High Pressure to dominate mid November

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spwill
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by spwill »

The Canterbury Cb clouds on this afternoons sat pic are just orographic high cloud.
Could see the real deal ( high top Cb clouds) on thursday. ;)


Gusty SW has developed here but a nice day.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

you were spot on foggy about the waikato heat low giving auckland a strong SWer
been up to 31 kts here today
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spwill
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by spwill »

you were spot on foggy about the waikato heat low giving auckland a strong SWer
been up to 31 kts here today
A fresh to strong SW at this time of the year makes for a warm day on the City and NorthShore beaches as it keeps the NE sea breeze out and prevents the sea breeze convergence line from forming over the isthmus.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Inny Binny »

Southerly change just kicked in, quite cool now in comparison, but that wind sure picked up.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by tich »

Southerly change just kicked in, quite cool now in comparison, but that wind sure picked up.
Yeah it cooled temps by about 10C on car thermometer, down from 29C to 19C in about 1/4 hour. I saw a water equivalent of a dust devil on Lake Forsyth about 4.30pm soon after the southerly hit.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Storm Struck »

SW change been and gone now and around to the light NE, also down from 29C to 20C currently.
Looks to be a few thunder chances this week coming here's hoping 8-[ .
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

Yes been very hot today that fern NW pushed the highs up fo sure! cooled down abit now as its still S here in chch but still warmish id say around 20C much warmer inside though!
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Inny Binny »

Dropped 15 degrees to 15 in 2 hours actually, still dropping...

Yeah, there might be a few thunder chances this week, so we'll just wait and see.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by janewaystv »

RWood wrote:I'll warrant you won't find a record of 35.1C anywhere in NZ in the NIWA records. I can recall 92.8F for Ashburton in Nov. 1958, and I think there's a similar value been recorded at Hastings, possibly 1949.
33.9oC on the 30th in NW conditions. Christchurch recorded 31.4oC on the 22nd of 1958.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Willoughby »

Today's 28C in Tauranga must be close to a November record as well?

It was kinda strange to see the dewpoint get to 17C - normally associated with low cloud.. but at that time the sky was mostly clear. :-k

Certainly more high temperatures tomorrow.. but rather aimed at the upper NI this time.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by David »

Foggy wrote:Certainly more high temperatures tomorrow.. but rather aimed at the upper NI this time.
MS have only 21C for Auckland tomorrow, maybe after seeing todays temperatures Foggy is more accurate than MS?
The forecast is still for fresh southwesterlies tomorrow - its very gusty out there at the moment, there's been no let-up since late afternoon, still gusting 50km/h.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by tgsnoopy »

Foggy wrote:Today's 28C in Tauranga must be close to a November record as well?
I seem to recall very high temperatures in Nov or Dec 95. It was pretty warm today, but I think it was higher back then.

I'd rather there was cold air up there and instability giving us some action.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

tgsnoopy wrote:
I'd rather there was cold air up there and instability giving us some action.
I AGREE :x

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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Willoughby »

Patience is a virtue. ;)
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by RWood »

Anyone have the Herald month-to-date sunshine numbers? W'gton must be up to at least 195 to end-Saturday.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by spwill »

Anyone have the Herald month-to-date sunshine numbers? W'gton must be up to at least 195 to end-Saturday.
For Wellington- 8.5 hrs on Sat, 190.9 to date for Nov, the ave Nov sun to date is 164. Chch is well ahead of it's average as well. I see Auckland is below it's average to date, we had a very poor start to the month but good weather now.

Sunny 20C, fresh SW with a dewpoint of 13C.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by RWood »

Thanks. :) Auckland was ahead of W'gton & Ch'ch in 2005 & 2006 but at the moment it looks like W'gton 1, Ch'ch 2 and Auck. 3 for 2007.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by melja »

why do metsevice have a forcast out for canterbury for rain and then heavy showers on tue and then on the other hand there met rural rain forcast says it ant gona rain for the next 4 days, i know its a model forcast but just seems strange to have two contradicting forcasts on our main weather site that we are paying for to give us important info on weather ](*,)
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Day 10 of sunshine and no rain in a row now :) , hopefully some decent rain soon enough.
A few showers ahead later on tomorrow but nothing thundery I wouldnt think.
Thursday could be interesting though :-k .
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Jason.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Inny Binny »

Because they update them at different times.

Look now, it's updated to match. ;)
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by melja »

no they arnt [-X go to the rural part and click on canterbury, read the forcast then look at the rainfall chart to the right- no rain there, then click on the rain tab at the top and then play the rain forcast chart thing for the next 3 days-no rain there ](*,) we are paying them to make contradicting forcasts :shock: just seems odd.
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NZstorm
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by NZstorm »

A few showers ahead later on tomorrow but nothing thundery I wouldnt think.
polar outbreak/steep lapse rates over the South Island next 24hrs suggest atleast a low thunderstorm risk.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Inny Binny »

Oh you're talking about the graph, yeah that is sometimes contradictory, I find that a little silly, but oh well.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by Lawrence »

melja wrote:no they arnt [-X go to the rural part and click on canterbury, read the forcast then look at the rainfall chart to the right- no rain there, then click on the rain tab at the top and then play the rain forcast chart thing for the next 3 days-no rain there ](*,) we are paying them to make contradicting forcasts :shock: just seems odd.
Yes,I find that confusing sometimes, like they lump one weather type for the whole of Canty, :roll: even the forcast on Radio National is the same and they never tell you what the expected temprature is going to be.They say somthing like "and for Canterbury ,fine with a few showers later in the afternoon"when you know darn well it's going to be foggy on the coast,sunny in South Canty,cloudy in North canty and raining further towards the divide,I think they really need to go microscale with the weather sometimes,like in the states,you can't have one type of weather for say, the whole of Texas can you? And Canterbury is quite a large chunk of New Zealand.I think met service is trying to head that way with the rural forcast page.
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Re: High Pressure to dominate mid November

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NZstorm wrote:
polar outbreak/steep lapse rates over the South Island next 24hrs suggest atleast a low thunderstorm risk.
I agree, plus Thursday, at the moment.
Upper air looks to become colder :)

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