Cool end to October

Archive of NZ Weather & Climate
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.

For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
User avatar
TonyT
Moderator
Posts: 2881
Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
Has thanked: 354 times
Been thanked: 1152 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by TonyT »

03Stormchaser wrote:Looking quickly at the models change should arrive late in the day, upper air gets very cold -32C!! early thursday morning. Southerly near gale force if not gale in exposed places. Snow to low levels looks very likely on wednesday/thursday, I see Bob picking 300m, wont be surprised if 200m or lower.
Blueskies on the other hand only picking 400m!
I did say sleet and hail to low levels though!
Thunder
Posts: 2068
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 19:47
Location: Mt Somers
Has thanked: 19 times
Been thanked: 41 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by Thunder »

I'm ready to chase should something eventuate, bring it on!

Cheers
Aaron
Image
Aaron Wilkinson
User avatar
CHCH Weather Chaser
Posts: 3460
Joined: Thu 26/06/2008 16:10
Location: Halswell / Hoon Hay Christchurch
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by CHCH Weather Chaser »

Well a very blustery NE here this morning with daytime heating.Getting to 16 degrees despite such a fresh 30-40km/h NE. So conditions are good in that part for Thunderstorms. Cloud has increased with much high cloud now. I see MS saying light winds tending westerly. Well they certainly havent been light all morning! NE well and truly prevailing! Queenstown has "snow showers developing" forecast, interesting...
Reporting Live from Southern Christchurch
Leighton Thomas

2014 Rainfall: Jan: 21mm Feb: 76mm March: 170mm April: 201mm YTD: 468mm
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

I have a very warm 21 degs here in Waddington with gusty, warm winds from what appears to be NWesterly direction. High cloud.
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18489
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NW here from 4pm, so chances look dim now sadly :( , I hope I'm wrong.

JohnGaul
NZThS
JohnGaul
NZThS
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

I'm being told by friend in Springston that wind is changing to southerly? Still NW here... warm.. cloud increasing to south.
borris89
Posts: 217
Joined: Mon 06/02/2006 21:21
Location: Havelock North, Hawkes Bay/ Dunedin, Otago
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by borris89 »

southerly hit here in dunedin around 3.30. went very dark and then very heavy rain and strong winds but no hail.
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4865
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 375 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by Storm Struck »

I Wouldnt write anything off yet the main front is still to the south by the looks.
There has been some strikes down near Dunedin somewhere in the last hour or so, certainly is a bugger about that NWer kicking in.
Remember we had lightning at 10pm the other week.
I shall keep my eyes peeled.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18489
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Sort of Sw here at the moment with cloud thickening away to the south,and around the back of BP, with some interesting forms. Not much action in TC though.

JohnGaul
NZThS
JohnGaul
NZThS
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

Looks like it's being blown out to sea.... >_<
Razor
Moderator
Posts: 5131
Joined: Fri 10/02/2006 15:14
Location: Halswell, Christchurch
Has thanked: 718 times
Been thanked: 930 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by Razor »

First wave of the change just coming through sliding out over the peninsula with a few spits here in town. The real event will be later I suspect.
Christchurch Rocks
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4865
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 375 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Looks like a line has been set off from the SW wind change with Banks Peninnsula picking up some precip going by the 6pm radar.
It is very SW at the moment the shower activity i mean, but give it a few hours and it will be more S-SW.
Trackers have picked up a few more strikes not sure where but stevens one picks them up off BP.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

Akaroa webcam appears to show rain, very overcast, grey....
gopolks
Posts: 706
Joined: Thu 22/03/2007 16:48
Location: Canterbury
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by gopolks »

and here we go.
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

gopolks wrote:and here we go.
What you got and where?
gopolks
Posts: 706
Joined: Thu 22/03/2007 16:48
Location: Canterbury
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by gopolks »

Well that was werid,??? got pitch black here in avondale all of a sudden and about five/ten seconds of thick droplets, now its all calm and dry.
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

Hmm, still definitely norwest here...
rawdon
Posts: 101
Joined: Fri 04/02/2005 14:20
Location: Upper Hutt
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by rawdon »

Hi all..My thoughts on tomorrow .. for what its worth...

to midnight Thursday ...
A cold trough should push northwards over the South Island thru the remainder of today, reaching Cook Strait overnight, then clearing the North Island in the morning. A squally southerly change is expected with the trough, with heavy showers and hail. Becoming colder, with snow reaching 300 metres in the far south, 500 metres about Wellington and 6-700 metres further north. Cold southerlies and showers should persist for much of the south and east tomorrow, although they should gradually ease later as weak ridging pushes over the South Island.
It should be a cold but fairly brief event.

Steve
User avatar
snowstormwatcher
Posts: 1643
Joined: Wed 23/09/2009 09:45
Location: South Canterbury. 20km inland from Timaru.
Has thanked: 188 times
Been thanked: 138 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by snowstormwatcher »

just high cloud here but looking quite dark down south not cold though still 14 degrees
Andrew Massie
Posts: 1032
Joined: Fri 10/03/2006 14:03
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by Andrew Massie »

Aaron and 03 are in Rakaia and reporting a big gust front on its way...!
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

Andrew Massie wrote:Aaron and 03 are in Rakaia and reporting a big gust front on its way...!
:pirate:
Fujita Phil
Posts: 759
Joined: Wed 03/12/2003 15:44
Location: Dunedin, NZ
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 11 times
Contact:

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by Fujita Phil »

borris89 wrote:southerly hit here in dunedin around 3.30. went very dark and then very heavy rain and strong winds but no hail.
Just got our first "short" hail storm. Looks like more to come...
There is no such thing as bad weather, just the wrong clothes.
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

The black cloud that has been on the horizon for last hour is almost upon us...
Andrew Massie
Posts: 1032
Joined: Fri 10/03/2006 14:03
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by Andrew Massie »

2nd wave's here now... graupel at sea level! 16 degrees outside with a DP of 8 degrees! Wierd!
User avatar
MoorfNZ
Posts: 506
Joined: Sat 30/05/2009 23:55
Location: (300m asl) Waddington, inland mid-Canterbury, New Zealand
Has thanked: 4 times
Been thanked: 3 times

Re: Cool end to October

Unread post by MoorfNZ »

No precipitation here at all... wind has dropped.
Locked