26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

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MissAngel
Posts: 1
Joined: Mon 17/12/2007 16:19
Location: Rangiora

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by MissAngel »

What about the sky this morning! I'm sure I was just woken up by some thunder - maybe i'm going mad?
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Storm Struck
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Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Excuse my posting from last night, just gets rather frustrating when you havnt seen a decent storm in a long time. :oops: :) .
Change arrived just after midnight last night, with brief steady rain and a strong gusty SW.
It will be interesting to see what 2008 brings.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Jasestrm wrote:Excuse my posting from last night, just gets rather frustrating when you havnt seen a decent storm in a long time. :oops: :) .

Cheers
Jason.
Thats OK Jason. It's getting frustrating for a lot of Canterbury Storm Chasers with this weather. Toooo La Nina-ish for my liking that is why I can't see any thunderstorms in the forseeable future for us here,sadly.
Surface pressures too high. No twists in atmospheric patterns to encourage a instability scenario for thunderstorm development here in Canterbury,sadly...and there is nothing much in the future judging by models :(

JohnGaul
NZTS
JohnGaul
NZThS
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Inny Binny
Posts: 553
Joined: Sat 01/09/2007 12:15
Location: Prebbleton

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by Inny Binny »

Well at least we've had a good bit of rain this month...yeah.

:roll:
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mikestormchaser
Posts: 2771
Joined: Sat 03/06/2006 20:11
Location: Rolleston, Canterbury

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

yeh i agree does get very frustrating, although its been like this for awhile now, weather has changed in Canterbury/ chch
will be interesting to see what 2008 brings but i can atleast say 99% chance of atleast one storm next year ;)
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
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NZstorm
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Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by NZstorm »

Just on Sundays thunderstorm chances in the South Island, it looks a no show unless you live in the Fiordland.
The models have suggested maybe a low risk for SE Otago but there would have to be a proper sea breeze and daytime heating and niether looks very likely with gradient suggesting a southwest flow will kick in ahead of the colder upper air.
Canterbury will get the NE but the colder upper level change comes in way too late in the day.

Bring on a thunderstormy 2008!
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mikestormchaser
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Joined: Sat 03/06/2006 20:11
Location: Rolleston, Canterbury

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

thanks for the info there!!! say goodbye for storms for 2007 hello 2008 lol
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
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NZstorm
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Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland

Re: 26/27th TS Possible, Canterbury - Much of NI!!!

Unread post by NZstorm »

Warm at Dunedin Airport this morning with 22C at 7am! Looking at the situation this morning I would say a thunderstorm or two is possible in Southland as well as Fiordland with that front.

Should be a warm day over much of the country today. An afternoon SW breeze for AK by the looks.
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