Deepening low prediction/ cold outbreak Mid June

[trogdor]

The temp in Dunedin is plummeting, according to uni website 2 degrees in 20 minutes, now 4 degrees, snow is on its way!

[Philip Duncan]

-1 Enderby, -1 Campbell, 3 at Stewart Island, 3 Gore.

[gopolks]

Christchurch

Temperature 9.0°C
Wind Chill 7.9°C
Wind Speed 3km/h NE
Air Pressure 1000hPa

[tidd66]

Getting a few flakes here now in with the sleet.

[Manukau heads obs]

-1 Enderby, -1 Campbell

thats colder than the last cold snap
and so should result in colder air available to move onto the SI
the models show cold air is going to keep on being shovelled north for the rest of the week

[Philip Duncan]

Yep agreed - but it seems drier than last time (probably why it's colder)...and hitting Southland/Otago more... so much drier for everyone else. Think Weds will be very cold for Aucklanders...then easing up a bit Thurs/Fri then that southerly kicks back in again for the weekend.

I think today has been pretty mild really...I worked from home all day and didn't feel the need to light the fire or flick on a heater.

[gopolks]

Temperature 8.5°C
Wind Chill 7.7°C
Wind Speed 2km/h N
Air Pressure 1001hPa
Rain (30min) 0.0mm

[Storm Struck]

Few lighter showers starting to show up on the 5pm radar to the south which is a start, i was hoping that low cloud would clear away completly before the change but only had sunny intervals before clouding up again this evening.
SW change should blow it all out although its only light in Ashburton according to the weather stations there.
Tomorrow morning will be possibly the best shot we will get out of this system, some beafy showers could bring those snow levels down at times.
We shall see what happens .

[Lawrence]

Yeah, looking at the radar and the corresponding sat picture it might be a while yet.

[tidd66]

Have snow here now not settling yet though, maybe by morning.

[borris89]

a few sleet showers here in dunedin with a little bit of snow mixed in

[tidd66]

Starting to settle here now and still snowing.

[trogdor]

starting to snow in dunedin now! yay!

[frosty]

got any photos

[Lawrence]

Here is another corresponding Sat picture and Radar picture from 17:00 hrs. Hope you all find them useful and interesting Showers are intensifying on the latest Radar picture but at the moment out to sea and off the coast of Timaru, but there is also a line of showers that seem to be heading up the coast towards Ashburton

[Ice Maiden]

Where abouts in Dunedin are you Trogdor? In the hill suburbs?

[Razor]

That front really looks to be organising itself niceley down off Timaru- Ashburton. Could be interesting in a couple of hours if temp keeps dropping, 4.7 here ATM

[trogdor]

Where abouts in Dunedin are you Trogdor? In the hill suburbs?

i live in the city but up visiting friends in opoho

[Storm Struck]

Yes Karsh i am wondering if a low is forming off the Canterbury Coast there, reason i say that is that shower band has been sitting there instensifying for awhile as other activity builds along the coast.
Looking at the MS isobaric a weak low could form off the cold front .
Acitivity sure is picking up down south now, when is the trough due to come through because that will pick things up even more?.

[frosty]

Yes Karsh i am wondering if a low is forming off the Canterbury Coast there, reason i say that is that shower band has been sitting there instensifying for awhile as other activity builds along the coast.
Looking at the MS isobaric a weak low could form off the cold front .
Acitivity sure is picking up down south now, when is the trough due to come through because that will pick things up even more?.

is that possible at this stage,what would that mean for canterbury if that was to happen

[Janos]

Light snow shower passed over a few minutes ago (im at 28 metres asl)...looks to be heavier over the city/opoho area.

[Razor]

Yes Karsh i am wondering if a low is forming off the Canterbury Coast there, reason i say that is that shower band has been sitting there instensifying for awhile as other activity builds along the coast.
Looking at the MS isobaric a weak low could form off the cold front .
Acitivity sure is picking up down south now, when is the trough due to come through because that will pick things up even more?.

is that possible at this stage,what would that mean for canterbury if that was to happen

IF that was to happen then I would call it a fairly significant snow event on the way otnight.

But its a big if, these things have a habit of disappearing out off the peninsula at times

[frosty]

so we need a more south to southeast flow for this to occur ?

[Janos]

I think we are just starting to see the beginnings of the system . Looking nice and overcast and the temps are about right. I for one anticipate a day off tomorrow fingers crossed.

[Storm Struck]

Yeah its just a wee possibility anyway, look at the 9pm radar that band sure has developed now.
TM poster reports heavy hail in Waimate now.