Heavy Rain for SI East Coast 28-29th June

[Razor]

Well I see the Metservice are now hooking on to heavy rain tomorrow from Canterbury northwards in a southerly flow. Could be a good freshner for Mt Hutt etc

Thought this might be worthy of a separate thread now

[Ryan Thomas]

Gale southwesterlies are forecasted for tommorow... Cant recall last time we had a "gale" or very windy day here.. In this part of town anyway.. Sounds exciting

[Razor]

Sure is tipping down already with this first front. I just got soaked to the bone on a 5 minute walk

[gllitz]

Red bits showing on the 2pm radar....skies are very dark as well over the central city (on a course today)

[tich]

Weather Watch for heavy rain and gales is for North Cantebury and Kaikoura Coast - I'm not sure about Chch.

[TonyT]

Duplicate post removed - please dont post the same text in different threads.

[Gary McConnochie]

A few heavy showers floating around this morning. Looking good for more general rain this afternoon.

[gopolks]

We had heavy rain for about half an hour, its now stopped in my side of town, I think the worst of it comes tonight, not that windy by the way.

[gllitz]

11:00 am radar looks very interesting for Canty...lots of precip down near Ashvegas and...maybe just the radar and NOT saying this to incite panic and what not , but it looks, well..."snowy".... (probably just the 'angle of the bedangle' that it picks up precip out to sea..just seems overly reflective to me, is all.....)

I know, I know...850 temps and THK levels are way to high for anything here, but the ski fields (by the looks of webcams) and place like Hanmer are gonna get quite a bit of snow out of this system.

EDIT: I note that the M/S have issued this as part of their most recent heavy rain warning:
"People there are advised that rivers and
streams may rise rapidly, and that there is the potential for localised surface
flooding. It should also be noted that heavy snow is likely above 500 metres
and a watch for this will be maintained as there is a slight risk of the snow
level lowering into our warning criteria, that is below 500 metres."

[Lawrence]

Getting a bit gusty from the S.W. here in Rolleston,presently 6.5c and rising,Baro 989mb.Hoping the temps would be lower than this but never mind, might get some sleet on Sunday if the models pan out better.

[Lawrence]

EDIT: I note that the M/S have issued this as part of their most recent heavy rain warning:
"People there are advised that rivers and
streams may rise rapidly, and that there is the potential for localised surface
flooding. It should also be noted that heavy snow is likely above 500 metres
and a watch for this will be maintained as there is a slight risk of the snow
level lowering into our warning criteria, that is below 500 metres."

Yeah, I know what you mean,things are just not adding up, I'm looking for a temprature drop by the way of Physics and the models but can't understand where this warmth is coming from ,may be I'm missing somthing but I would seriously be expecting sleet at least by now

[Inny Binny]

At least we're etting some nice amounts of rain here. Looks like it will get heavy tonight.

[teanaumalone]

chch radar showing a nice SE set up building over the plains at the mo. Looking good for some substantial precip out of this tonight.

[mikestormchaser]

Quite abit of rain has been falling from about 9ish this morning, well thats when i woke up anyways.. still raining and seems to be getting more and more heavier as the day progresses, and persistent, i have been wondering abut the chances of some unexpected snow, hmmmm

[Inny Binny]

Latest radar is showing a big expnding blob of rain over Chch, and getting heavier.

[Lawrence]

Tempratures dropping here 5.7c,rain fairly moderate 2mm/hr,wind avg 14kph S.W.

[gopolks]

Steady rain in chch, temp raising to 6.3 and baro raising to 993.

[TonyT]

Yeah, I know what you mean,things are just not adding up, I'm looking for a temprature drop by the way of Physics and the models but can't understand where this warmth is coming from ,may be I'm missing somthing but I would seriously be expecting sleet at least by now

The depression is completely cut off. There is no significant thermal advection into it, and fairly minimal advection around it. If you wanted it to get significantly colder you would need to find some significantly colder air nearby, and there ain't any!

[Storm Struck]

Your right there Tony there is no colder air being pulled up from the ice caps just a deep low with rain predicted to get heavier as it moves over land.
Some good rainfall totals overnight i would think from Rakia northwards, and maybe a period of southerly gales for a time.
Rain picked up abit this afternoon for awhile but its more or so lighter at the moment with a fresh cold southerly, also abit of cold rain which suggests the snow level is around 500m .
Cheers
Jason.

[Andy]

Cool day in CHCH today with drizzle to rain at times, looking like heavier falls overnight.. Jeffs station has notched up nearly 17mm so far. Perhaps 30-40mm by tomorrow morning.

[gopolks]

The rain has been steady all day, but its hardly been heavy, yet.

[Lawrence]

Just chucked it down here,Rate @ 4mm/hr .

[Storm Struck]

Heavy rain here now too thats abit earlier than MS was predicting maybe we could be looking at some bigger totals .
Cheers
Jason.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Good steady rain out here in West Melton from noon with gusty SW and just chucking it down especially after dark. 7.5mm to 4pm.

JohnGaul
NZTS

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Steady Rain here, getting very windy now! 20mm at jeff weather station. More rain in other areas with the heathcote getting very close to the top!! 20 more mm and its burst i reckon!! Sleet at victoria park 15 mins ago went for a drive! 4 degrees