NZ Weather Forum

Hey folks,

I see we're forecast some more TS activity for tomorrow... here's hoping!

Well, I'm not eating any underpants for this one
Chances for a good event look set due to timing mainly and the persistence of an easterlyish inflow.
If the southerly comes through too early, well Marlborough may get it; but then just wait and see.
I'm on 3 out 5 for this one, at the moment.

JohnGaul
NZThS

Yes!! Tomorrow may well be a chase on cards? NZstorm opinion aswel please? i will get up really early if thats the case to be ready to head out!

Hopfully the southerly and low cloud doesnt stop the storms from developing like it did on monday the 14th Ill be in chrishchurch tommorw anyway which i think is more likely to be affected than down here.

From the sounds of it, it will be a fast-moving front, so it could be a good-old 'whizz-bang' and gone again..!

Andrew Massie wrote:From the sounds of it, it will be a fast-moving front, so it could be a good-old 'whizz-bang' and gone again..!

Yes. That's why I haven't got my underpants up for the eating
What's the bet I get up tomorrow morning and find it's the usual boring WSW out there?


JohnGaul
NZThS

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Yes. That's why I haven't got my underpants up for the eating
JohnGaul
NZThS

Yet your licking your chops, LOL hahahahaha

Aargh.. How do I get out of a 4yr olds' birthday party to chase storms?!!! Easy answer is: I don't! GO Jase, Mike, John and Lacertae! Even MS now start their High risk from TC I see, John!

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Yes. That's why I haven't got my underpants up for the eating

I can just see it now... 'And here is the National Programme weather report. John Gaul says he won't be eating his underpants, so there is a high risk of thunder in Canterbury today.'!!!

I see they have inland North Canterbury & Kaikoura Coast in the high risk,hopefully this strong westerly that's blowing here dies soon.

im already to go now lol, just going to wait.
Im heading out with leighton at anytime and can meet up with other chasers aswel.. just flick me txt lacertae jase etc.

Very hot sun this morning, 10km/h sw keeping temp to 23 degrees otherwise would be high 20's. SW picking up a little now. Weak CU to SW from here.

Keep in mind there is not much instability with the southerly change today and the most likely spot for thunderstorms will be over the hills/ranges where there is some orographic push up. So its not really a good set up for stormchasing but the southerly buster may have a photogenic roll cloud with it as it passes Christchurch early afternoon.

Not looking very good sadly,now
It's west to SW here. You need that easterly onshore flow like last Monday.
As Steve W. says you will probably need an orographic push up for anything to happen.
Anyway, i hope we get a good rain later, just in time for Christmas.

JohnGaul
NZThS

Sorry guys, can't afford the fuel nor the time twice a week for chasing storms ...
Good luck and try not to miss the action this time ! (don't beat me, I'm just kidding !)

I'm unable to chase today, though I will be outdoors at ranigora racecourse so will get a view if anything happens.

The best place will be inland North Canterbury this afternoon i think, abit of a bugger its SW already however its not cooling down either.
I will be keeping an eye out and if things develope nicly i will head out.

Andrew Massie wrote:
I can just see it now... 'And here is the National Programme weather report. John Gaul says he won't be eating his underpants, so there is a high risk of thunder in Canterbury today.'!!!

I laughed until I stopped
Cheers mate

JohnGaul
NZThS

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:

Andrew Massie wrote:
I can just see it now... 'And here is the National Programme weather report. John Gaul says he won't be eating his underpants, so there is a high risk of thunder in Canterbury today.'!!!

I laughed until I stopped
Cheers mate

JohnGaul
NZThS

Anytime, Fella!

I see there is a bit of development trying to get under way in TC at the moment
Looks promising?

JohnGaul
NZThS

Heavy showers in Ashburton,no storms.
Possible hail inland from here.There was no build up on the radar.

Starting to degrade to the South now,looking a bit dark,CB's starting to build over towards the bank's

Virga promenent possibly just near the coast.

Taken 5 mins ago from Kirwee, looking S-SE

Looking Very unstable to the South now

Coming in at a hell of a pace moving N.E.