Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
- Tornado Tim
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Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
M/s have a moderate risk for Waikato southwards because of a trough then a cold front later on..
WXSIM has LI values to drop below zero around 3 PM with a temperature around the mid to lowish 20's°C mark.
A total totals index is expected to be around the low 50's mark, which means any storms that do develop can be quite healthy.
The upper air temperatures will cool quite significantly throughout the day it seems around -15 to -17°C according to the GFS.
Its my day off Tech tomorrow so I will be chasing if its good....... Jamie are you available?
WXSIM has LI values to drop below zero around 3 PM with a temperature around the mid to lowish 20's°C mark.
A total totals index is expected to be around the low 50's mark, which means any storms that do develop can be quite healthy.
The upper air temperatures will cool quite significantly throughout the day it seems around -15 to -17°C according to the GFS.
Its my day off Tech tomorrow so I will be chasing if its good....... Jamie are you available?
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Last edited by Tornado Tim on Tue 23/03/2010 19:29, edited 1 time in total.
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- DT-NZ
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Re: Chance of Thunder 23rd March, 2010
NEAT
Lightning in NZ
The right terminology lends a hint as to the nature of the different forms.
A Vertigo Quote.
The right terminology lends a hint as to the nature of the different forms.
A Vertigo Quote.
- tgsnoopy
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Re: Chance of Thunder 23rd March, 2010
Sigh, no car & working with the boss. The lil bomb is getting it's 4th engine in 4 months.
- NZstorm
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Yes, I have to agree, looking like a thunderstorm set up tomorrow afternoon over the west of the North Island as the cold front comes in. Also, GFS suggests the weak slow moving front across northern NZ may find some life in the morning with embedded ts possible tomorrow. We need a decent drop of rain!
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Yeah check out MS 3 day rain model, shows some heavy rain over Auckland tomorrow morning:NZstorm wrote:Yes, I have to agree, looking like a thunderstorm set up tomorrow afternoon over the west of the North Island as the cold front comes in. Also, GFS suggests the weak slow moving front across northern NZ may find some life in the morning with embedded ts possible tomorrow. We need a decent drop of rain!
http://metservice.com/national/maps-rai ... cast-3-day
Although it is modeled to be rather narrow
- NZstorm
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
There would be a tornado risk for Taranaki today if surface winds can stay in a N direction. Currently NP airport has 340deg/15kts.
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
can see yesterdays front is getting re activated to the NW of the auckland area on the sat pic
heading our way
yeah!
heading our way
yeah!
- David
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
I am wondering if we are even going to manage 10mm today?
I would hope so, but seeing how fine and sunny it is this morning is worrying!
I would hope so, but seeing how fine and sunny it is this morning is worrying!
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
sunshine ahead of the front is a good thing..the day time heating thing...
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Yes, perhaps daytime heating will help fire up the Front given dewpoints are 18C, reminds me of winter with all the action in the Tasman..
Mid April to early May is usually when our summer ridge breaks down properly .
Mid April to early May is usually when our summer ridge breaks down properly .
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
what we need is the new trough in the tasman to shove onto us the old frontal boundary out to the west...hopefull that will happen this arvo
- Tornado Tim
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Some decent thunderstorms by the west of the south island.
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
The trough has got very well defined on the radar now
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Saw a flash and heard a couple of good rumbles at lunch time, but hard to hear as the rainfall was torrential. All gone now, fine blue skies, with some cloud, and the hills are now visible as the cloud level has risen considerably. Quite fierce wind associated with this, and some damage to trees and fences etc out back of Westport towards the hills.
- DT-NZ
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Wow... any pics!!!Kimkliff wrote: Quite fierce wind associated with this, and some damage to trees and fences etc out back of Westport towards the hills.
Lightning in NZ
The right terminology lends a hint as to the nature of the different forms.
A Vertigo Quote.
The right terminology lends a hint as to the nature of the different forms.
A Vertigo Quote.
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Sorry - I had a Paid Union meeting and was stuck inside watching with awe (while I was supposed to be listening to our rep )
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
was in waiuku, at the dentist
good heavy rain there ,9mm recorded at one station (the sandspit road station has the power off)
good heavy rain there ,9mm recorded at one station (the sandspit road station has the power off)
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Just enough rain here to wet the pavement
Coast between Taranaki and kapati looks to be in the firing line for some thunderstorms , also there are some thundery Cbs coastal North Otago .
Coast between Taranaki and kapati looks to be in the firing line for some thunderstorms , also there are some thundery Cbs coastal North Otago .
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
7 mm here so far. was in huntly today and they had far more than that and my uncle in raglan has had close to 30mm today
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Thunderstorms and small hail in Oamaru since 2.30pm . Active cell Nth of the town currently
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
Looks as though TC is starting to develop
JohnGaul
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
looking SW from the port hills.
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Re: Chance of Thunder 24th March, 2010
I wasn't going to put up a seperate topic on this, but it looks as though it may deliver here,
JohnGaul
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