Canterbury Non Thunder Nov 2nd but Possibly the 4th

[Razor]

Well well the misty drizzle is radiply clearing and some interesting cloud blowups already apparently starting overhead here in ChCh

With some decent sun and a NE developing it could be a real cracker this afternoon

(also noting we are nearly 48 hours without an aftershock- I think thats a record since Sept 3 2010)

Hopefully no thunder from down under today....only aloft

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Yes still a lot of low cloud about but the sun is trying to pop through at times and where it does appear you can be some bubbling CU above the lower level cloud. Clear sky, clear!

[Manukau heads obs]

sounds like a great setup.....get ready to chase!

[Razor]

Low cloud has come back in, hold the phone

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Low cloud has come back in, hold the phone

Yes was thinking the same thing. The good thing is its reasonably mild out there, but it isnt looking so promising currently. I give it hour and a half tops to clear or goodbye to that.

[Manukau heads obs]

low cloud is OK...means there is lots of moisture and there is a cap (inversion)
sounds like a good setup
get ready to chase in the afternoon

[Razor]

Its trying to break here, touch and go

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Key hour coming up. 13 degrees currently with a DP of 10. Light SW breeze.

[NZstorm]

I agree with 03stormchaser, the risk looks quite low today. If the cold upper air can come in a bit quicker something could fire over the North Otago/South Canterbury but its a struggle to get instability today.

[Razor]

Bright sunshine between scattered cloud here with a light NE

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Bright sunshine between scattered cloud here with a light NE

sun is out here now too. Still lots of cloud about. Any interesting cloud formations from your viewpoint? 16.3 degrees now with a very light SW.

[Chris Raine]

Overcast in Oamaru . temp 13.4 C light SW.Needs to clear a bit if anything is to happen

[Razor]

You can forget about any action weather here today.

Met service wide of the mark after all

[03Stormchaser]

Nothing happening yet, but then metservice hadnt predicted anything would by now anyway razor. It is heating up nicely tho.

[Lacertae]

I'm heading south in a few minutes, I'll send txt updates to whoever wants, my cell is 021 163 6094. I trust MS when it comes to the possibility of small tornadoes, let's hope I'm not a fool !
See you guys later, hopefully with some interesting material.

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

When that sun comes through it almost feels hot and then when it goes behind the cloud its a tad cool. Cloud build ups arent impressive. The temperature is there now though at 19.3 with a dp of 11.

[NZstorm]

I trust MS when it comes to the possibility of small tornadoes,

But there is no shear there. 850mb flow is 10kts on gfs.

[Manukau heads obs]

there will be vorticity associated with the low crossing the southern alps
that vorticity will get transfered to canterbury as the low tries to cross over the alps
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/NEWZIR.JPG

[Orion]

Has been dull and overcast here all day; currently 17.0 degrees and 69% humidity; light rain has begun to fall and the breeze is northerly. Nothing spectacular on the horizon.

[Chris Raine]

Light shower here in Oamaru , radar shows some activity building on the north side of the Waitaki River inland

[snowstormwatcher]

Not much chance of any storms here, cloud cover all day with a few spits of rain.

[Razor]

ChCh radar picking up something decent inland of rakaia?

[Chris Raine]

Looks like something heavy around the Waitaki Bridge area on SH 1

[Orion]

Rain getting heavier here; wind has freshened, still from the north.
Down to 17.7 degrees [after being 18.5 earlier]; 64% humidity.
Looks like banks of very rainy low greyish clouds both to north-east and to distant south.

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Nevermind, perhaps Friday will be more interesting for us. A muggy day none the less today. Completely overcast here again now.