Thunderstorms 1st-3rd October

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jamie
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Thunderstorms 1st-3rd October

Unread post by jamie »

Looking like it is unsatble over much of the country today and tomorrow. Metservice has most of the country as getting some form of a thunderstorm.
Hopefully there is a craker of a thunderstorm in auckland.

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David
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by David »

The fronts set to cross the N island are looking to be very active.
j--me--h wrote:Hopefully there is a cracker of a thunderstorm in auckland.
Yes that would be nice wouldn't it? Last year October was ushered in by heavy thunderstorms during the first days in Auckland, with some central locations apparently receiving 110mm. I had 46mm. Looks to be another thundery start to mark the month (hopefully).
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by Inny Binny »

A nice chance of thunder in Chch as well...and maybe a bit of moderate hail as well. :D
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by David »

That's tomorrow for Christchurch and Canterbury - maybe something will actually happen down there this time?
Would be great to get another night time thunderstorm here - most thunder and lightning seems to happen during the daytime since I've been observing :-k
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by Inny Binny »

Auckland radar's gone down AGAIN so I can't see anything that is happening up there. :(
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by Michael »

Its just fair with a fresh WNW and 18°
Inny Binny wrote:Auckland radar's gone down AGAIN so I can't see anything that is happening up there. :(
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by David »

Inny Binny wrote:Auckland radar's gone down AGAIN so I can't see anything that is happening up there. :(
It's worse when you actually live up here and are waiting...the only clues you get is if the rain has reached the west coast yet or when the skies start dimming.

Looking at this site on the Wellington coastline:
http://joker.41south.net.nz/weather/weather.htm
shows average wind speeds of 70kmh and gusts to 112kmh :shock:

Rural forecasts for northern areas also say winds rise to gale this afternoon with possible gusts to 110kmh. Not all that strong here at the moment - I'd say gusts to 40kmh.

Also I'll add that the event of heavy rainfall on the west coast has already dumped 156mm on the Arthur's pass station.
Last edited by David on Mon 01/10/2007 13:20, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by spwill »

Some thundery Cb's out to sea NW of Auckland and over the hills just north of Dunedin.


edit -TStorm heading for North Auckland
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by spwill »

Thunderstorm moving through the Kaipara area now.
looks like a weak storm near the Auckland West Coast, overcast here now.
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by C-Nimbus »

Ricky's tracker is going nuts at the mo, looks like sumthing is nearby.

Very dark to the NW now, and anvils could be seen about 20 mins ago :mrgreen:
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by spwill »

Yes , storms are brewing to our NW

Just heard some distant Thunder
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by David »

starting to rain, dark, much lightning on storm tracker, 300+ strikes in last half hour :shock:
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by jamie »

YES!!!! im happy. hearing rumbles becoming more and more frequent and skies are turing dark
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by spwill »

Just observed Lightning through NW sky
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by Inny Binny »

Updated Thunderstorm forecast for Auckland:

Severe Convection/ Thunderstorm Outlook

Valid to: 12:00 am 2 Oct 2007 NZDT
Issued at: 2:06 pm 1 Oct 2007 NZDT

A frontal band is moving over the South Island, and ahead of it, another frontal band in the Tasman Sea should move onto the North Island this afternoon. Both these systems should lie east of New Zealand tonight. These fronts bring a moderate risk of thunderstorms to western parts of the country, also Bay of Plenty.

Another frontal band with embedded thunderstorms is moving onto northern New Zealand from the Tasman Sea. There is a high risk of thunderstorms with this feature this afternoon and evening about Northland, Auckland and Waikato and Coromandel Peninsula, and there could be localised heavy falls of 10 to 25mm per hour.

There is a low risk of thunderstorms about the southwest of the North Island and the Marlborough Sounds.

Some localised heavy rainfalls up to 25mm per hour are expected along the South Island West Coast, easing behind the front. In the North Island, localised wind gusts up to 110 km/h are expected with thunderstorms as the fronts pass over.

No thunderstorms are expected in the east.


Wow, just got 43 hits on the lightning tracker in a minute.
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by jamie »

Wow i cant get over how many lightning strikes are comming out of this.. havent seen any strikes..no just saw the first one as t typed.
Would love to see this on radar damn it :x
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by spwill »

Bulk of the storm activity is north of the city.
Occasional thunder here and the odd overhead lightning flash, mod rain.
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by jamie »

What is the general ruling on lightning with time and distance? eg how many seconds between the stike and noise to be 1 killometer away
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by C-Nimbus »

For once its great to be an Aucklander :oops:

Good stuff this, heaps of lightning and rumbles! :mrgreen:
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by C-Nimbus »

j--me--h wrote:What is the general ruling on lightning with time and distance? eg how many seconds between the stike and noise to be 1 killometer away
I have heard that if you can hear the thunder then the strike is less than 10 km away, and i also think that the old one second, two second, three second thing is a load of rubbish as air density will change etc etc.

Therefore i stick with the 10km rule
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by Michael »

It appears to the east now,been about 10 peels now ;)
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by RODALCO »

We have some very heavy rain on and off over the last hour here in Albany, at our Bush road depot.
Occasionally some good lighting and some thunder.

RF.
Who put the LED's on the lightning arrestor ?
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by David »

Absolutely torrential here :D
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by jamie »

looking very black towards the N NE now
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Re: Unstable conditions over next few days

Unread post by spwill »

Storm has moved away to the east, there is a 2nd storm out to sea to the NW.
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