MetService Forecasts

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

I see that MetService now have a low confidence of heavy snow for Westland and Fiordland on Thursday according to their latest SWO? Dosen't sound right to me

JohnGaul
NZThS

[Michael]

They have a WSW -SW change thurs evening according to metservice.

I see that MetService now have a low confidence of heavy snow for Westland and Fiordland on Thursday according to their latest SWO? Dosen't sound right to me

JohnGaul
NZThS

[Richard]

They have a WSW -SW change thurs evening according to metservice.

I see that MetService now have a low confidence of heavy snow for Westland and Fiordland on Thursday according to their latest SWO? Dosen't sound right to me

JohnGaul
NZThS

Certainly wouldnt be lower enough to affect 99.95 of people that live in Westland,only hunters and trampers beware wouldn't it??

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Today's SWO has amended it to heavy rain but I think there would be lots of snow on Fiordland/Westland upper peaks.

JohnGaul
NZThS

[melja]

At it again with CHCH down for 1C tonight and its 3.8C at 5:45pm! you have got to be kidding M/S pick the game up you guys and get a little local input pleassssee.
Edit: and no frost even mentioned in the foracast

[Michael]

Probably not quite pertaining to metservice,I remember in the "old days" listening to the old 2ZB the likes,giving the weather forecast in Wellington as Northerlies or southerlies,not NW or SSE/SE which seem to be the true wind directions down there.

[snowstormwatcher]

Metservice forcasts for both Timaru and Ashburton yesterday were showers clearing in the afternoon which was roughly right yet at 11am today they changed there forcast to fine weather yet there orignal forcast of showers in the morning was right. Seems a bit weird they had there forcast right to start with then they change it.

[Richard]

wouldn't that be the forecast for the afternoon

[RWood]

Probably not quite pertaining to metservice,I remember in the "old days" listening to the old 2ZB the likes,giving the weather forecast in Wellington as Northerlies or southerlies,not NW or SSE/SE which seem to be the true wind directions down there.

The forecasts give the directions properly as far as I've heard, especially in the case of Cook Strait. In "those days" they may have assumed their listeners couldn't cope with anything too complicated.

[snowstormwatcher]

wouldn't that be the forecast for the afternoon

I didnt realise that metservice changed there forcast to an afternoon forcast after 11am as there is no mention of this on there website. I thought that they would have kept the same forcast throught out the day as anyone reading the forcast could get the wrong idea. As there is no mention of the showers that have been falling during the morning. But given the fact that there was still shower activity around the Ashburton area untill early afternoon i think that metservice issued the forcast for fine weather prematurely.

[Michael]

Is the ms radar working,lately theres no images?Guess I can look out the window though.

[Nev]

Is the ms radar working,lately theres no images?Guess I can look out the window though.

No problems here?

[Michael]

ok it must be the old site
http://vaac.metservice.com/default/inde ... zrainradar
its up on the new one,I used the old one because of the ads on the new one.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

ok it must be the old site
http://vaac.metservice.com/default/inde ... zrainradar
its up on the new one,I used the old one because of the ads on the new one.

They still have ads on the old site.
Even though, they don't have rain radar imagery, I use the old site for latest weather charts as the new site sometimes dosen't update them, also the satelitte imagery is bigger.

JohnGaul
NZThS

[Michael]

at least theres not telecom and banks I think they advertise the 0900 line which I never would ring.
The old site loads far quicker hence using it.

[burgla]

Google ADblock- great for getting rid of ads - pages don't seem to be any slower loading !!

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

This from MetService's SWO dated 29 June 2010

Quote Issued 1:33pm Tuesday 29 June 2010, Valid from Thursday 1 July 2010 to Sunday 4 July 2010

A ridge of high pressure should cover most of New Zealand through Thursday and Friday. A shallow trough of low pressure should cross the North Island during Saturday. A cold front should bring cold showery southerlies onto the south of


...and that's it

shoely thye dhoul;d cjeck SOW fourcarst out befor thye put it up on their

JohnGaul
NZThS

[David]

This from MetService's SWO dated 29 June 2010

Quote Issued 1:33pm Tuesday 29 June 2010, Valid from Thursday 1 July 2010 to Sunday 4 July 2010

A ridge of high pressure should cover most of New Zealand through Thursday and Friday. A shallow trough of low pressure should cross the North Island during Saturday. A cold front should bring cold showery southerlies onto the south of


...and that's it

shoely thye dhoul;d cjeck SOW fourcarst out befor thye put it up on their

JohnGaul
NZThS

it was posted at 1.30pm, perhaps they had a lunch break and then forgot about it
Unless they weren't sure where the cold southerlies would hit...

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Unless they weren't sure where the cold southerlies would hit...

....either that, or they ran out of ink due to MetService cut-backs in spending?

JohnGaul
NZThS

[Cook]

wouldn't that be the forecast for the afternoon

I didnt realise that metservice changed there forcast to an afternoon forcast after 11am as there is no mention of this on there website. I thought that they would have kept the same forcast throught out the day as anyone reading the forcast could get the wrong idea. As there is no mention of the showers that have been falling during the morning. But given the fact that there was still shower activity around the Ashburton area untill early afternoon i think that metservice issued the forcast for fine weather prematurely.

A forecast is a forecast, not a description of past weather. Therefor a forecast issued at 11am or later does not, and should not make any reference to the mornings weather.

[Richard]

Well done MS,they have finally forcasted below zero temps in rural Canterbury over the coming days even though there's been heaps already had thought they were going to go the whole winter with out getting it right.

[NZstorm]

The Met Service are running with an overnight low for Auckland of 10C and yet our dewpoints will be 13-14C all night!
I checked the gfs and it has a low of 13C. So not sure were the Met Service found the 10C.

[spwill]

Certainly a mild evening for mid winter, current Northland /Auckland temps are around 14-15C with similar dewpoints.

[Michael]

Its only 14 in the house,must be lower outside here,is raining here too so say be 11-12 outside.

[NZstorm]

Airport metar Micheal.

NZAA 210800Z 04019KT 9999 SHRA FEW010 SCT014 BKN030 14/14 Q1017