System 9-10th October affecting central/eastern areas

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mikestormchaser
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

Things do seem to be shaping up very nicely indeed, who here thinks we will see snow in the city tomorrow?
Because by sounds of it all i wouldn't be at all surprised.
With 6C max temp i am gathering majority of day will only be around 3 or 4C witch is freezing!!
Anyhow wait and see i guess, we are going to enjoy this rain whatever happens.. just hope its fine saturday for my first game! 8)
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Kelly_Cattermole »

Was raining quite well when I drove from Kirwee to Chch about 45 mins ago. Not looking forward to the possibility of snow, I have to drive home at some point...
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CHCH Weather Chaser
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Yup, best chance of the year to date for sure. Plenty of precipitation and I agree with Jase here. Also, snowfalls are almost sure to be heavy inland Canterbury so Helen will be happy! :D I will be going for a drive, MIke will be joining us tomorrow night! It would be great if we didnt need to drive and it came to us though! Temp is going down steady. It is now just 6.9 degrees (the minimum of the day). Large rain band too which should intensify and dominate the next 24-36 hours with low level snow developing so fingers crossed!
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Leighton Thomas

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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

I see the severe weather outlook has high chance of heavy snow for Saturday too.
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Leighton Thomas

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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

MarkThomas wrote: Also, snowfalls are almost sure to be heavy inland Canterbury so Helen will be happy! :D
You bet!! \:D/

I've got tons of work to do tonight, so I'll be up until the wee hours... any chance I'll see start of snow showers out here in Waddington?
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Yup sure is from early morning rain forecast to rapidly turn to snow at 200m so you will almost surely see some :D Jealous!
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

MarkThomas wrote:Yup sure is from early morning rain forecast to rapidly turn to snow at 200m so you will almost surely see some :D Jealous!
:lol: u may not have to be jelous mate! i got feeling about tomorrow.. something could happen for us in the city man!
We have had no snow at all this year, but 5 snow falls last year.. Tomorrow has got to be the day! ;P
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Lawrence
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Lawrence »

MarkThomas wrote:Yup sure is from early morning rain forecast to rapidly turn to snow at 200m so you will almost surely see some :D Jealous!
Yeah,coldest air will start to move in after 01:00 Friday,wait for the wind change from N.E. to S.E. It should ramp up then with the wind ,and the temps should really start to drop quickly. \:D/ \:D/

Met service seems to be playing it down a tad at the moment, :rolleyes: might be waiting for next runs.I'll wait and see what the prognosis is after 10 pm tonight ;-)
Last edited by Lawrence on Thu 08/10/2009 20:20, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Fingers Crossed. Helen Keep us up to date with your weather, as we will get an idea for the snow level once it starts snowing at yours.
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

MarkThomas wrote:Fingers Crossed. Helen Keep us up to date with your weather, as we will get an idea for the snow level once it starts snowing at yours.
Will do :D

Temp here now 5degs, rain changed from heavy big globs to fine but steady.

Is there a temp below which it snows? Or do other conditions make temp at which snow falls variable?
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by gllitz »

Not to be a party-pooper or anything, but I am not convinced of anything other than cold rain for CHCH... :( :-( inland Canty will likely feel the most out of this system, so have fun with the white stuff, Helen et al....Mike/Mark/Jase/Karsh...you will probably need to hop in the car and drive for an hour or so if you want to see the snow falling to low levels.
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Paul Mallinson »

If the precipitation gets heavier again it may turn to wet snow at about 3 to 4 degrees but the change over is usually from about 2 degrees (or less).

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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Hey MoorfNZ i had no idea you were a female, just assumed you were a male excuse me :smile: .
One thing ive just noticed is on the link below to the latest isobaric it has the first initial cold front moving towards the warm front and possibly colliding over Hanmer area in a few hours.
This is well before the colder air to the south and the main cold front you can see sitting over the lower south island.
Karsh do you mean 1am or 1pm?.
Here's the link.
http://www.metservice.co.nz/public/maps ... atest.html
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MoorfNZ
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

Paul Mallinson wrote:If the precipitation gets heavier again it may turn to wet snow at about 3 to 4 degrees but the change over is usually from about 2 degrees (or less).

Paul
Thanks Paul.

Jase - no worries - it's far more obvious face to face ;)

Rain hammering on roof now... I love that sound!
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by mikestormchaser »

0100 hours is am 1300 would be pm so tomorrow morning yeah
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Well i was always going to drive tomorrow night. Hopefully still falling inland after 9pm as that is when i finish work.
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Storm Struck »

If not it will be on the ground for sure, i think as these types of scenario's are very hard to know what levels it will snow to its best we say there is a possibility of seeing snow flakes falling at some point tomorrow even if it is for only a few hours.
Remember the evening of the meeting last month simular situation as this one except this one is stronger, snow fell lower than the predicted 500m infact to 200m in the end with sleet/graupel in the city.
Just coming onto good steady rain now can hear it well on the roof, just dashed out to check the rain gauge 5mm so far and the temperature is 6C.
Last edited by Storm Struck on Thu 08/10/2009 21:51, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Very Similiar here too Jase. The temp has dropped 1 degree every hour since 2pm here.
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Leighton Thomas

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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Kelly_Cattermole »

Well, I havent had a call from the folks yet so it isnt snowing in Kirwee.
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

too early for that. Cold air wont arrive till 3am onwards probably.
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Leighton Thomas

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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Kelly_Cattermole »

ah true true, apologies, havent slept in 48 hrs :)
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

Steady rain, still 5 degs.
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Andrew Massie »

Dew point stable at 4 degrees here... waiting....

Arthur's Pass dew point dropping rapidly now.. dropped from 4 degrees to 2 degrees in the last hour..
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

Heavy rain, down to 4degs
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Re: System 9-10th October

Unread post by Storm Struck »

You can see the rain band to the north clearly on the last few radars, very steady to heavy falls which will slowly work its way down.
9mm in the rain gauge now which is a good start :smile: , currently 4.8C also.
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