T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Mon 14/11/2011 14:32

Darn, Lightning plots in the wrong place. Naff all visible from Edgecumbe, it's obviously out past Murupara towards Taupo at a guess.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Mon 14/11/2011 14:38

Doh, I don't have my mobile internet dongle, it's on loan and I haven't got it back yet.

Using the 100 Meg a month on my smart phone with it hosting the Netbook via wireless. Looking at Metservice I can see why I'm in the wrong place.

Question... Why is the plot of the lightning so far out? Ricky, any reasoning.

Not that it matters, I couldn't have got down to Wairakei in the timeframe in any case.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 14/11/2011 14:53

My boltec is plotting the eastern BOP thunderstorms nicely

http://www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/screenshot.png

Manukau heads obs · Mon 14/11/2011 15:57

looks like Mangakino is getting a doozy hail storm, going by the latest rain radar
Taupo web cam showing a roll cloud and all from a CB moving west out into the lake
good stuff!

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Mon 14/11/2011 16:13

Wow

Update: Lets zoom up on the Taupo action shall we

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 14/11/2011 16:41

What a ripper!

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:11

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings Graphic issued by MetService at 4:19pm and 4:57 pm...

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:11

Wow I've finally finished my day and have a chance to look at the sky. Such amazing boil ups all along the SW sky. Best I've seen in years.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:19

Can see distant cb tops from here. The convection is pretty much firing along the convergence zone that we could see on the gfs. About a 3 to 4 hour drive from Auckland, thats why I didn't chase.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:21

i actually think it is building this way slowly. Could get some nice night time lightning at dusk. If i didnt have that darn 4pm meeting i could have gone out and still be chasing right now. Oh well cant have them all i suppose.

PS that ghigh res radar from metservice is FANTASTIC!!!!! $\:D/$

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:24

If i didnt have that darn 4pm meeting i could have gone out and still be chasing right now. Oh well cant have them all i suppose.

Hopefully we can get some decent set ups in the Waikato between now and Xams.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:26

Darn, shoulda detoured to Vegas.

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:41

Snippet from MetService's 4:54pm Severe Thunderstorm Watch ...

The main area of deep convection with thunderstorms is becoming concentrated in central Bay of Plenty with the threat area extending into eastern parts of Waikato.

There are isolated SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS within this area which, due to their slow motions, are generating local downpours (30-40mm/hr) and occasionally large hail (up to about 20-25mm). ...

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 14/11/2011 17:51

These type of set ups with upper flow can produce golf balls but unfortunately theres not much upper flow there today. I like to see 40kts for big hail. There was a report on trade me of marble hail which is about 15mm I guess.

Paul Mallinson · Unread post by **Paul Mallinson** » Mon 14/11/2011 18:08

Hi folks,

Our radar hail sizing routine has been indicating generally 12 to 18mm hail but up to 24mm in one or two places (like the storm currently north of Rotorua. BOP regional council guage south of Rotorua city recorded 43mm in one hour when a big cell went past there a couple of hours ago.

Paul

Manukau heads obs · Mon 14/11/2011 18:09

the line is back building into the south waikato more....
I have a PTA meeting 2 nite I forgot about...otherwise might be tempted to have driven down to meet it...

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 14/11/2011 18:12

Paul Mallinson wrote:Hi folks,

Our radar hail sizing routine has been indicating generally 12 to 18mm hail but up to 24mm in one or two places (like the storm currently north of Rotorua. BOP regional council guage south of Rotorua city recorded 43mm in one hour when a big cell went past there a couple of hours ago.

Paul

It's spelt 'gauge' , Paul, not 'guage'

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 14/11/2011 18:16

the line is back building into the south waikato more....
I have a PTA meeting 2 nite I forgot about...otherwise might be tempted to have driven down to meet it...

It will fizzle quickly towards dusk as the heating is lost.

Paul Mallinson · Unread post by **Paul Mallinson** » Mon 14/11/2011 18:16

Yes. You are right. I always make that mistake!

paul

Manukau heads obs · Mon 14/11/2011 18:23

cause its a convergence (SE wind against SW wind), and the SE push is winning more, now, the line should last maybe a bit longer compared to just being heat driven...thoughts?
(this is just going on how these have panned out in the past)
although its not a proper incoming SE change,,...those can even reach this far north...after nightfall even...

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Mon 14/11/2011 18:24

Wow! Thanks Paul.

Bound to be some damage reports to follow.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 14/11/2011 18:39

43mm in 1 hour is getting right up there alright!

Paul Mallinson · Unread post by **Paul Mallinson** » Mon 14/11/2011 18:52

Conditions are easing now. just one noteable storm just south of Tauranga moving nw. Cold temperatures aloft are moving out over the BOP and so the activity won't last much longer.

Paul

Manukau heads obs · Mon 14/11/2011 19:00

Tgsnoopy did not need to chase in the end...has come right to his back door....LOL

Manukau heads obs · Mon 14/11/2011 19:03

news reports in of a big hail storm in Rotorua around 4:30pm
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/artic ... d=10766012

NZ Weather Forum

T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: Possible T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14

Re: T-Storms for Central-East N.I. - Nov 14