Cold snap June 7th-9th may not be as bad as first thought
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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Cold snap June 7th-9th may not be as bad as first thought
Its seems the models have changed again.
Its not going to be as cold as first though, and the nasty stuff might not be coming through, in the next two weeks.
Seems summer is here for at least two more weeks.
Its like the Opposite of groundhog day or something.
Its not going to be as cold as first though, and the nasty stuff might not be coming through, in the next two weeks.
Seems summer is here for at least two more weeks.
Its like the Opposite of groundhog day or something.
- gllitz
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Re: Cold snap next week may not be as bad as first thought
I think you'll find the models will change back and forth quite a bit this far out...we can keep our fingers crossed (or not, as the case may be)...but I suspect we will see them change again. We won't really know til it happens, obviously, but the fun is in the guesswork involved, for suregopolks wrote:Its seems the models have changed again.
Its not going to be as cold as first though, and the nasty stuff might not be coming through, in the next two weeks.
Seems summer is here for at least two more weeks.
Its like the Opposite of groundhog day or something.
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The latest models for weather coming here Wednesday 6th and Thursday 7th have changed quite a lot today by my reading.GraemeWi wrote:There were about 4 in agreement when I was looking earlier today at work. Hopefully they will swing back as we are really hanging out for some cold!
It seems another massive out of season anti cyclone is doing its thing over Aussie.
I bet though, when it comes to a cricket test in Christchurch it will rain.
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I must be reading it wrong, i check the models around midday today, and it looked like some real bad stuff coming, I checked it around 630pm and they had changed quite a lot, maybe some rain, but I cant see real wintry stuff, but then again, Im probably reading it all wrong.spwill wrote:Looks very wintry from mid next week.
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Certainly looks cold late next week (7 days out... it must be true )
There is no such thing as bad weather, just the wrong clothes.
- Storm Struck
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Although the models are going up and down I still reackon that a significant cold blast will occur, and from what I have now seen looks like from Wednesday-Sunday for a cold outbreak.
Have a look at the latest GFS models.
http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/9panel/g ... l_aus.html
If models can throw out such cold blasts this far out then it must be something significant surly.
Although as Tich has said it will be a more W-SW flow so most of the icy packed stuff will be south of about Timaru, although some may well make it further north.
Cheers
Jason.
Have a look at the latest GFS models.
http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/9panel/g ... l_aus.html
If models can throw out such cold blasts this far out then it must be something significant surly.
Although as Tich has said it will be a more W-SW flow so most of the icy packed stuff will be south of about Timaru, although some may well make it further north.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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I say just wait and see seems too be one of the best awnsers these days, forcasting quite far out can be difficult.
I wouldn't be surprised if the whole thing moves offshore, out too sea with maybe just the southern/eastern parts of the south island getting the flick, with just a few showers in Canterbury, but again we'll see and wait with hope that something awesome happens
I wouldn't be surprised if the whole thing moves offshore, out too sea with maybe just the southern/eastern parts of the south island getting the flick, with just a few showers in Canterbury, but again we'll see and wait with hope that something awesome happens
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
Stormchasers.co.nz
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I think this is an easy one for forecasters. Persistent high pressure south of the Aussie Bight is the red flag for a winter outbreak across NZ.I say just wait and see seems too be one of the best awnsers these days, forcasting quite far out can be difficult
Yes, wintry looking cb's out there.some nice looking CB's around here this morning
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I am not sure what to think on this one...the models have flipped and flopped over the past few days (I have been looking at them quite a bit, too...I was hoping to make a snowman with my kids this year, and sooner rather than later would be great!)
...and now M/S come out with this:
On Friday an even colder surge of cold air is likely to move onto the South Island.
Snow is expected down to sea level in southern South Island areas and to low levels over much of the South Island.
Heavy snowfalls are possible over much of Fiordland, Southland and Otago.
Substantial snowfalls are also possible for Canterbury as a fast moving low moves across the central South Island on Friday.
The weather will not be so cold over the North Island but a period of severe westerly gales and squally showers is possible through the central North Island during Friday.
The GFS model runs up until this morning consistently had 500 heights of below 520 here in CHCH and 850 temps of -8 to -10!! Granted, not a TON of precip, but there was enough...Now the GFS model has flopped back...hmmm...
Looks like Otago and Southland are gonna be in the firing line big time with this one...hope the farmers are prepared for it. I am sure the ski fields are gonna love it! Dunners could have snow to sea level as well! Go FujitaPhil and kiwisk8ter
...and now M/S come out with this:
On Friday an even colder surge of cold air is likely to move onto the South Island.
Snow is expected down to sea level in southern South Island areas and to low levels over much of the South Island.
Heavy snowfalls are possible over much of Fiordland, Southland and Otago.
Substantial snowfalls are also possible for Canterbury as a fast moving low moves across the central South Island on Friday.
The weather will not be so cold over the North Island but a period of severe westerly gales and squally showers is possible through the central North Island during Friday.
The GFS model runs up until this morning consistently had 500 heights of below 520 here in CHCH and 850 temps of -8 to -10!! Granted, not a TON of precip, but there was enough...Now the GFS model has flopped back...hmmm...
Looks like Otago and Southland are gonna be in the firing line big time with this one...hope the farmers are prepared for it. I am sure the ski fields are gonna love it! Dunners could have snow to sea level as well! Go FujitaPhil and kiwisk8ter
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Yay, I'm getting quite excited, well kind of We will probably end up with nothing, but knowing my luck we will get a metre of snow and cancel the ice skating competition I'm organising on Sunday. I'm dying to have an outside ice skating rink in the back yard but its to warm heregllitz wrote: Looks like Otago and Southland are gonna be in the firing line big time with this one...hope the farmers are prepared for it. I am sure the ski fields are gonna love it! Dunners could have snow to sea level as well! Go FujitaPhil and kiwisk8ter