Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

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Dale
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Dale »

That would be close to a record spwill.. i remember some years back an ANZ 747 did it in just over 2 hours, nearly pushed that boeing supersonic it rode such a strong jetstream.

Something nasty is about to happen I just have that gut chaser feeling. Cannot see Auckland city, nor Glenbrook nor much else really.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

The Storm in the West above NP looks like it is going to make landfall.
although it has significantly weakened.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by ricky »

Some better lightning activity showing up WNW of Auckland now.. hopefully get woken up by something a bit later!
Promising rising dewpoint, 12.4C here now
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by jamie »

Have seen numerous hooks on the radars tonight just off the coast.

We are getting heavyer showers now but short. Definitly a sign of instability.

Still not all that much in the way of lightning out there. Just waiting on a nice compact, active storm to correct the boltek here so its more inline with the auckland ones. Am hoping to do it tonight but might have to wait another day if nothing comes.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

we did get some heavy rain at around 2am, otherwise nothing out of the ordinary here
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by NZstorm »

Yes, the gfs modeled last nights system extremely well.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by ricky »

Yep it did very well, be interesting to see how it goes with next few days of this system
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by DT-NZ »

had bursts of heavy rain come through here at 22:25hrs - no wind - another time perhaps, anyway nice looking morning out there looking E, NE - partial blue sky with a layering of grey flat looking clouds and whispy sprigs of cirrus above it - and just the softest blanket of mist covering the base of hills out there - well enough of that, take care.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by David »

NZstorm wrote:Yes, the gfs modeled last nights system extremely well.
Obviously the metservice weren't going by the GFS I take it #-o
Just a few showers here before midnight giving 3mm and that was it.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

NP has possibility for a T-storm according to the GFS tonight.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by spwill »

Very nice sunny day here, 16C .
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Vertigo »

signs of an unstable atmosphere today in auckland, but im not sure its enough for anything interesting later in the afternoon.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Yes same here vertigo,
Some nice Cumulus Congestus going up....
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by spwill »

Mostly sunny and 17C, good to have some nice weather for a change.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

yes, 16C here now too, makes for a very nice change!
feels hot even!
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

I see ecmwf have a new low progged for mid week
when before it was a high moving on instead.....hummm
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Man check out the Auckland Radar with the red blotch. Havent seen something that big in yonks!
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by GraemeWi »

MarkThomas wrote:Man check out the Auckland Radar with the red blotch. Havent seen something that big in yonks!
Ricky's tracker is picking up some strikes, and it looks like a bit of a blowup on the satellite. Hopefully it will hang together until it gets a bit closer!
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

Dale, was talking to someone from Grahams beach, and they said that NE wind got realy strong at one point last evening, sounds similar to what you had

yes, showing up purple in that big CB!
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by jamie »

This is the perfect storm to align the boltek. Shame im in auckland and have work in 30 mins.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by NZstorm »

The cb in question was visible on the horizon from Auckland at dusk. I checked the satellite pic and it was 250km distant at that time!
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

seems to be weakening
but lots of activity in the tasman behind it!
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Dale »

Thanks Brian, was hoping that I wasnt having a storm deprivation syndrome moment. I have inlaws at clarkes beach but fortunately for them, are out near vanuatu somewhere on a big boat sipping martinis lucky sods lol.
Awesome fog this morning, lovely day today too, maxed out about 16º with lots of popcorn in the sky, hazy, had a very stormy feel to it. Very calm atm and its sack time until the sms alerts come flying in from the guys.
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

there is a station at clarks beach
http://www.merlinit.co.nz/WEATHER/ClarksBeach.htm
shows that gusty NE wind too, and pressure drop/bounce
(see the 48 hour graph)
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Re: Unstable period, Early July (North Island)

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Some nice lightning strikes to the North, according to the lightning detector, they may come on to shore.
According to my WXsim Graph the day gets better as time goes on....
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