Subtropical Low - Dec 29 2011 - Jan 1 2012

[jamie]

It is looking very likely many places are going to get a soak from this low. Its a shame it will be over new years and hit favourite camping areas the hardest. I would think there will definitely be some disruption caused from this low. It looks like it leaves a lot of moisture for some storms on Sunday providing daytime heating gets cranking. We will just have to wait to see how it all plays out.

[Manukau heads obs]

bad for holiday makers, great for farmers

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Have a wireless connection here in kaiteriteri so will report if gets interesting!

[spwill]

Some of our most popular holiday regions are in the firing line from this system. Camping grounds will be full from Northland to Bay of Plenty and across the Nelson/ Marlborough region.

It is going to be a very wet December for Nelson, Nelson Airport has had 366mm so far this December.

[RWood]

Some of our most popular holiday regions are in the firing line from this system. Camping grounds will be full from Northland to Bay of Plenty and across the Nelson/ Marlborough region.

It is going to be a very wet December for Nelson, Nelson Airport has had 366mm so far this December.

One has to go back to 1876 to find a higher total in any month in the Nelson City area. Even the all-time record of 504mm might be under threat.

[Manukau heads obs]

the first band of rain has mainly stayed offshore, to the west, from the upper NI, as it spiralled around the low center

[spwill]

The current dewpoint temperature here is 16C, min temperature in Auckland overnight was a warm 18 -19C
Sultry conditions for parts of the NorthIsland from tomorrow with the dewpoint temperature up to 19- 20C.

[NZstorm]

Looks moist and unstable from tomorrow through to Monday for the North Island.

GFS plots the heaviest precip down the west of the North Island over the next few days.

I agree with Jamie, Sunday looks like the best possible thunder day atm with convergence over the inland NI and clearer skies to allow heating.

GFS QPF chart next 96hrs. Don't know if this will prove accurate though.

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Gfs has backed off on rain totals big time for tasman this morning compared to all previous runs.

[joecam]

Light steady rain currently in Kaiterere

[Richard]

Rain just starting to fall here now

[Michael]

Newspaper herald has akl 25c tomorrow,if rain sets in 18/20-21 probably be realistic.

[David]

Pretty solid rain here at the moment, 3mm so far

[NZstorm]

Newspaper herald has akl 25c tomorrow,if rain sets in 18/20-21 probably be realistic.

Yes, looks like a grey wet day tomorrow, sunshine unlikely.

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Heavy rain all afternoon here in kaiteriteri. 82mm the gage reading at office here when spoke to the anyone's half hour ago. Currently pouring. Great to listen to in tent! No wind all day!

[Razor]

Takaka upper gauge reporting 28.8mm in the last hour. Ouch. Red showing on the rain radar. poor Nelson

[jamie]

boy that was a big red blob that moved over the north of the south island.

We are getting some solid rainfall here at the moment.

[Razor]

Takaka upper gauge reporting 28.8mm in the last hour. Ouch. Red showing on the rain radar. poor Nelson

TDC reporting 45mm in the past hour upland from Takaka now

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Holy! Woken up torrential rain! Heaviest of my life! Easily it is actually scary and i want it to ease. Never thought i would hear myself say that!

[Manukau heads obs]

steady rain here overnight
now at 36mm
nice

I see the cyclone that was near Darwin has popped out into the south pacific now....

[NZstorm]

26mm here. Looks like more rain coming down later today.

If there is some heating this afternoon then may see isolated thunderstorm pop up. But the chances of heating today don't look good.

Saturday's thunderstorm chances look very good over upper half of North Island.

[Richard]

26mm here. Looks like more rain coming down later today.

If there is some heating this afternoon then may see isolated thunderstorm pop up. But the chances of heating today don't look good.

Saturday's thunderstorm chances look very good over upper half of North Island.

Sundays looking like our best day,here's hoping

[David]

Up to 20mm total here now. Rain has become intermittent.

[Manukau heads obs]

I see the low center is doing a loop da loop
when it loops around a bit closer again that could bring in fresh rain bands

I see there has been lots of rain over the southern NI due to a convergence..sort of frontal graveyard....the N running into the SE change

[Brassnz]

43mm in Laingholm so far.