Thats good to hear it's firing up down there again, you might not be able to find your snowman Phil .
I have noticed here in the last hour or so that wind has turned a more southerly quarter but definatly S-SW, I am not sure how much of an effect that will have for us.
I noticed a CB off the coast to the NE this afternoon which was most likly throwing out the visable strikes on the tracker.
How does the snow dance go again? maybe you guys down south know the secret as it seemed to work for you guys .
Cheers
Jason.
I see on CRT there isnt any warnings out on the map, but over on fencepost its covered in warnings!
Im doubting snow will be falling to 200m, the cold 850mb air isnt arriving till mid monday, and 500mb is only sitting around -22c. Another factor is its coming from the SW and in my opinon Sw events doesnt seem to effect the plains nearly as much as a SE. B'sP will get a good dusting.
Yes definite Southerly More so now then yesterday, at the moment its clear sunny skies and hardly any wind! and i can feel frosts coming on tonight.
However apparently there might be a few showers on the east coast tonight with snow too 300m.
Just another wait and see game tonight, sure is cold with tomorrow night/Monday being the focus for Canterbury witch i still believe something will happen, positiveness is the key!
03Stormchaser wrote:I see on CRT there isnt any warnings out on the map, but over on fencepost its covered in warnings!
You must be caching an old image - the map definitely has snow symbols on it.
03Stormchaser wrote:Im doubting snow will be falling to 200m, the cold 850mb air isnt arriving till mid monday, and 500mb is only sitting around -22c. Another factor is its coming from the SW and in my opinon Sw events doesnt seem to effect the plains nearly as much as a SE. B'sP will get a good dusting.
I tend to agree - thats why in our forecast for Monday we're predicting a clearance inland, and only brief light snow showers near the coast. The air is just too dry to produce anything substantial.
Why is that forecast "more realistic" when there dont appear to be any showers near Banks Peninsula today?
Last edited by TonyT on Sat 23/06/2007 16:18, edited 2 times in total.
TonyT wrote:
I tend to agree - thats why we're predicting a clearance inland, and only brief light snow showers near the coast. The air is just too dry to produce anything substantial.
A blustery southwesterly change after dark on Sunday, and more widespread snow showers may develop to 200m on Sunday night
TonyT wrote:
I tend to agree - thats why we're predicting a clearance inland, and only brief light snow showers near the coast. The air is just too dry to produce anything substantial.
A blustery southwesterly change after dark on Sunday, and more widespread snow showers may develop to 200m on Sunday night
The forecast doesnt read that!
I dont see the problem - you're reading into the words a meaning which is not there. The word "may" is there for a reason, as is the word "showers". The forecast for Monday indicates a clearance inland, and further showers near the coast. Thats how it looked based on this morning's data, and has for several days. It may change when we update it soon based on the 0Z run.
Edit - I just checked the 0Z data, and I think we'll scrub the Sunday night change, but stick with the forecast for Monday.
Edit2 - 5.22pm, web site forecasts now updated
Last edited by TonyT on Sat 23/06/2007 17:22, edited 2 times in total.
Went up to Victoria Park this afternoon - looks pretty clear towards west, eg Mt Hutt, but more cloud spreading east in North Canterbury mountains. Afternoon sunlight prevented me seeing how much or how low the snow is.
that front that gave snow to the SI west coast could give snow to Taihape, or at least hills higher, and more so the central NI mountains, as it goes through in the next hour or so ?
tornadoman18 wrote:Yes definite Southerly More so now then yesterday, at the moment its clear sunny skies and hardly any wind! and i can feel frosts coming on tonight.
However apparently there might be a few showers on the east coast tonight with snow too 300m.
Just another wait and see game tonight, sure is cold with tomorrow night/Monday being the focus for Canterbury witch i still believe something will happen, positiveness is the key!
Ive already started my snow dance, and am praying to the snow demons.
tornadoman18 wrote:Yes definite Southerly More so now then yesterday, at the moment its clear sunny skies and hardly any wind! and i can feel frosts coming on tonight.
However apparently there might be a few showers on the east coast tonight with snow too 300m.
Just another wait and see game tonight, sure is cold with tomorrow night/Monday being the focus for Canterbury witch i still believe something will happen, positiveness is the key!
Ive already started my snow dance, and am praying to the snow demons.
good luck, may the luck be on your side or shell i say our side?
would be interesting if it snowed here but this 13c max and showers and SW boring garbage stuff
Max was more than 13C and a min of 12C on the shortest day, most people would be very happy with that.
Snow in Dunedin is great because it usually means thunder in Auckland
Interesting to see the snow in Reefton on TV1 news. The elevation is 200m so perhaps not that an extreme event.
An interesting polar event considering how widespread the snow has been and thunderstorms in the west of the North Island as well.
NZstorm wrote:Interesting to see the snow in Reefton on TV1 news. The elevation is 200m so perhaps not that an extreme event.
An interesting polar event considering how widespread the snow has been and thunderstorms in the west of the North Island as well.
Satellite shows the air rapidly stabilising in the southern oceans.
wow, 37kts is a great speed for inland there in Hamilton...looks like you got that in a good squall as that front (whats left of it this far north) passed through Foggy?
Check out the exposed west coast here: http://www.weather-display.com/windy/otherdat.htm
averaging 35kts (full on gale) all day long
Some stronger gusts coming through tonight.. gusts to 37 knots.
So Im guessing that means fine mild weather ?
For Chch.. looks like warmer northwesterlies will develop briefly after a very frosty start tomorrow.. i'd be tipping -4°C.
Otago's on a roll!!! Great pics.
of course its huge! this is how big its going too be when us Canterbury people get our big snow fall this year!
Was there a big thread like this last year when Canterbury got the big fall?
You just have to go look through the archives on the index page, Mikey....
Starting to look somewhat promising for some of the white stuff here in CHCH for tomorrow (not as much as down south, for sure) We may see some, but I doubt it will accumulate to much at all...could be pretty to watch!
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