NZ Weather Forum

spwill wrote:

what they think are the basic criteria for a low level event in the plains are,

A High or strong Ridge to the S/SW of NZ is always a good start, need to get the very cold air up.


I see Chch has had only 4.7 hrs sunshine so far for July and cold with it, gloomy.

Wellington has had only 11.9 hrs in the 11 days to Sunday 5 July. Not a record-breaker, but very low on the list. Auckland sunshine total as at end-June is far ahead of the Ch'ch value, something that hasn't happened for many years.

RWood wrote:

spwill wrote:

I see Chch has had only 4.7 hrs sunshine so far for July and cold with it, gloomy.

Wellington has had only 11.9 hrs in the 11 days to Sunday 5 July. Not a record-breaker, but very low on the list. Auckland sunshine total as at end-June is far ahead of the Ch'ch value, something that hasn't happened for many years.

Its been the lack of Southwesterlies on frequent running days which is good.Winter seems to be a better season than spring and early summer these days!

Auckland sunshine total as at end-June is far ahead of the Ch'ch value, something that hasn't happened for many years.

I see the Cities have a similar sunshine average for the period, 8 hrs more for Chch.
Will Spring this year make up for the gloom down there with more sunny westerlies than normal.

63mm here in Westport Yesterday, period of torrential rain last night. Currently periods of heavy rain another 21mm so far today and raining hard atm. Yes interesting weather by the weekend id say.

More fresh snow (above about 500m) on BP hills early this morning. Alps looked amazing looking over Ellesmere this morning (pity I didn't have my camera with me) as I was coming back.

spwill wrote:

Auckland sunshine total as at end-June is far ahead of the Ch'ch value, something that hasn't happened for many years.

I see the Cities have a similar sunshine average for the period, 8 hrs more for Chch.
Will Spring this year make up for the gloom down there with more sunny westerlies than normal.

I somewhat overlooked the different seasonal biases. Even so, Mangere is about 125 hours ahead of Ch'ch to end-June. It was 117 ahead at the same time in 2005 (and that lead was up to 200 by year-end). Back in 1994 it had a lead of 195, only 10 of which remained at the end of the year. Prior to that one has to go back to 1978 to find anything more than about +60, with quite a number of years having a substantial negative value.

Snow was still on the ground (thin) this morning in Waddington, drove up to Springfield and it's white as - the Alps looked sooo majestic, too.

I took a mobile pic from car...



Did someone say more snow on way for weekend for inland Canters?

MoorfNZ wrote:Did someone say more snow on way for weekend for inland Canters?

Never said a thing, what snow...... I did'nt call this one.

Nice photo Moorfnz i bet those mountains looked nice, looks like your getting abit of sunshine inland aswel!! grr
I Have no idea what the weather is even meant to do this weekend sadly, i just haven't got the time to even take any notice lol.

Moorfnz, Sorry if I got anyone's hope's up as much as mine!
Yesterdays predicted maps for sat sun mon were looking pretty intense, then by the next lot 6 hours later they'de canned it. Looking weaker and further south and east now goddamn. I give up.
I'll probably have better luck if i start wishing for a month of sunshine and norwesters

Ahh well, the chase is just as good

If only the low over the North Island could track a little further south, it seems the way at the moment the NI pinching the lows .
This is a simular scenario to last weekend really except this is wrapped in from the low over the NI, so if our intial theories from last week about the SE flow hold true then there might be something to write home about.
I am picking the snow level to around 200m Sunday night especially, so sleety showers or small hail could be a possibility but again the majority of the showers will be north and south of the city.
Maybe we will get a hum dinger system in August perhaps .
Having said that roll on another day of sunshine .