Settled Weather Late March

[David]

Bit overdue for a new topic I think...well it's looking like a nice sunny anticyclone moving across the country during the next week.

MS have 8 for here tomorrow night so that will feel chillier. Temperature today way surpassed the forecast, reaching 24.8°C here this afternoon.

[Storm Struck]

Yes better hope that high dominates in the Tasman otherwise the Cyclone to the north might sneak down.
Abit of showery weather again for the South Island later on next week though.
Cheers
Jason.

[Myself]

Bit overdue for a new topic I think...well it's looking like a nice sunny anticyclone moving across the country during the next week.

Or a grey, drizzly one

[Vertigo]

Yes better hope that high dominates in the Tasman otherwise the Cyclone to the north might sneak down.

ohh, youd deny us that??

[David]

Or a grey, drizzly one

Maybe for Welly but I see lots of sun icons on the Auckland page

[Nev]

Yes better hope that high dominates in the Tasman otherwise the Cyclone to the north might sneak down.

What 'cyclone'? Sorry folks but that Coral Sea low has pretty much been sheared and has lost its energy over the last 24 hrs. Its now essentially just a broad complex low with multiple centres.

[Gary McConnochie]

Hey Jason do you think we might get some thunder and lightning this week down Christchurch way??

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Steady overnight drizzle/rain has meant that so far 8mm has fallen. Very merky and cold at just 7.8 degrees. Radar however overnight and now still does not have much at all on it, possibly the precipitation is below the level of the satellite beam up in the atmosphere so its not recording anything. It's definately steadier than what the radar suggests it should be. For the outlook looks like next couple of days will be dominated by southerlies and showery spells. Later in the week a change to warmer Northwesterlies and rain for the west coast of the South Island before possibly next weekend a change back to cool southerlies as quite a big pool of cold air from a decent area of low to the south of New Zealand heading our way. We way off yet tho so we shall see.

[Tornado Tim]

Just got a cool overnight low of 6.6°C @ 6.04 AM.
You can tell Autumn is in full effect.

[David]

Not very Autumn-like here yet. Month to date the mean daily minimum (15.0°C) is the same as January's and the lowest temperature month to date is only 11.5°C (this morning).

[carrot]

First negative temperature forecast for a town this year I think..
-1 Forecast for Wanaka over night, and just 2 for Timaru.. Brr.

[spwill]

Auckland does well this time of year on the SE flows, stunning day here.

[Myself]

Bloody horrible here in Wellington! Grey with some drizzle. Temperature struggling around 11C.

Metar:

NZWN 212200Z 17022KT 9999 -SHRA FEW014 SCT018 BKN023 12/09 Q1019 TEMPO 7000 SHRA RM=K SPECI CEASES KAUKAU 18030KT

Here's the TAF:

TAF NZWN 211702Z 2118/2218 18025G35KT 9999 -SHRA SCT020 BKN030
TEMPO 2118/2202 7000 SHRA


Based on that I don't think we will see much improvement in conditions today.

[Storm Struck]

Those bands of showers have been rather coastal until mid this morning, so Mark you would have more rain than out this way as it didnt start raining again until 10am this morning.
Some good steady showers though being produced off that trough, i see MS are also saying snow to 900m and in the lower NI.
Interesting to note how short and sharp those showers were yesterday, with quick heavy bursts that only last around 30 seconds.
Not sure about thunder Gary depends if we get any good heating in the next few days, although that doesnt seem to matter in cold outbreaks like these.
Next best bet would be next weekend.
Cheers
Jason.

[jamie]

i thought it was cold this morning in Hamilton. (came down to watch the best game of rugby ever!!!) Was 4 degrees at 6:16am and a temp of 3.1 degrees with the windchill at 7:39am. Been rather peacefull on the weather note for while now. About time we had another system i feel.

[RWood]

It has been quite a sunny month here until now but a few days of stuck SE will provide a correction.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Been quite showery here today, good dollops of the wet stuff and temps struggling to get into the double-digits

JohnGaul
NZThS

[NZstorm]

About time we had another system i feel.

Unfortunately not much on the horizon for this week anyway.

Well done to Tornado Tim for contacting the Wyoming University and getting New Zealand added to their GFS.

http://weather.uwyo.edu/models/fcst/ind ... DEL=gfs003

[Manukau heads obs]

Well done to Tornado Tim for contacting the Wyoming University and getting New Zealand added to their GFS.

nice!
now need some action for something to look at on those nice model outputs!

[Dale]

Not much on the horizon except for this harmless looking cloud which tapped into the gold.
Started spinning like a top before blowing itself out, time from genesis to exhaustion, 10 minutes.

Did put on quite a show however, nice RFB and shelf cloud with teeth about 7 minutes into it, defined inflow band at about 8.. then lovely death around 10. Captured over 3 dozen pics from start to finish.

Ed: about 30 mins ago this was.. now has turned into a mess

[NZstorm]

Got a weak heat shower here atm.

Todays observed sounding from Whenuapai. Cu would have been under that inversion.

[spwill]

A line of Cu developed across Auckland area late day, looks like convergence between a light SouthWesterly and a South Easterly.

[Vertigo]

having a downpour of small marble sized rain at the moment (yes, big enough to tell you how big the drops feel!). havent felt rain like that for quite some time! loud on the roof too.

[Lacertae]

Nice picture Dale !

[Vertigo]

well, that heavy rain just stopped 10 minutes ago. very welcome.