Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Myself »

Water vapour is always very artistic. You can clearly see the warm advection missing NZ out to the east in that image.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Razor »

Forget artisic...I'm keen to hear more about how Dales B-J is progressing lol :-)
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Lawrence »

Tornado Tim wrote:The Low now seems to have a defined clear patch in the center, meaning of some significance.
Now that looks scary :eek: :-s wtf
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Razor »

This would be a Cat 2 if it was further north now right?
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by kaimaikid »

Met service is suffering a outage again.... bummer
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Dale »

Haha :P
Missus made a passing comment, something about should have married a cloud instead.
Progressing rather nicely, havent seen water being driven under the back door until this one.. louvre windows holding only just but I did hear a big crash somewhere down near the milking shed about 30 mins ago. Last logs on for the night & will check for damage in the morning.

Still should have bought my kites over.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by gllitz »

...and I see the M/S site is down....who knows why...probably everyone and their brother in Auckland trying to see what's going on...oh, and seems to be a passing shower outside at the moment....yippee skip.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by NZstorm »

You can clearly see the warm advection missing NZ out to the east in that image.
00Z GFS mixing ratio at 9pm. The warm humid subtropical air just scraping the top of Northland. There has been some thunderstorms just north of Cape Reinga last few hrs. But yes, the most moist air out to the east.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Philip Duncan »

Razor wrote:This would be a Cat 2 if it was further north now right?
Yup!
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by David »

What's happened to our wind people...11pm and still just a mundane breeze :rolleyes: >_<
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Lawrence »

That is definatly a cyclone, 8-o,Don't worry about the wind mate it's a com'in :eek:
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Philip Duncan »

Hey David, the low stopped tracking south several hours ago...so that's why our winds aren't building. It might increase further overnight but with every hour that goes by the chance of stronger winds lessens.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Typical the metservce is down! It certainly seems like Whangarei has copped some good rain. Heavy showers falling here in Christchurch now.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Razor »

Brief shower here. Wouldn't call it heavy though, steady for a couple of minutes, spitting rain the rest.
The rain radars up north look sensational on the weather channel
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

I can here it pounding the roof rather hard atm. Whangarei station 2 seems to have crashed 2 hours ago with 81mm to that stage. Maybe the station affected by the powercut?
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Spitting here :puke: :smile:

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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Lawrence »

Philip Duncan wrote:Hey David, the low stopped tracking south several hours ago...so that's why our winds aren't building. It might increase further overnight but with every hour that goes by the chance of stronger winds lessens.
Thats true, not sure we really want this thing to track further south any way.Tis nasty lookin bugger. 0_o
Just started to rain here.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Ok, I have got the 11PM sat Pic, Really defined now!
For those who cant get on metservice....:D
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by mak »

In central Whangarei here. Been bucketing down for several now and the house has been creaking. Heard things flying around up & down the ROW & a few loud bangs. The daugher's play house got blown across the backyard, garden furniture moving around the patio etc.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Razor »

WOW. Stay safe folks. :eek: :hug: D: :roll: :roll:
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Stay Safe Mak and other other ppl in the north!
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

mak wrote:In central Whangarei here. Been bucketing down for several now and the house has been creaking. Heard things flying around up & down the ROW & a few loud bangs. The daugher's play house got blown across the backyard, garden furniture moving around the patio etc.
Is the rain easing there Mak? I see one of your local weather stations is saying 98.1mm fallen in the city today.
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Lawrence »

Tornado Tim wrote:Ok, I have got the 11PM sat Pic, Really defined now!
For those who cant get on metservice....:D
Thats not a low forming off to the west is it? :?
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by Philip Duncan »

No it just looks that way... no spiralling out there at all, mainly high pressure.

Some torrential bands of rain now over Great Barrier Island and Port Waikato
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Re: Deep Subtropical low to pass through NI, 10/7-13/7

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Is there going to be another update on weather watch tonight Phil? Do you know how Kaeo (or whatever it is) scenario is now?
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