Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
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Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
I think this looming system deserves a new thread. Metvuw appears to be getting in line with the Metservice now, significant poor weather looking more and more likely for the upper north of the North Island and the eastern side of the South.
The question is could this bring advective snow conditions?
In the meantime the early spring continues in ChCh, it was warmer here yesterday than it was in Rarotonga!
The question is could this bring advective snow conditions?
In the meantime the early spring continues in ChCh, it was warmer here yesterday than it was in Rarotonga!
Last edited by Razor on Fri 27/07/2007 10:19, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Question
Auckland dewpoints are currently 12C so good moisture already for this incomming system.
could this bring advective snow conditions?
Answer
In the meantime the early spring continues in ChCh, it was warmer here yesterday than it was in Rarotonga
Would need the cold air to the south to feed in , Mt Hutt could get a good fall.!
Auckland dewpoints are currently 12C so good moisture already for this incomming system.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
I can't see it happening....just WAY too warm...Razor wrote:
The question is could this bring advective snow conditions?
Of course, that's what a lot of people were saying on June 11th, 2006 as well....
(...but I still don't see it happening...just LOTS of rain...I sure hope the local councils, gov't officials, etc. have been paying attention to the forecasting....)
"Saru mo ki kara ochiru"
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
All snow warnings/ snow forcasts have been dropped by the metservice , its now heavy warm rain for most of the country.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Gasp!gopolks wrote:All snow warnings/ snow forcasts have been dropped by the metservice , its now heavy warm rain for most of the country.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
hehehehe, thats a shock, it still going to be quite nice temp wise, while the rain is falling, so Im guessing thew wind will be NE and not SE like some are predicting.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Now looks like (according to MetService) that much of the SI rain will be from South Canterbury southwards. Chch might get some heavy stuff on Sunday night, but should just have showers from Monday. That's if the low moves where it's forecast to. No mention of snow in latest long-range, but still could easily fall on the high country, just probably not to low levels.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Looks to be some thunderstorm potential in the north with this front due to advection of low level moisture.
Just as a side comment, currently scattered T/cu and showers around Auckland due to afternoon convection!
Just as a side comment, currently scattered T/cu and showers around Auckland due to afternoon convection!
Last edited by NZstorm on Fri 27/07/2007 14:24, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Temp is now past 20 in chch.
20.2°C Warmer 1.4°C than last hour.
Heat Index 25.1°C
Wind Chill 20.2°C
Humidity: 39 %
Dewpoint: 5.8°C
Wind Speed: Calm Wind fromNNE
Gust Speed: 1.9 km/h
Gust Last Hour: 4.8 kmh NNE
Barometer: 1012.4 hPaFalling 1.40 hPa/hour.
Today's Rain: 0.0 mm
Days with no rain: 5 days
Sunshine Today: 03:49
Time of Last Lightning: 14:13:22 2007/07/27
Last strike recorded: 270 KM @ 264°
20.2°C Warmer 1.4°C than last hour.
Heat Index 25.1°C
Wind Chill 20.2°C
Humidity: 39 %
Dewpoint: 5.8°C
Wind Speed: Calm Wind fromNNE
Gust Speed: 1.9 km/h
Gust Last Hour: 4.8 kmh NNE
Barometer: 1012.4 hPaFalling 1.40 hPa/hour.
Today's Rain: 0.0 mm
Days with no rain: 5 days
Sunshine Today: 03:49
Time of Last Lightning: 14:13:22 2007/07/27
Last strike recorded: 270 KM @ 264°
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
For the 3rd day in a row by my counting. This will be skewing the figures for what was till last week looking like a cool to cold monthgopolks wrote:Temp is now past 20 in chch.
20.2°C Warmer 1.4°C than last hour.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
The Low has started to form off the coast of Brisbane...looks to be starting to have a wee bit of rotation already.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Will this change the predictions?gllitz wrote:The Low has started to form off the coast of Brisbane...looks to be starting to have a wee bit of rotation already.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
I had a bomb once. It coughed and spluttered and usually failed to start in the mornings. The damn thing used to leave oil and brake fluid stains on the driveway and little piles of rust wherever it lurched. Then it just gave up the ghost and died by the road side. After that it probably faded from view amongst the weeds until some council contractor hauled it away to be crushed.James wrote:Looking like, dare I say it, bomb material
Pretty sure the same will happen with this coming "bomb". There'll be a goodly amount of fizzing along with it too. Unless you live up north in which case you can expect lots more rain and high humidity levels. As usual.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Uhm, why WOULD it?gopolks wrote: Will this change the predictions?
It's forming where it's been predicted to....it's the path of the storm and its intensification which matters....
"Saru mo ki kara ochiru"
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Nah we wont get any snow out of this depression either gopolks, pack your snow boots away untill next time
Beaut day here in Christchurch little wind again, and warm temps.
Like John says spring will be interesting they way its going down here to
Beaut day here in Christchurch little wind again, and warm temps.
Like John says spring will be interesting they way its going down here to
Mike
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Do'htornadoman18 wrote: Nah we wont get any snow out of this depression either gopolks, pack your snow boots away untill next time
Beaut day here in Christchurch little wind again, and warm temps.
Like John says spring will be interesting they way its going down here to
But yeah its been warm today, early 20's I would say.
Hopefully we will have a nice hot summer!
I still think we will get one winter blast at least.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Close to bomb status - 0Z LAPS has the central pressure at 1002 midday Saturday down to 985 midday Sunday. Should look good on the sattelite images.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Do'h
But yeah its been warm today, early 20's I would say.
Hopefully we will have a nice hot summer!
I still think we will get one winter blast at least.[/quote]
but again i hope i would be wrong as you know so if im wrong ill be happier then what i would be if im right
If this was too come on Sunday let say and there was a cold front lining up that collided with this depression it would give a huge amount of snow wouldn't it? even though im talking fantasy stuff right now.
But yeah its been warm today, early 20's I would say.
Hopefully we will have a nice hot summer!
I still think we will get one winter blast at least.[/quote]
but again i hope i would be wrong as you know so if im wrong ill be happier then what i would be if im right
If this was too come on Sunday let say and there was a cold front lining up that collided with this depression it would give a huge amount of snow wouldn't it? even though im talking fantasy stuff right now.
Mike
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Man roo]ll on summer, just out with a mate, having a couple of drinks, tstill nice and warm, its like a summers day out there, its got that end of summer feel to it.
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
Yes another warm day today much enjoyed by many I would imagine except for the skiers.
We are getting closer now to this event and at this stage some good heavy rain overnight Sunday and into early Monday could be likly along with Easterly gales.
Not sure about snow as these lows tend to surprise us sometimes, but even looking at Wednesday as that second low crosses to 983hp going by MSLP could be some strong winds again with another few surprises in the mix under a colder S-SW flow.
Yes perhaps a warm one this summer with an eventful late November-early January storm season roll on the thunder days especailly if the seas stay warm.
Cheers
Jason.
We are getting closer now to this event and at this stage some good heavy rain overnight Sunday and into early Monday could be likly along with Easterly gales.
Not sure about snow as these lows tend to surprise us sometimes, but even looking at Wednesday as that second low crosses to 983hp going by MSLP could be some strong winds again with another few surprises in the mix under a colder S-SW flow.
Yes perhaps a warm one this summer with an eventful late November-early January storm season roll on the thunder days especailly if the seas stay warm.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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Re: Depression Sunday 29th July onwards
What's the latest for CHCH?
I see some sites are saying my predictions now, just light rain.
I guess the North Island is going to be hit bad though.
I see some sites are saying my predictions now, just light rain.
I guess the North Island is going to be hit bad though.