Low early week

[NZstorm]

Looks like a shallow low pressure system will cross the upper North island early week.
Upper air is quite cold so rainfall in this system will be enhanced by convection although the air doesn't look overly moist.
Looks like Gisborne/Hawkes Bay may see the worst from this system on Tuesday with a strong rainy onshore E/SE flow.

[spwill]

I'm in the Bay of Islands, light rain here with the odd brief heavy shower moving through.

[Gary Roberts]

Do other countries have winters like ours? One week during the entire season when you'll get some cold temperatures, a little snow, some action weather in the North and then basically it's all over?

Just curious.

[Manukau heads obs]

what do you mean all over?

[Gary Roberts]

what do you mean all over?

Well I mean that the action weather seems to be confined to a very brief period (a couple of weeks or less) then it's a gentle stroll into spring. (With the odd short detour into a day or so of light snow or a nice little storm.)

We certainly don't get all-winter winters like many other countries.

[Manukau heads obs]

but August is traditionaly the snowiest month
also its only half way through winter (15th July) so dont know why you are talking about spring already

[Gary Roberts]

but August is traditionaly the snowiest month

Perhaps that's true up north. It's not down here.

also its only half way through winter (15th July) so dont know why you are talking about spring already

Well because it seems as if the worst is behind us. The winters of 2004, 2005 and 2006 were also like this: the worst was early in winter (2004 & 2005 barely even had a "worst") with the rest of the season being very uneventful.

Maybe that's just down here though.

[Manukau heads obs]

depends on what you call winter
if you mean cold night time temperatures due to large slow moving highs with little wind, then ,yes, the SI tends to get those earlier in winter

but if you mean windy squally weather (e.g NI winter) then the worst is still to come

[Gary Roberts]

depends on what you call winter

I guess I mean actual (interesting) winter events versus the more general definition of winter.

The South Island action weather has been and gone and there wasn't a lot of it.

Shorter days and lower temperatures just don't do it for me!

[Manukau heads obs]

The South Island action weather has been and gone and there wasn't a lot of it.

how do you know there is not going to be more action for the SI in August?
what are you basing your prediction on?

[Lawrence]

Do other countries have winters like ours? One week during the entire season when you'll get some cold temperatures, a little snow, some action weather in the North and then basically it's all over?

Just curious.

The U.K. can have boring rainy winters, it's not until January that things get really exciting, usally with some good anticyclones that are really deep, then in February and March we can get some good dumpings of snow ,but these are usually down the East coast straight from the arctic.Fogs and hoar frosts are the best, they have to be seen to be be appricated.April is just mainly wet but we can get some brilliant tempratures when we get a warm southerly wind coming up from Morroco

[Storm Struck]

Yeh although the last few winters in the UK have been interesting from I have heard with big rainfalls high winds and some good snow storms. Of course summer can be great for thunderstorms too especailly the good old electrical storms, just look storms up on you tube and alot of the good lightning ones are from the UK.
Your right Gary considering you have atleast had some dumpings of snow already this winter which means all the more for us now .
Cheers
Jason.

[spwill]

UK has a very interesting climate however poor visibilities often make the UK a very poor place for weather watching esp in summer.

[NZstorm]

Yes, UK can have interesting weather but it is not in the same league as the USA, that's the country to live in if you want to see some interesting weather!

This low system moving onto the North Island should give some good snow to Ruapehu ski areas next few days.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Yes, UK can have interesting weather but it is not in the same league as the USA, that's the country to live in if you want to see some interesting weather!

Yes, my brother has moved to Dexter in Missouri. It's at the NE end of 'tornado alley'.
Yes, the weather may be interesting there but I would rather live in NZ, well here in Canterbury and face the boring weather we continually get here, sorry


JohnGaul
NZTS

[Gary Roberts]

how do you know there is not going to be more action for the SI in August?

I don't know, but experience suggests that we've had our fun.

what are you basing your prediction on?

See above.

[Manukau heads obs]

so then maybe you should say in your statement, for my local area, otherwise it sounded like a blanket statement for NZ

[Lawrence]

Must admit I would love to see some of the storms they get in the U.S. but i don't mind boring weather too,I like the unpredictable nature of weather and if its exciting but not too vicious its a bonus,I would'nt like too lose my house to it but I don't mind things coming to a bit of a stand still and the ensuing chaos it causes to the running of a country, it's just a man against nature thing if you know what I mean? I know not a lot of Farmers would agree with my thoughts ,especially if they lose stock and crops and I do feel for them when that happens but I think as time will tell, things will get better in the prediction of weather pattens and in avoiding some of the bad things the weather throws at us.

[Lawrence]

This could be Interesting

[03Stormchaser]

Im up Hamner way this weekend, could snow over the sat night into sunday!

After a quick look at the models im pretty sure it will snow.

[Gary Roberts]

so then maybe you should say in your statement, for my local area, otherwise it sounded like a blanket statement for NZ

Winter Action Weather for the whole of New Zealand is generally confined to very short periods in my opinion.

[Razor]

Im up Hamner way this weekend, could snow over the sat night into sunday!

After a quick look at the models im pretty sure it will snow.

Its not going to happen going by lastest looks... The 6am Metvuw run shows a big fat high in the central tasman as a much more dominant feature for the weekend than before and any southerly flow will only be a weak one one.

Expect fine frosty weather in Hanmer at this stage

[gopolks]

Im up Hamner way this weekend, could snow over the sat night into sunday!

After a quick look at the models im pretty sure it will snow.

Its not going to happen going by lastest looks... The 6am Metvuw run shows a big fat high in the central tasman as a much more dominant feature for the weekend than before and any southerly flow will only be a weak one one.

Expect fine frosty weather in Hanmer at this stage

Im guessing that includes CHCH as well as Hamner.

[gopolks]

Lastest metvuw map, im guessing cool and cloudy for chch.


http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast ... si&tim=132

[Lawrence]

Certainly might get a wee bit cold https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... =ngp_ausnz