 09/12/2003 12:11
Location: Prebbleton
Has thanked: 104 times
Been thanked: 184 times
Contact:

Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

John wrote: Ive been looking westwards from here hoping for a 'flash' but nothing.
I think you may have a heart attack if your saw the 'flashes' here John!! ;)
NZ Largest Storm Chasing Facebook Pagehttp://www.facebook.com/nzstormchasers
NZ Largest Storm Chase Community https://www.facebook.com/groups/NZStormchasersGroup
NZ Stormchasers TV https://www.youtube.com/@NZStormchasers
TokWW
Posts: 435
Joined: Wed 02/05/2007 08:27
Location: Parkdale, Tokoroa
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Unread post by TokWW »

kiwisk8er wrote:Yeah I know, I'm just sick of the boring weather thats all. I'm glad its stopped drizzling though.
Still pretty misty and drizzly here in Tokoroa but we are at 330m elevation and have forest moisture all around, sort of micro climate of our own... oh and the Waikato is 10kms away...

Image

It sorta clears up during the day, but there is no wind either so it hangs... :(

<Video camera only has a small centre focal area and it struggles in low light or fog as it hunts in and out to find focus :( >

I rode the racing bike 10kms to work again today, some of it is on the main highway, scary shifting from left shoulder to right turning lane... even with lights flashing front and rear... at least I can see cars following because they have to use the headlights :)

Graeme
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
A Father can have a hobby because he is the Transport, Referee, Manager, Committee Member Dad!!
LaCrosse WS-2308CH, Sharp VideoCam, ULD Lightning Radar
Image
http://www.inmanavenue.com/
Locked