General August Weather

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Models now making August not looking as good as what was once thought of earlier.

JohnGaul
NZThS

[melja]

As in spring and warm or not as unsettled

[Richard]

MS not far off with the 130km winds that they forecasted ,some massive gusts came through here last night,would have blown a few sparrows out of bed

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

MS not far off with the 130km winds that they forecasted ,some massive gusts came through here last night,would have blown a few sparrows out of bed

Ah! That is good as to mark the 35th anniversary of the Big Blow of 1975 where most of Balmoral Forest was levelled

JohnGaul
NZThS

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

As in spring and warm or not as unsettled

Yes. most of those and interesting weather but I'm usually wrong.
This is for much of the country not just Canterbury.


JohnGaul
NZThS

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Funny old day here with spots of rain all day but yet the ground wasnt wet until early afternoon. Maybe 1mm out of it! Anyhow, I know it is only August 1st but I gotta say I really dont actually think we are going to see any snow this winter here. It really seems that way and long range models show nothing either. This spring like pattern looks set to stay for the next few days anyways. I dont even remember it even looking like snowing this winter with the exception of one day where we had some sleety stuff but even then that was brief. Hopefully some more interesting weather sometime soon.

[Tim S]

We had a fairly good blow, by Nelson standards anyway, this from the Nelson Mail website:

MetService meteorologist Ross Marsden said the strongest wind readings at Nelson Airport were at 3pm yesterday, when wind reached speeds of 32 knots, gusting to 45.

full article here: http://www.stuff.co.nz/nelson-mail/news ... -for-trees

Still just a strong Western Australian seabreeze by my standards though.

Not that much rain either, only 18mm in total in my gauge with similar readings in several other places in Nelson burbs by the looks of things.

[Michael]

Had warm sunshine most of the day,good as it was expecting to rain.

[Storm Struck]

Funny old day here with spots of rain all day but yet the ground wasnt wet until early afternoon. Maybe 1mm out of it! Anyhow, I know it is only August 1st but I gotta say I really dont actually think we are going to see any snow this winter here. It really seems that way and long range models show nothing either. This spring like pattern looks set to stay for the next few days anyways. I dont even remember it even looking like snowing this winter with the exception of one day where we had some sleety stuff but even then that was brief. Hopefully some more interesting weather sometime soon.

All it takes is one of these stationary lows with milder air to run into a cold southerly blast, which the situations are certainly there just the highs have been positioning themselves in the right spots to stop the cold southerly blasts from coming up and allowing the shallow lows in.

A very nice sunrise this morning with a double rainbow, SW came through around 10am and cooled things down a tad with just light showers on and off all day.

[David]

How unusual, we've got fog here at 7.30 in the evening!

[tich]

SW came through around 10am and cooled things down a tad with just light showers on and off all day.

Alot wetter on outer BP; in fact really persistent rain in afternoon. However, there was a significant improvement as I came back into Chch late afternoon, with only a few spits of rain from about Birdling's Flat onwards.

[mikestormchaser]

Funny old day here with spots of rain all day but yet the ground wasnt wet until early afternoon. Maybe 1mm out of it! Anyhow, I know it is only August 1st but I gotta say I really dont actually think we are going to see any snow this winter here. It really seems that way and long range models show nothing either. This spring like pattern looks set to stay for the next few days anyways. I dont even remember it even looking like snowing this winter with the exception of one day where we had some sleety stuff but even then that was brief. Hopefully some more interesting weather sometime soon.

Wouldnt be speaking to soon leights
But i for one am sick of the cold boring dull days this winter with not alot of action, i havent even botherd to take much notice with the weather for the past month as the long range forecasts have said nothing.
I personally would love the spring like weather pattern to continue now.. roll on the warmer months and see what storm season will bring this time round for Canterbury cant wait!!
NOTE: a nice wee clip on some lightning on tv 1 news tonight also, gives people a bit more understanding of the energy and thrill of why we chase. good stuff

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

I hate to be a pessimest, Mike, but we are in a El Nino period , so things don't look all that great, sadly
Just heaps of boring weather, even for spring
Who said that global warming was going to produce more severe weather?????????
More BORING weather, I say

JohnGaul
NZThS

[Dale]

0930 and the fog is just getting worse by the minute here.. was clear as a bell at 0700 now its just turned to a pea soup mush!
Hate to be regional airlines today not equipped with CAT 2 & 3 ILS.. wont be going anywhere!

[RWood]

... but we are in a El Nino period , so things don't look all that great, sadly
Just heaps of boring weather, even for spring
Who said that global warming was going to produce more severe weather?????????
More BORING weather, I say

JohnGaul
NZThS

No we aren't - La Nina conditions are developing. I'd love to have a "boring" couple of anticyclonic spring months as in, say, Sept-Oct 1985. Not too hopeful though.

[Dale]

Id just love a week of sunshine or no rain period.. the paddocks are so saturated it isnt funny anymore. Even the tractors are having a rough time of it.

[Lukemyster]

http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/south-paci ... ward-Earth

Would go to the WM observatory but looks to be a overcast night

[mikestormchaser]

I hate to be a pessimest, Mike, but we are in a El Nino period , so things don't look all that great, sadly
Just heaps of boring weather, even for spring
Who said that global warming was going to produce more severe weather?????????
More BORING weather, I say

JohnGaul
NZThS

Hope your so wrong lol

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

No we aren't - La Nina conditions are developing. I'd love to have a "boring" couple of anticyclonic spring months as in, say, Sept-Oct 1985. Not too hopeful though.

Yes we are. Developing conditions means that we are in a El Nino period as far as I'm concerned.

JohnGaul
NZThS

[Dale]

El Nîno? Which hemisphere are you in John?
This is a classic La Nîna phase, might be my first for UnZud but for my dealings with Aussie.. totally different package.

[RWood]

No we aren't - La Nina conditions are developing. I'd love to have a "boring" couple of anticyclonic spring months as in, say, Sept-Oct 1985. Not too hopeful though.

Yes we are. Developing conditions means that we are in a El Nino period as far as I'm concerned.

JohnGaul
NZThS

El Nino is completely dead.

Refer: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

[TonyT]

John, the El Nino's passed on. This El Nino is no more, it has ceased to be!
It's expired and gone to meet its maker!
It's a stiff. Bereft of life, it rests in peace. If you hadn't mentioned it just now it'd be pushing up the daisies!
Its metabolic processes are now 'istory!
El Nino's off the twig!
'El Nino's kicked the bucket, it's shuffled off its mortal coil, run down the curtain and joined the bleedin' choir invisibile!! THIS IS AN EX-El NINO!!

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

.....ducking for cover....
sorry guys, I Goofed it up...
I DID mean La Nina.

..It's all that fame that has gone to my head after my article in the July "Avenues" magazine
I get so confused these daze
Nice one Tony

JohnGaul
NZThS

[NZstorm]

El Nino means SW changes/storms for Canterbury and John would never forget that!!!

The 12Z run of the gfs is coming in colder for the South Island at the weekend throwing up some snow possibilities for inland parts. Have to see how the next couple of runs go but maybe winter will have another fling!

[Dean.]

Bring it on!
Going to be extremely cold and wet at the Rugby for us on Saturday night in ChCh!
I knew we should have grabbed those covered seats.
Latest GFS have low thicknesses over the SI on Sunday.Hope it sticks!