NZ Weather Forum

Looking a good set up and with MS having a high risk.
Some good gale force winds when the change comes through, and hail size could even be about the same as today 10-15mm maybe.
I dont know why MS havnt mentioned about the hail in the thunder outlook, as it is a cold blast coming up so hail is definatly likly.
Change looks to sweep through south canterbury around early afternoon and mid to north canterbury late afternoon/evening.

It should be good to have some rumblings from above instead of from below for a change
I know which ones I prefer.


JohnGaul
NZThS

It will have that "early spring storm" feel to it, working to 4pm so may miss it other than my 180 degree view to the south and port hills from work!

Ill be knocking off about 4pmish id say, maybe earlier. we'll see.
Id have to say there would be hail in with any storm activity witch may accour, will have to see.
Certainly a reasonable chance when they put a high risk out!
Some nice height and structure to some of the Towering CU out there today, and reports of thunder/hail inland.
Nothing in the city i heard though.

cheers

Will be keeping an eye out and will chase if things look good

Cheers
Aaron

Quick look at the mornings models, things looking pretty likely, change about 4pm in chch. Will be interesting to see metservices severe thunderstorm outlook this morning.

03Stormchaser wrote:Quick look at the mornings models, things looking pretty likely, change about 4pm in chch. Will be interesting to see metservices severe thunderstorm outlook this morning.

great

Down to a moderate risk now. Looks like much of the South Island moderate risk sometime today as well.

Oamaru sitting on 6.6 C after the change has gone thru while Timaru on 17C before the change.

Hope this NW is kiling it off...

CHCH Weather Chaser wrote:Hope this NW is kiling it off...

Not something we really want to hear thanks leighton
Please keep that to urself

Not looking very promising with this blustery Nor-wester,sadly, mind you clouds are gathering to the south now.

JohnGaul
NZThS

mikestormchaser wrote:

CHCH Weather Chaser wrote:Hope this NW is kiling it off...

Not something we really want to hear thanks leighton
Please keep that to urself

Whoops i meant hope this NW ISNT killing it off

Band of navy-blue beneath grey cloud on southern horizon now, moving this way.

No southerly here yet, but 5pm radar suggests the change is really moving up quick.
Possible storm developing inland from Rakaia perhaps.

Im afraid to say i think judging by the atmostphere it looks very dry, and nothing seems to look great at all, potential will be low now.

Southerly arrived at 5.18pm. Wispy grey cloud rushing in multiple directions; some appearing to form as I watch - coming from the north. Odd. Temp. dropped from 14.2 to 12.1 now.

Orion wrote:Band of navy-blue beneath grey cloud on southern horizon now, moving this way.

That sound good Orion,NW wind has died right down here now,hoping hoping

mikestormchaser wrote:Im afraid to say i think judging by the atmostphere it looks very dry, and nothing seems to look great at all, potential will be low now.

Dam

Looks very threatening here in Cracroft all of a sudden

Light rain, still gusty wind.

Thunder rolling just now over back of Westmorland...very blue looking wall cloud developing out to the west/ SW of me

Southerly arrived here just before 5pm with low cloud no storm activity currently 7 degrees.

7.6degrees here now and no sign of thunderstorm. Still light rain.

Rain radar looking impressive. Gale SW has just arrived and blown spring blossom everywhere round our front yard- looks like snow