Disturbed Westerlies July

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 04/07/2011 22:54

According to the models there looks like an interesting period of westerlies, this July, for New Zealand with a result of an active trough slow moving to the south of us in the "Roaring 40s" for the next week or so, starting from now.
This should result in lots of strong and raw winds over the country plus some cold temperatures to exposed areas.
Might be a bit milder in some areas too, but then we'll wait and see.

JohnGaul
NZThS

Manukau heads obs · Tue 05/07/2011 07:34

typicaly the weather pattern is the opposite straight after a NIWA long term seasonal forecast (they said lighter westerlies ), LOL
(long term that might end up being the case)

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 05/07/2011 07:38

The first round of cold unstable weather crosses the North Island tomorrow with squally thunderstorms in the west, south of Auckland. Looking like quite as strong shortwave moving into the west of the NI during the afternoon.

500mn chart for midday Wednesday

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 05/07/2011 07:41

Manukau heads obs wrote:typicaly the weather pattern is the opposite straight after a NIWA long term seasonal forecast (they said lighter westerlies ), LOL
(long term that might end up being the case)

And you are right,the amount of times the opposite happens makes ya wonder really.

Weatherzone look to have this pattern changing to more southerly after next weekend

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Tue 05/07/2011 18:29

Manukau heads obs wrote:typicaly the weather pattern is the opposite straight after a NIWA long term seasonal forecast (they said lighter westerlies ), LOL
(long term that might end up being the case)

Agree, have noticed this seemingly never-fail tradition myself

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 05/07/2011 23:15

ECMWF have this pattern going over for a period to the end of their forecast period.
I wonder if it will continue?

JohnGaul
NZThS

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Wed 06/07/2011 08:13

This weather pattern looks horrible! No end in sight on the models.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 06/07/2011 08:25

great for wind power

4.5 kwh since midnight from the 2nd turbine (560 watts average), to 8:25am

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Wed 06/07/2011 09:08

The 90s were always like it so was the early 2000s,it went on for weeks in winter.Just wind and rain.No frostsall or sweet all sorry this word wraps cursor wont budgesweet all

jamie.haultain wrote:This weather pattern looks horrible! No end in sight on the models.

CHCH Weather Chaser · Wed 06/07/2011 09:23

And with this, the extremely boring weather continues.

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Wed 06/07/2011 11:54

The sun is shining, westerly crud is missing us and passing to our north, air is fresh, ground already looks drier than it has for at least 2-3 weeks. I feel as if I've been released from a prison.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 06/07/2011 17:41

I can see people getting fed up with the wind soon. I notice Whenuapai airport had a peak gust of 52kts late this afternoon. Also, I noticed slight hail in a couple of those squally showers this afternoon in central Auckland.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Thu 07/07/2011 21:22

Motorists trapped in snow & ice on Lindis Pass - still no snow warning for that road from Metservice.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Thu 07/07/2011 22:16

Well they've now got a warning out now, though probably too late.

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Disturbed Westerlies July

Disturbed Westerlies July

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