Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Thu 06/10/2011 08:59

kool.... check it out!!!!
Maybe a chase?

http://www.metservice.com/national/warn ... rm-outlook

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Thu 06/10/2011 09:02

Wow

,up to 40mm hour !!! not bad

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Thu 06/10/2011 10:19

Richard wrote:Wow ,up to 40mm hour !!! not bad

I am not sure what to make of those rain intensities they issue.
Any estimation they stick up on there is usually well below the actual intensity of precip falling.

The typical Thunderstorm will have precip intensities that quite often breach 100mm/hr in the core of the storm.
Unless they are talking about potential accumulation intensities then that would make sense.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 06/10/2011 12:20

Nice sunny day in Auckland 18C.

GFS is showing about 400j/kg CAPE and some convergence over inland Waikato this afternoon so maybe a late afternoon thundery shower there but nothing too significant in my opinion.

Manukau heads obs · Thu 06/10/2011 12:22

does not look to be much going to happen here
sea breeze looks like its going to come in here soon

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Thu 06/10/2011 13:24

Looks as something over northland to about Whangarei or abouts.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 06/10/2011 17:04

Mainly fine, max 19C.
There is shallow seabreeze convergece across parts of Auckland currently with perhaps a shower for some places.

David · Unread post by **David** » Thu 06/10/2011 18:18

torrential downpour here

David · Unread post by **David** » Thu 06/10/2011 18:28

It was brief, 3.6mm rain total

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 06/10/2011 18:59

Dry here.
Photo showing convergence line near here.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 06/10/2011 19:00

I could see a glaciated top over your way David, a weakish cb. A few thundery showers over the central NI as well I notice.

Manukau heads obs · Thu 06/10/2011 20:58

the CB over the Hunua ranges looked good from Waiuku when I was in town around 5pm
real summers day time weather

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Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

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