General July Weather

[NZstorm]

Sounding for Whenuapai today. Shows the air airmass looking very cold and marginally unstable.

This type of sounding is good for pop corn cb's over heated land in summer.

[spwill]

Partly cloudy, 15C, any showers today have been very isolated.

Looks like a change in weather pattern now to a more mobile westerly type pattern, hopefully it will throw some interesting weather our way.

[Manukau heads obs]

a nice looking tower has gone up to my SW
should be visible from the big smoke

[Andrew Massie]

If you get thunder up there.... I'll be

Prime your cameras for those who have boring weather..!

[tich]

Had a more substantial shower just after my last post, but didn't last for long. Still cloudy out here, but no more showers.

[Richard]

Yer Andrew,back to the boring weather again after having a few days of moderate flooding around these parts.
Pleased to see outside as its getting dark that after a lovely mostly sunny day the cloud has come back in, hopefully to keep any frosts away.
Looks like the lower SL had a lot of the fogs again today going by the link below
http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subs ... NewZealand

[vinodrinker]

Thats rather big, something to keep an eye on for next Sunday. Ofcourse will probably change but anyhow will be interesting to watch the progress of it.

I'm not liking the look of this, im running the taupo half marathon that day. Just hope it changes!

But if you look at this map??? they dont seem to reconcile!???

http://metservice.com/national/maps-rai ... future-72h

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Latest ECMWF show another "Big Blow" over central NZ this time for July31st/August 1st
35 years since the "Canterbury Big blow" of 1975.

JohnGaul
NZThS

[melja]

Cool im thinking the start of the spring NWers are near roll on spring.

[vinodrinker]

so why is the sunday fcast from metservice for taupo say rain and LIGHT WINDS?

[Manukau heads obs]

the high will be extending a ridge on the NE corner of the NI
and cold air (could be drizzle even) in the center of the NI is hard to shift....they can be strong NW winds in Tarananki and wanganui but light winds in taupo no problem under those conditions

[Richard]

A NW wind came through about mid morning which should help dry the place out a bit

[Michael]

Plenty of Cbs out there today to the south.

[vinodrinker]

the high will be extending a ridge on the NE corner of the NI
and cold air (could be drizzle even) in the center of the NI is hard to shift....they can be strong NW winds in Tarananki and wanganui but light winds in taupo no problem under those conditions

A bit cool and the odd bit of drizzle with light winds will be ok
Prefer dead calm cool and clear but hey its winter

[Dale]

Nice big Cb out towards Brians direction marching in.. black as over there.. looks very interesting!

[Manukau heads obs]

its a bit of a "fuzzy" looking CB, they are not as "hard edged" as the ones yesterday..
getting rain from it now..dropped the temperature alot from 15 to 11

[jamie]

had a nice towering CU this afternoon with a very very interesting lowering.

[David]

Had a very heavy shower in the city at 5pm....glad I had my umbrella with me

[spwill]

Cb cloud today.

[Manukau heads obs]

with a very very interesting lowering.

there was a shower that looked similar over the waiuku area at around 11:45am, a boundary with the new westerly airmass that came in this afternoon...

[Talbotm]

Im starting to get abit concerned about the mild winter we are having i thought this was meant to be a bad winter. its would be one of the mildest i can remember around upperhutt and south wairarapa. I want some good old southerlys for some snow up mt ruapehu and a dusting around here wouldnt go a miss either .

[melja]

Just gone NW here and temp has gone up to 10C , was 2.9C with light frost on the truck at 9.45pm

[spwill]

Im starting to get abit concerned about the mild winter we are having i thought this was meant to be a bad winter. its would be one of the mildest i can remember around upperhutt and south wairarapa. I want some good old southerlys for some snow up mt ruapehu and a dusting around here wouldnt go a miss either .

No decent wintry Polar outbreak this Autumn/Winter so far. Unusal not to have had a low level snowfall for coastal Otago/Southland by now . Much of the SouthIsland Skii field snow has come from a couple of slow moving subtropical Lows early in the winter so I reckon they have been very lucky to get away with a good season this year.

[Manukau heads obs]

I see Hobart is heading for a record warm July...
the frosty week or so we had has meant overall July temperatures are just below average...but take away that frosty period and temperatures would have been much higher than normal
see my differences from average column here:
http://www.weather-display.com/windy/gb ... taout.html

some days we were like 4C colder than normal for that day....
but alot of the rest of the month has been above average temperatures (sea temperatures are average to above average on this side of the pacific so understandable)

[RWood]

Im starting to get abit concerned about the mild winter we are having i thought this was meant to be a bad winter. its would be one of the mildest i can remember around upperhutt and south wairarapa. I want some good old southerlys for some snow up mt ruapehu and a dusting around here wouldnt go a miss either .

Although June was about 0.3C warmer than average for the country as a whole, a check on the Climate Explorer maps shows that for the first 25 days of July the majority of the country has been between 0C and 1C below average, with some much smaller areas in the NW and west of the country up to 0.5C above, the overall result courtesy of some pretty good frosts. Most areas have been drier than average, with the more westerly parts and much of the South Island a long way below average.

By a "bad" winter I presume you mean a cold one - none of the reputable forecasters were predicting a colder than average winter, as far as I can recall. Locally as far as I'm concerned the May-June period in this area was lousy, as it was extremely wet and very cloudy. July has been a considerable improvement with more sun, but rainfall not low enough to allow much drying out.

PS - temperature averages for July so far have been around 0.5C below for Wellington, Kapiti and southern Wairarapa.