Page 1 of 1

New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Fri 24/12/2010 09:14
by spwill
A weather forecast for New Years Eve, mostly dry and cooler, a few showers possible for the upper half of the North Island more likely in the afternoon/ early evening.

Re: New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Fri 24/12/2010 09:25
by NZstorm
GFS chart for 12Z 31 December. Yes, looks the potential there for rain in a few spots.

Re: New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Tue 28/12/2010 18:09
by spwill
spwill wrote:A weather forecast for New Years Eve, mostly dry and cooler, a few showers possible for the upper half of the North Island more likely in the afternoon/ early evening.
Clearing conditions for the upper NorthIsland by evening , showers linger around Gisborne, low cloud drizzle develops for eastern SouthIsland moving north but clearing in the far south.

Re: New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Tue 28/12/2010 19:59
by NZstorm
GFS has been showing instability over the BOP/Gisborne/Hawkes Bay regions for Friday afternoon.

Re: New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Tue 28/12/2010 21:51
by spwill
Yes at this stage there is a thunderstorm risk BOP to Gisborne regions friday afternoon.

Re: New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Thu 30/12/2010 07:41
by NZstorm
Still looks like Gisborne will be the spot for a new years eve drenching with pm thunder still looking likely. A surface trough with very moist air with lie across the upper North island tomorrow while a broad upper trough crosses the country. Convergence due to a SW change pushing into the NI should trigger a few thunderstorms from about Rotorua across to Gisborne.

Over the South Island the air looks cold enough for some late afternoon/evening convection over east Otago with a few heavy showers on the cards. 700mb temperatures -5C which is quite chilly for December and does look like there will be convergence from onshore winds.

Re: New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Thu 30/12/2010 07:49
by Richard
NZstorm wrote:Still looks like Gisborne will be the spot for a new years eve drenching with pm thunder still looking likely. A surface trough with very moist air with lie across the upper North island tomorrow while a broad upper trough crosses the country. Convergence due to a SW change pushing into the NI should trigger a few thunderstorms from about Rotorua across to Gisborne.

Over the South Island the air looks cold enough for some late afternoon/evening convection over east Otago with a few heavy showers on the cards. 700mb temperatures -5C which is quite chilly for December and does look like there will be convergence from onshore winds.

\:D/ \:D/ \:D/ Hope you are right Steven

Re: New Years Eve Weather

Posted: Thu 30/12/2010 09:16
by Michael
NZstorm wrote:Convergence due to a SW change pushing into the NI

q- :lol: Hope you are Wrong Steven