Myself wrote:Oh come on, you can't rule anything out
True, but the odds are against anything exciting and certainly against a prolonged winter event.
What about last July's freeze-up? Did you fare well or was that more of a Central Otago event?
North Otago had extended periods of fog and rime ice/hoar frosts, but temperatures weren't dramatic in any way, while snowfall was negligible.
June 2006 saw a moderate amount of snowfall, which is becoming so rare that those with the memory (and IQ) of a severely retarded gnat breathlessly claimed it was a "One in sixty year event!" Temperatures reached a low of -14 °C but were significantly higher on either side of that one coldish day.
There was
very little snow in the three years prior to June 12th 2006 and temperatures were positively tropical. So far there's no reason to foresee anything but more increasing average temperatures and reducing snowfall in 2008.
Snow cultists believe that if we tell ourselves that it's going to snow in great quantities - indeed, that it has and
is snowing-up large - then it'll come true and they can go oonce-oonce-oonce to their little hearts content. Alas, the harsh reality tends to intrude.
I can live with the prospect of rain instead of snow so long as the number of clear nights aren't drastically reduced!