NZ Weather Forum

Metservice advise a moderate risk on the southerly changes tomorrow.

Might be a good flick of rain for the farmers, the fire risk is very highly elevated round here right now.

Moderate t-storm risk for the Canterbury tomorrow afternoon.

Yussss! I'm teaching, but ANYTHING wil be welcome!

Some castellatus forms on some cloud to the west, just north of TC this evening, but sadly that scenario dosen't work here in Canterbury for indicating possible thunderstorms

JohnGaul
NZThS

The moderate risk has now been moved north and inland.

melja wrote:The moderate risk has now been moved north and inland.

Yes, I see this...
...but then we can't have horrible weather disrupting the Ellerslie Flower show

JohnGaul
NZThS

Well when the Hagley flower show in November was in Auckland the weather often had tents blown over etc etc.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Yes, I see this...
...but then we can't have horrible weather disrupting the Ellerslie Flower show

JohnGaul
NZThS

but then we can't have horrible weather disrupting the Ellerslie Flower show

Hopefully not. When it was in Auckland it got knocked around a bit by bad weather because it was held in November. I guess thats why they now hold it in March.

No its held in March down here because November is already heavily booked with Show Week, etc

Nothing too major with this change which arrived abit earlier than i anticipated, it was already southerly and overcast at 8am this morning.
This threw out any thunderstorm chances straight away.
Light drizzly rain for most of the morning turned to a more persistant rain in the afternoon, although its now easing back up again by the looks.
I am thinking a better chance for thunderstorms and hail tomorrow early afternoon with the next cold surger, as long as we can get some sunshine in the morning and a sneaky NE.

Jasestorm wrote: I am thinking a better chance for thunderstorms and hail tomorrow early afternoon with the next cold surger, as long as we can get some sunshine in the morning and a sneaky NE.

Surface pressure a bit too high for anything eventful ..but it's a sluggish, high 1030's high, this southerly is working it's way around and anything can happen.
If it does, it won't be much.

JohnGaul
NZThS

The Tstorm season has been a write-off down here, Ive packed the rain gauge up just gotta wait round a few months for the big snow this winter.

03Stormchaser wrote:The Tstorm season has been a write-off down here, Ive packed the rain gauge up just gotta wait round a few months for the big snow this winter.

Hey! You're stealing MY prediction!

Yes. She's been a "Non-burger" of a thunderstorm season all-right
That's why I withdrew from the photo competition, as a protest

JohnGaul
NZThS

Yes. She's been a "Non-burger" of a thunderstorm season all-right

Spent 4hrs in Christchurch , saw a great thunderstorm Dec 14

spwill wrote:

Yes. She's been a "Non-burger" of a thunderstorm season all-right

Spent 4hrs in Christchurch , saw a great thunderstorm Dec 14

pfffttt maybe that was great if you used to NI storms!

pfffttt maybe that was great if you used to NI storms!

I told a lie , the storm I saw was out at Darfield not Christchurch, yes Chch has had a non season

ttt maybe that was great if you used to NI storms!

http://blog.metservice.com/2010/01/thunderstorms/

Very impressive reading that link, backs up that things have been quiet down here!

Big TS going off here in Waddington - huge rumbles of thunder and flashes of lightning...

I thought I saw a flash here in town half an hour ago too....

Thunder heard to the west now

Yeah, theres quite a few strikes on the radar too.

Pretty nice day out today. 8 degrees, with a 5C feels like. 70kph winds, 6mm/h rain, and some thunderstorm activity. Brrrrrrrrr

About half a dozen rumbles here over the last 15 mins, and one just now very close - saw the flash, and a very crisp rumble no more than one second later.

Lukemyster wrote:Yeah, theres quite a few strikes on the radar too.

Pretty nice day out today. 8 degrees, with a 5C feels like. 70kph winds, 6mm/h rain, and some thunderstorm activity. Brrrrrrrrr

Yeah - think I might need to get a fire going!!

All gone