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Labour WE Trough & Cool Change

Posted: Sun 19/10/2008 20:30
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Could be an interesting trough next WE for the long WE over the country.
Not good for people who want to do something for the weekend; like ourdoor barbeques, etc.,
It's the 100 years centenary of the locomotive drivers union, so I'll be engaging in lots of activities there. :smile:

JohnGaul
NZTS

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Sun 19/10/2008 21:11
by Michael
Its just a Waikato north event as usual according to ECMWF.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Mon 20/10/2008 06:54
by spwill
Not good for people who want to do something for the weekend; like ourdoor barbeques, etc.,
Storm chasing perhaps. :smile:

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Mon 20/10/2008 19:37
by jamie
Looking forward to this one. I finish Uni lectures for the year on Thursday. So i only have exams after Thursday. Me and studying do not go well together (i never study) so its going to be like a holiday for me. Ill be down in Hamilton getting as much work as dad can give me on the farm, while i don't have exams so ill shall be there keen as this weekend.

I leave for Sydney on the 21st of November so im hoping i catch a good active spring day before i leave for the summer.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Mon 20/10/2008 20:03
by Myself
j--me--h wrote:Looking forward to this one. I finish Uni lectures for the year on Thursday. So i only have exams after Thursday. Me and studying do not go well together (i never study) so its going to be like a holiday for me. Ill be down in Hamilton getting as much work as dad can give me on the farm, while i don't have exams so ill shall be there keen as this weekend.

I leave for Sydney on the 21st of November so im hoping i catch a good active spring day before i leave for the summer.
You're ditching NZ for a whole summer?

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Mon 20/10/2008 20:09
by jamie
Sure am! Will be back late Feb i think. Going for the money and the experiance. Something different from relief milking and farming like i have done every other summer.
Hope i catch some sweet Tstrms over there.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 07:06
by tgsnoopy
j--me--h wrote:I leave for Sydney on the 21st of November so im hoping i catch a good active spring day before i leave for the summer.
Hmm, something wrong with this picture. Forget NZ activity. Look forward to NSW activity. No comparisn.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 07:40
by spwill
Forget NZ activity. Look forward to NSW activity. No comparisn.
True, but they dont get a winter Storm season like we do here and not every Spring /Summer is good for storms. They are due for a good storm season this year.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 08:27
by Nev
Hmm... while we're off-topic, check out this slightly misconstrued story from the 'Brisbane Times'...
'Wild storm season predicted'
October 20, 2008 - 9:59AM by Marissa Calligeros

Queenslanders should prepare early for a fierce and destructive cyclone season, experts have warned. The Bureau of Meteorology has forecast one of the wildest summer storm seasons on record. "A coastal crossing by a destructive cyclone during the coming season should be seriously considered in preparations," the Bureau's regional director Jim Davidson said...

University of Southern Queensland climatology expert Roger Stone said Brisbane's summer storm season would be "intense". "There is a 70 per cent chance of well above average rainfall this summer," Mr Stone said.

Mr Davidson said strong cyclonic activity was typical under a La Nina event and characterised by warmer than normal water in the Coral Sea and Gulf of Carpentaria and colder conditions in the central Pacific and equatorial regions (the opposite of El Nino)...

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 09:26
by Tornado Tim
Yea, storms seem to be popping up around now and through to February.
I will be doing accounts of these storms that pop up around the hamilton area.
Perhaps Foggy could also get some pic's from what he sees in the inner city and what i see outside the city.
I want some fork lightning!

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 15:27
by Vertigo
the activity in that low is looking nice at this stage.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 16:51
by ricky
Yes, unusually warm waters (+5C) off the Coast there will be helping that convection too I'm sure..

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 17:59
by Vertigo
one more, getting more intense out there...

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 19:02
by NZstorm
Looking like a big spring trough to come thru at the weekend now! Thunderstorms in the north overnight Friday, thunderstorms/hail over inland South Island Saturday and possibly more thunderstorms/hail over North Island Sunday! Wait and see I guess.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Tue 21/10/2008 20:43
by Storm Struck
Yes its looking very messy for labour weekend now well Saturday and Sunday over the South Island.
Southerly change moves up the coast on Saturday afternoon/evening which could be good for Tstorms especially inland as NZstorm has suggested.
I will be up in Hanmer Springs so hopefully we will get some sunshine at some point between Saturday and Monday.
Usually its fairly sheltered up that way in a southerly flow.
Cheers
Jason.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 06:51
by NZstorm
This weekends thunderstorm chances will be about timing. We want the dynamics to pass through in the afternoons, the most unstable part of the day.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 10:39
by Tornado Tim
In hamilton at 10.30 I am already seeing congestus,the waikato folks like me may get some rain and or a thunderstorm.
I will update in the afternoon.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 11:10
by Manukau heads obs
not enough instability arond today to do anything (too much ridging)

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 17:10
by Tornado Tim
Cambridge may get some rain as vertical developments are happening as we speak.
and http://www.metvuw.com/satellite/satellite.php?ihour=0? shows the front coming in quickly.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 17:21
by Storm Struck
So much for a fine day which was forecast last night by the MS, we have had light spotty rain since 10am this morning persistant around lunchtime.
Rather cool in town around 4:30pm with wet surfaces, but mild out here and a little muggy.
Came across brief bursts of heavy rain in Papanui too heavy enough i was waiting for some thunder :cute: .
Weaker forms of CU out there because of the hindering of mid level cloud not allowing them to push any higher, but with the arrival of showers and southerlies this evening i am wondering on the chances :-w :-$ .
Cheers
Jason.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 18:13
by Tornado Tim
Jesestrm, You can never trust metservice they are useless, the most reliable source you will ever have will be going local.
Such as buying a weather station or going to weatherunderground.com they will have all of weather-stations that report to the internet in your area.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 18:58
by Myself
Tornado Tim wrote:Jesestrm, You can never trust metservice they are useless, the most reliable source you will ever have will be going local.
Really? I find them pretty useful. What's your evidence?

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 19:04
by TonyT
Lets stay on topic folks.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Wed 22/10/2008 22:43
by tich
Overcast all day in Chch. Radar showed band of rain just to the north - central city got a brief dousing midafternoon, but clearing this evening.
Saturday looks cold and wet, but hopefully it should clear up on Sunday.

Re: Trough Next WE (Labour WE)

Posted: Thu 23/10/2008 07:48
by NZstorm
Interestingly the GFS suggests Isolated thunderstorms over the west of Waikato tomorrow afternoon as dewpoints/temperature rise, but upper air will be getting warmer too. Not sure about that one but worth watching I guess.

Northern NZ including Auckland will get a short sharp downpour from the front of this low pressure system as it passes overnight Friday, maybe an early morning thunderstorm as well.