Spring Westerlies (was Huge Trough)

[RWood]

Yes I remember the last 6 Octobers its been wet here and Cold

I don't think you do. On checking those Octobers:

2001 - warmest on record, rainfall near normal.
2002 - very cold, but sunniest on record, rain 20% below normal
2003 - slightly cooler, rain 20% above normal
2004 - temps average, rainfall average
2005 - rainfall 100% up, but temps up 0.7C
2006 - temps near average, rainfall 100% up

[spwill]

but how the average minimum be 11.3C for October? I'd expect that in November

November is 13.2C but these numbers are for the City, will lower as you move away from the water.

[David]

unfortunately I do not yet have long term records for here but here are some for past two years:
2005 - Oct average minimum 10.4C, Nov average minimum 10.4C
2006 - Oct average minimum 9.5C, Nov average minimum 11.6C

And as RWood helpfully pointed out the last two Octobers have been near average to above average.
This surely must mean that it obviously is colder at night here overall.

Still, doesn't stop the summer nights with minimums of 18-21C occuring - something to not look forward to.

[Michael]

Yes I remember the last 6 Octobers its been wet here and Cold

I don't think you do. On checking those Octobers:

2001 - warmest on record, rainfall near normal. 157.2mm fell above average
2002 - very cold, but sunniest on record, rain 20% below normal here 87mm mean 78
2003 - slightly cooler, rain 20% above normal here 118mm mean 81mm
2004 - temps average, rainfall average here 113mm total fell. On the 27th oct said 1mm or more fell on 16 of 26 days.
2005 - rainfall 100% up, but temps up 0.7C 180mm fell here in 05 Mean 81mm
2006 - temps near average, rainfall 100% up 157mm Again well higher than 81mm average

perhaps in Wellington but not here.

[David]

Looking like possible thunderstorms this afternoon, evening and tonight and also for these periods tomorrow as well
Possibly strong wind gusts and small hail.

[RWood]

Michael - those numbers I quoted were from a well-established Auckland site.

[gllitz]

Looking like possible thunderstorms this afternoon, evening and tonight and also for these periods tomorrow as well
Possibly strong wind gusts and small hail.

You're darn tootin' - a very impressive T'Storm page from the M/S indeed....perhaps should be the topic of another thread?

[Inny Binny]

Even a risk for Canterbury/Otago tomorrow afternoon.

Another thread, yes.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Looks as though the spring westerlies will return later next week, even though not as punctuous as the last couple of days

JohnGaul
NZTS

[Michael]

Models look scummy after the weekend with Pure SW flows over the NI,hopefully they will change

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

More spring westerlies coming this coming week, with some thunder here in Canterbury on tuesday

JohnGaul
NZTS