Unstable from 8th Nov
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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Unstable from 8th Nov
Just looking at a few things could be buildups inland from the Thursday (8th) through to Sunday (11th) in inland areas of both the North and South Island, producind isolated showers and one hopes a few thunderstorms but we'll see. A better sign of things warming up.
I've seen more suttle little signs of possible instability so far this year or what seems like it so far then I did in the lead up to last season, hopefully this means a more eventfull storm season.
Cheers
Aaron
I've seen more suttle little signs of possible instability so far this year or what seems like it so far then I did in the lead up to last season, hopefully this means a more eventfull storm season.
Cheers
Aaron
- tgsnoopy
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Nooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
That's not fair, my ex flies in Thursday Night, we have her brothers wedding on Saturday and she flies out Monday.
Not fair, it'll stuff the equivalent of a family wedding and I can't chase it due to the circumstances
That's not fair, my ex flies in Thursday Night, we have her brothers wedding on Saturday and she flies out Monday.
Not fair, it'll stuff the equivalent of a family wedding and I can't chase it due to the circumstances
- Storm Struck
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Yes this can always be an interesting situation having the inland heat convective showers, a sight often seen in the summer months .
Depends how far east they spread I surpose, still will be good for a wee chase inland perhaps .
The weekend looks to have abit more ommph for the odd Zapp of lightning here and there.
Cheers
Jason.
Depends how far east they spread I surpose, still will be good for a wee chase inland perhaps .
The weekend looks to have abit more ommph for the odd Zapp of lightning here and there.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
- Storm Struck
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
A few CU towers went up this afernoon not just inland but overhead closer to the coast.
Tomorrow could be interesting could be a few thundery showers about, and then inland from Friday-Sunday as Aaron mentions.
Cheers
Jason.
Tomorrow could be interesting could be a few thundery showers about, and then inland from Friday-Sunday as Aaron mentions.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
yea i think we should get a few thunderstorms thats for sure. On Monday CAPE vaules are put at up to 750 over most of the north island and similar for Sunday too. And im on holiday now too
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Yeh i see there were some CU that went up this afternoon, had to think about those showers inland but yeah certainly more to the coast thats for sure!
We shell see on Friday afternoon if any big beefy showers go up! be nice because ill be working out in the heart of it
We shell see on Friday afternoon if any big beefy showers go up! be nice because ill be working out in the heart of it
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
Stormchasers.co.nz
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Interesting day here with totally blue dome day skies starting off this morning leading to a wavy Kelvin-Helmholtz form of stratocumulus building to the north in the latter part of the afternoon.
I took some photos but they didn't come out any good, well to show the wavyness of the clouds.
Some castellatus forms and Cu builds this afternoon but clear to the south.
JohnGaul
NZTS
I took some photos but they didn't come out any good, well to show the wavyness of the clouds.
Some castellatus forms and Cu builds this afternoon but clear to the south.
JohnGaul
NZTS
JohnGaul
NZThS
NZThS
- Storm Struck
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Nothing much came of today just a few spits of rain and a breif flick to the Southerly direction .
Wasnt enough heating beforehand too much cloud cover.
I am pleased to say that any other chances are now diminished for the weekend, and we can look forward to more sunshine and less rain.
Bring on December .
Cheers
Jason.
Wasnt enough heating beforehand too much cloud cover.
I am pleased to say that any other chances are now diminished for the weekend, and we can look forward to more sunshine and less rain.
Bring on December .
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Some large cbs seen through the lower cloud around 4pm up inland behind mt grey, at a gess i would say it was fine inland with plenty of heating
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Yes, we detected one cloud to cloud discharge in north Canterbury towards the high terrain. Radar cross section showed one cell had precipitation to 6 or 7 kilometres briefly.melja wrote:Some large cbs seen through the lower cloud around 4pm up inland behind mt grey, at a gess i would say it was fine inland with plenty of heating
Paul
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
I see a risk of some heavy showers about this afternoon. The convergence mentioned on the weather on TV1 last night doesn't appear to have happened, well not yet anyway. Whenever there is convergence usually there will always be an E or NE breeze here and right now is WSW. Its swung NE at Eastern Beach a few kms away though. Hopefully convergence will happen here
Cumulus popping up now albeit small development, they have come up a bit in the last hour - a good sign.
Cumulus popping up now albeit small development, they have come up a bit in the last hour - a good sign.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
You can have it,have the washing out
David wrote:I see a risk of some heavy showers about this afternoon. The convergence mentioned on the weather on TV1 last night doesn't appear to have happened, well not yet anyway. Whenever there is convergence usually there will always be an E or NE breeze here and right now is WSW. Its swung NE at Eastern Beach a few kms away though. Hopefully convergence will happen here
Cumulus popping up now albeit small development, they have come up a bit in the last hour - a good sign.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Looks to be a convergence line forming to the far east of auckland.
I have been out in the sun watching the clouds and have noticed that the clouds are extreemly turbulant at low levels. I was thinking it might just be the convection working but it seems more vigerous than normal . Anyone care to tell me why it looks more vigerous than other days.
I have been out in the sun watching the clouds and have noticed that the clouds are extreemly turbulant at low levels. I was thinking it might just be the convection working but it seems more vigerous than normal . Anyone care to tell me why it looks more vigerous than other days.
- David
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
A NE wind in the east now, and there is a SW in the west. So they were right about the convergence. We're getting some good ground heating too, if only the atmosphere were much more unstable.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Some unforecast cloudiness here today, with a bit of drizzle an hour ago. Brightening now, but any sun probbaly won't appear before about 4pm, if at all. Does anyone have the MTD sun figures form the Herald? Dompost has them screwed up.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
It says 48.5hrs so far this November and the latest 24hr reading for wellington was for Thursday, so I think they mean 48.5hrs to the end of Thursday.RWood wrote:Does anyone have the MTD sun figures form the Herald?
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Thanks - my paper also said that to end of Wed, so something is a bit confused. Thursday was very sunny.
- NZstorm
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Some cold air upstairs (Auckland -23.1C at 500mb today) but the lower atmosphere is very stable.
Maybe an Isolated cb over the inland central ranges as Met Service have predicted.
Maybe an Isolated cb over the inland central ranges as Met Service have predicted.
- Willoughby
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Thunderstorms tomorrow, guys? Dewpoints looking a bit better tomorrow too, up to 12C around the Auckland area with those converging sea breezes during the afternoon.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
More moisture today, dewpoints around 12C currently 19C.
Small towering Cu and a couple of shower clouds just north of Auckland.
Small towering Cu and a couple of shower clouds just north of Auckland.
- NZstorm
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
The easterly has bought in slightly warmer moist air at the lower levels which is making skies a bit more unstable looking today. But the Auckland 1200Z sounding shows a warm nose around the 3000m level which will act as a very good cap to larger cb development. Will see what the midday sounding shows but I expect the cap to still be there.