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Thunder Likely in the South? - Nov 2009

Posted: Sat 07/11/2009 22:34
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
For Show Week, there looks very likely, a non-severe thunderstorm risk for Canterbury as the Anticyclone in the Tasman Sea retreats and loses some of it's strength but enhancing a Sw flow on it's SE flank.
With daytime heating and an influx of coastal NE, plus a lowering of surface air pressures, the sound of thunder looks likely on the cards.
I'm not picking on any days but judging by today's skies, if the conditions were right, there could of been something more spectacular than the Rolleston fireworks I observed tonight. :-$

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sat 07/11/2009 22:40
by Michael
Probably down there,spring is boring nothing here except tons of Sc unless it goes more WNW but its unlikely as that stupid high remains in the tasman.We get lots of ours in WNW flows

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 08/11/2009 00:32
by RWood
I've seen 2 good thunderstorms in the last 3 days, but would prefer the nice hot sunshine more often. First one probably dumped about 40mm in 40 minutes.

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 08/11/2009 19:09
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
As now that non-severe or any thunder seems unlikely, I may have to delete this topic, sadly :(

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 08/11/2009 22:22
by mikestormchaser
Might be a thunderstorm in thunderstorm corner John :lol:

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Tue 10/11/2009 21:41
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Some As castellatus observed overhead this afternoon, but Cast is not a very indicator for thunder activity sadly, here. :(

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Tue 10/11/2009 21:52
by Michael
We had buildups today,but Canterbury should have more chance in a SSW flow especially if you get a NE in the next few days.

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sat 14/11/2009 19:56
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
I'm not too sure on the chances tomorrow, although surface barometer is low enough. :|

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sat 14/11/2009 20:45
by Chris Raine
We have Ac and Cc castellanus at sunset this evening. I see thunderstromoutlook has potential storms for tomorrow in Oamaru. Maybe something to chase tomorrow arvo

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sat 14/11/2009 20:51
by Michael
The tv had thunder symbols only over Sth Canterbury for tomorrow.

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 15/11/2009 17:53
by Chris Raine
Large Cb's around Oamaru this evening as Met Service forecasted NE wind on surface , westerly aloft, distant thunder heard five minutes ago I thinK to east

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 15/11/2009 17:58
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Chris Raine wrote:Large Cb's around Oamaru this evening as Met Service forecasted NE wind on surface , westerly aloft, distant thunder heard five minutes ago I thinK to east

Thanks Chris for that, I have decided I will keep this topic open because of this report of yours, and maybe others. :smile:

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 15/11/2009 20:08
by Andrew Massie
Nice anvil down south... you SURE nothing's gonna happen?!!!
Photo0162s.JPG

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 15/11/2009 20:46
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
....not really, Andrew :o

that's why I might now call this topic "Thunder Unlikely" :-s o_O

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 15/11/2009 21:22
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
....sorry, I'm wrong. Had a report of thunder,well 3 claps and a flash of lightning from the back of Akaroa about 8:30pm -sh. possibly when Paul sent his posting about BAP on the other topic. :smile:

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 15/11/2009 22:00
by mikestormchaser
:lol: your a crack up John!! :lol: great stuff

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Sun 15/11/2009 22:03
by Andrew Massie
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:....sorry, I'm wrong. JohnGaul
NZThS
Hang on, i'm just framing that comment!!! Joking! :rofl: :rofl:

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Mon 16/11/2009 13:06
by tich
Had a report of thunder,well 3 claps and a flash of lightning from the back of Akaroa about 8:30pm -sh.
Had a brief shower later in evening, but heard no thunder. Must've been off the coast to the east.

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Wed 18/11/2009 18:44
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Not a very good month for thunder,sadly :( ..and even lightning :-(

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Wed 18/11/2009 21:05
by tgsnoopy
I successfully cleared my afternoon so I could chase... Oh well. Maybe next time?

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Wed 25/11/2009 21:25
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Nothing on the horizon, so I will close this topic down,which is sad :eek: :-(


JohnGaul
NZThS

Thunder Likely in the South - First Week of Dec 2009

Posted: Mon 30/11/2009 20:40
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Could be some thunder likely in the McKenzie area tomorrow.
Might be an interesting upper level enhancement to do this?

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: Thunder Likely

Posted: Mon 30/11/2009 21:19
by spwill
thunder likely in the McKenzie area tomorrow.
Thundersnow ? :cute:

Re: No Thunder Likely

Posted: Wed 02/12/2009 21:34
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
spwill wrote: Thundersnow ? :cute:
Yesssss,snothunder :smile:
Well, spring has gone and there was nothing much around, dissapointing El nino spring period q- 8-o

JohnGaul
NZThS

Re: No Thunder Likely

Posted: Fri 04/12/2009 21:38
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
No thunder likely for here, summer now,so this makes for a very disappointing el Nino spring into summer :(
I have a feeling that no storms seem likely over the summer period or so just usual weather from weather patterns moving across the country.

JohnGaul
NZThS