NZ Weather Forum

Another sparkling day here, should get our 4th straight month with a significant sunshine surplus (155 ahead of YTD average, rainfall is 133mm behind, and this despite a damp January with a 50-hour sun deficit)

Only got up to 18C here in Chch thanks to a fresh northeasterly, but pretty hot inland. I hear Alexandra reached 31C, its hottest November max since 1986. Doesn't look like triggering any storms though - probably too stable.

The fine forecast is a bit like November 1994,was very summer like after a wetter October then.

The fine forecast is a bit like November 1994,was very summer like after a wetter October then.

November 1994 was very stormy over NZ with strong northwesterlies, but December 1994 was largely dry and sunny.

Another fantastic day here in the Waikato. Stratocumulus burnt off pretty well and now the typical sea breeze westerly is in. 23C

Looks as though Hanmer Springs is going to get the nation's top temp today.. IR satellite flagging 30C+ in the area!

First really warm day of the summer season!! See the latest temps: http://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/anndetail.a ... menuitem=3

I love this weather!

Ashburton at 7.30pm 27.3 degrees with a dewpoint of 15.........almost tropical!.

Nice to see Woodbury getting 36ºC today. must be a record, especially for November?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Interesting to hear it got up to 30C in Ashburton today, I was in Rolleston and it was alot cooler compared to that on 22C.
Most likly because it was a cool NE breeze blowing keeping the temperature down, and possibly either a NW wind further south or just no wind at all.
Looks like more temperatures into the mid twenties coming up, eastern areas should start to feel some hot temps as those NWer's gradually battle the onshore flow.
Apart from the fact that soils are begining to dry up, I am actually enjoying the early summer sunshine .
December is just around the bend .
Cheers
Jason.

Ashburton is a bit like Darfield,Oxford,Cust etc Jase.Far enough away from the coast to get the northwest breeze.Always warmer than ChCh during the day in Spring/Summer.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Nice to see Woodbury getting 36ºC today. must be a record, especially for November?

JohnGaul
NZTS

I don't believe that number for a minute - and it would be a NZ record.

Deano wrote:Ashburton is a bit like Darfield,Oxford,Cust etc Jase.Far enough away from the coast to get the northwest breeze.Always warmer than ChCh during the day in Spring/Summer.

Average difference in daily max DJF (Ashburton - Ch'ch Aero) is only 0.8C, not a lot. For Ch'ch Gardens site the difference averages only 0.4C. Clearly not all days are like this one.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Nice to see Woodbury getting 36ºC today. must be a record, especially for November?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Karen said, "We even had a report of an unofficial reading of 36..."

So quite obviously suspect.. how easy is it to call TVNZ and report mis-calibrated temperatures?

Hanmer's 32C must be close to a November record, though.

Yes, 850mb temps in the low teens over Canterbury today, hence 36C doesn't look possible, esp if there was a NW breeze blowing.

On the cooler southerly/easterly days in spring summer,Ashburton being 20kms inland and 100 metres above sea level,the days would be cooler than ChCh,thus dragging the average daily maximum temps down??.
Being a sales rep travelling between Timaru and ChCh,there were countless days that ChCh and Timaru were far cooler than Ashburton,in northerly conditions.
Cheers.

Deano wrote:On the cooler southerly/easterly days in spring summer,Ashburton being 20kms inland and 100 metres above sea level,the days would be cooler than ChCh,thus dragging the average daily maximum temps down??.
Being a sales rep travelling between Timaru and ChCh,there were countless days that ChCh and Timaru were far cooler than Ashburton,in northerly conditions.
Cheers.

Could well be the case. I can recall a number of trips when easterly or southerly airs at Ashburton felt just as cold or colder than they did at Ch'ch.

25c in Napier at 10 this morning, its goin to be a hot day today lol

RWood wrote:

Deano wrote:On the cooler southerly/easterly days in spring summer,Ashburton being 20kms inland and 100 metres above sea level,the days would be cooler than ChCh,thus dragging the average daily maximum temps down??.
Being a sales rep travelling between Timaru and ChCh,there were countless days that ChCh and Timaru were far cooler than Ashburton,in northerly conditions.
Cheers.

To give a few contrasting examples of the varying levels of the influence of sea air in N/NW situations (covers a lot of cases, that abbreviation!): In Jan 1960 Appleby (not very far from the coast) near Nelson, had a max. of 96.7F on the 17th, but Nelson Aero did no better than 86.1F on its hottest day of the month (27th). But on the famous 7/2/1973, Nelson Aero's max of about 36.3C was as high or higher than Motueka's or Appleby's. In January 1956 Ashburton set a new record for NZ to date by getting 101.2F on the 19th. The hottest days of the month (not 19th) at Ch'ch Aero & Lincoln produced "only" 92.1F and 93.2F, but Timaru (city, not Aero) had a max. of 97.7F on the 19th. This contrasts with 7/2/1973 when Chch Gardens reached 41.6C, higher than points south of it and only topped by Rangiora and Jordan.

Finally we're expected to get some decent rain this weekend, the ground is so dry - theres only been 12mm in the last 16 days here. But then after this coming system has passed looks like another dreadfully slow anticyclone is coming

25c in Napier at 10 this morning, its goin to be a hot day today lol

Enjoy it as the flow tends Southerly next week in a very slow pattern.

That rain for Ak on Saturday David looks unreliable but here's hoping.

Foggy wrote:

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Nice to see Woodbury getting 36ºC today. must be a record, especially for November?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Karen said, "We even had a report of an unofficial reading of 36..."

So quite obviously suspect.. how easy is it to call TVNZ and report mis-calibrated temperatures?

Hanmer's 32C must be close to a November record, though.

As far as I know, the weather recorderer at Woodbury is quite reliable as she has been doing weather records for there for years.
I don't know her name but I think Bob Crowder may know her?

JohnGaul
NZTS

We will have a weak trough over the NI this weekend, but upper air will be too warm for any thundery weather although there could be an isolated ts within the rainy weather over the top of Northland. The stable spring weather continues across the country into next week.

I dont put much hope on much rain for the Auckland area tomorrow....maybe just spitty stuff out of a high overcast?
the frontal system in the low from the north has developed that characteristic double edge....with a dry window in the middle...
and also the whole thing must slide away more to the SE because of the ridge over us?
anway, i have someone who needs to know if any rain in the auckland area tomorrow ( a few showers is OK)
what do you guys think?

I think just some light patchy rain here.
We may get a bit of heating for some local afternoon convergence showers in the West.

A very light onshore cool NE breeze isnt having any affect on the temperature as its currently 27C, hate to think how high the temperature will go when the NWer arrives.
Cheers
Jason.