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High Pressure to start December

Posted: Fri 30/11/2007 16:46
by NZstorm
Thought a new thread was in order considering tomorrow is officially the first day of summer.
Weather looks particularly stable for the next few days. Hopefully no anticyclonic gloom (stratocu) within this next high.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Fri 30/11/2007 17:26
by Thunder
Forecasting wise all these highs have been brilliant!! Still, you get your cloud here and there. Front moving in like late yesterday here, will be another tomorrow but no biggies. Is nice......:D

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Fri 30/11/2007 20:44
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Even though the weather hasn't been all that interesting, storm wize, I haven't mind the warm weather out here at West Melton, mind you it's getting a bit dry. The recent rains haven't done much really.

JohnGaul
NZTS

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 12:30
by NZstorm
Certainly the first week of December is looking dry and sunny for much of the country with temps gradually getting warmer.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 13:03
by David
Metvuw forecasts have rain from 5th to 8th December, and proper rain not just drizzly rubbish.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 13:09
by Cameo1
Big cumulus shooting up around now, no upper level cooling I can see just yet though

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 16:55
by NZstorm
Metvuw forecasts have rain from 5th to 8th December
I have never followed Metvuw. I assume this is the forecasting done by Vic. University.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 17:49
by jamie
NZstorm wrote:
Metvuw forecasts have rain from 5th to 8th December
I have never followed Metvuw. I assume this is the forecasting done by Vic. University.
Really? I find it the best and dad has found it brilliant for dairy farming and says it is accurate as.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 18:48
by NZstorm
With a number of models to look at I have never bothered with Metvuw. The GFS has been suggesting NE winds/rain later in the week also. The rain wouldn't be unwelcome if it eventuates. :)

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 20:21
by C-Nimbus
Smallish Cb has developed near Thames according to latest rain radar.

Can see its top from here. Looks nice against the evening sun.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sat 01/12/2007 21:26
by Inny Binny
huh that's strange steady rain here now and rain radar shows something developing over mid-canterbury, didn't know we were supposed to get any good rain today...

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 00:00
by Willoughby
NZstorm wrote:With a number of models to look at I have never bothered with Metvuw. The GFS has been suggesting NE winds/rain later in the week also. The rain wouldn't be unwelcome if it eventuates. :)
NZstorm, 'MetVUW' gets the GFS data from NCEP just like any 'ol 'third party' weather forecasting site.. so is the GFS. ;)

Was a nice day here with punchy small Cu about and 23C. :D
Looks as if the high building around us will strengthen considerably as it moves southeast and thus become very stubborn and hold off any rain chances we may have later next week.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 00:55
by tich
huh that's strange steady rain here now and rain radar shows something developing over mid-canterbury, didn't know we were supposed to get any good rain today...
Yeah, drizzle turned to rain for a time in central Chch & Addington too. Must've been localised, as Hillmorton station recorded nothing this evening. Small convergence zone?

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 08:31
by NZstorm
'MetVUW' gets the GFS data from NCEP just like any 'ol 'third party' weather forecasting site.. so is the GFS.
I had a gut feeling the Metvuw would be something akin to the GFS (NCEP) but I havn't looked at Metvuw in a long while.
I often give the GFS a quick glance but generally don't follow it.

Some overnight showers in Auckland. A lot of low level moisture over the country at the moment.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 13:42
by Michael
Effing auckland,painting now Rain when it was supposed to be north of the bridge :|

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 14:28
by Cameo1
Yeah, its really annoying but great for snoozing listening to the birds ;)

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 16:03
by mikestormchaser
I haven't found the weather particularly exciting last week or two, thats why i haven't been posting lol.
dull old gloomy day here though with A light NE not very entertaining at all really. ](*,)

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 16:08
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
tich wrote:
Yeah, drizzle turned to rain for a time in central Chch & Addington too. Must've been localised, as Hillmorton station recorded nothing this evening. Small convergence zone?
Could of been, Ben,as it had been south to SE here all day whereas it was probably NE in town.
I was in the bath around 11pm and there was a substantial shower about that time but then easing off to drizzle.
Another 2.6mm in the rain-gauge since 10pm last night of which 2mm fell in that shower.

JohnGaul
NZTS

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 20:46
by David
Fabulous sunset this evening, although the colours were confined to the lower horizons of the sky. Gold yellows and shades of orange faded and transitioned to a thin strip of soft pink before fading. Makes the evening walk much more peaceful and serene. :)

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 20:53
by spwill
Yes a nice Sunset but good Otago sunsets are the best.

I see High preasure will probably be dominating our weather into next week as well.
Usually a good time of the year for Storms around here :roll:

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 20:56
by Willoughby
Good to hear there was rain up in AK today... it got very dark at around 3.00 here and threatened... but nothing came of it.

Great balmy evening. 8)
spwill wrote: I see High preasure will probably be dominating our weather into next week as well.
Usually a good time of the year for Storms around here :roll:
Yeah! them Cantabs, Wellingtonians & Taurangians 'ave been stealing our thunder in November!! :x ;)

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Sun 02/12/2007 21:44
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
ECMWF have a rather intense anticyclone moving over us later next week and sit off to the east. This should enhance a warm NE flow over the country if it eventuates?
I don't know if the Fiji TC will happen or not. If it does it won't affect our weather here in Canterbury.

JohnGaul
NZTS

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Mon 03/12/2007 20:44
by NZstorm
Persistent high pressure over NZ is leading to more persistent troughing over eastern Australia with lots of Thunderstorms everyday in NSW and Vic according to the weatherzone satellite loops. The trough is looking more active over there in the modelling for next week.

We may see a warm front stall in the vicinity of northern NZ later this week.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Mon 03/12/2007 21:37
by spwill
Models have moved more in the direction of rain for the north from thursday.

Re: High Pressure to start December

Posted: Mon 03/12/2007 22:59
by Storm Struck
This dizmal anticyclonic gloom is abit pitaful and when it rains with drizzle :evil: it only just registers 1mm in the gauge which then burns off when the sun comes out again :lol: .
It can be fine all it likes now, as long as there are thunderstorms to accompany the xmas- new year period when i am off work 8) :D .
Great tramping weather though at the moment with mild nights :-k .
Cheers
Jason.