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Re: Deep Tasman Low - Feb 22-24
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 15:59
by mikestormchaser
Checking radars and tracker a few strikes recently in the last few mins.
Rain radar suggesting development or storm activity in south Canterbury now
Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 16:01
by Storm Struck
With a colder S-SW change moving up the island late this afternoon/evening we should see some storms fire up, it is very westerly at the moment but some weaker CU is forming to the south.
There is also possibly a few storms showing up around north otago/south canterbury now.
I will be taking chase pehaps abit closer to home this time as the set up looks like it will flank inland like it did last month, Oxford to Rangiora and Amberley might be the better hot spots to be but some activity on the coast too i guess.
Time will tell.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 16:37
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Yeah. noted a few weak Cu congestus forms going up around a quarter to four, eastern side of TC. No bass or tops being established and the first cell glaciated quite early. More congestussy forms to the SW/West in the TC area, now with some I hope will 'blow-out'.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 16:38
by Orion
Wind has gone southerly here now and there are some massive clouds approaching; lightning-static on radio getting frequent. Some very turbulent-looking raggedy grey cloud to west.
19.7 degrees & 51% humidity.
(Going to unplug computer & phones now to be on the safe side!)
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 16:48
by snowstormwatcher
Still NW here and 23 degrees. Looks like a Good Cb developing to the SE of here.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 16:58
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
snowstormwatcher wrote:Still NW here and 23 degrees. Looks like a Good Cb developing to the SE of here.
Yeah. I can see it from here.To the SW from here in TC, also some more development further north.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 17:03
by mikestormchaser
Big CU overhead in addington right now, a weak CB has developed over BP going out towards new brighten by looks, and offshore. might be a very coastal event again being a SW and NW before the change.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 17:05
by mikestormchaser
good signs going by the radar so far. development inland heading straight fro the city on the latest run. Maybe this NW flow aloft might be good for christchurch pushing them out to coast
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 17:21
by Storm Struck
Main front and colder air further south where the thunderstorms are so anything ahead of it is a bonus, might be a brief southerly flick before it which is good gets rid of the westerly anyway.
Quite intense down there on the latest radar.
Edit- Reports of marble sized hail in Timaru, just about time to head out i think.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 17:37
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Gone southerly here now but still 21C. Looks like something coming out of TC at the moment but it does look good down Timaru way for later
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 17:40
by Orion
Have had some peals of thunder, brief scattered pea-sized hail. The biggest cloud is still boiling up nearly overhead. Very dark cloud to southeast. 18.4 deg. Humidity 60p.c.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 17:50
by mikestormchaser
yes very good signs John!! S outherly at mine to now, and aloft! unfortunately i cant chase as the gf has a surprise dinner tonight plannd
lol oooh the joy of thunderstorms!! however going by radars and everything now i may not have to chase anyways
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 17:50
by Storm Struck
It sure is an active line, you must be getting thunder from those cells inland just going to head out south looks to be the place.
Thunderstorm warning from the met service.
http://www.metservice.com/national/warn ... m-warnings
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:02
by Richard
Dont hold much hope of making it here,looks like it moving to much to the NE,
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:06
by CHCH Weather Chaser
Have a good feeling about this one just quietly!!!
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:09
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Just had a distant thunder roll from development in TC. This system now moving out to the east just to the south of here. Coming onto rain now with sky 'filling in'. Lots of lovely sfericals
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:17
by Rogue
Weather noob here, chances of seeing good thunderstorms in chch?
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:17
by bmo
Just had some light rain which has now eased of here in Lincoln, looks very dark!
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:31
by dogmelon
Does it look like the storms are weakening? I'm not picking up many zaps on my radio.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:33
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Looks like that stuff from outta TC has merged with the colder air coming up from the south and has made it all ovecast and much cooler now. Thunder chances are dropping away considerably, but I hope I'm wrong
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:35
by Rogue
First rumble of thunder here in chch, fingers crossed
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:37
by mikestormchaser
Heavy rain in my area now, heard distant clap somewhere southwards, not to sure where though.
also the Southerly has picked up dramaticly
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:37
by dogmelon
The radio just isn't humming like it does when a good one approaches. What a shame, it was looking quite good for awhile.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 18:46
by Tornado Tim
Thunderstorm warnings issued.....
This warning affects people in the following local government areas:
SELWYN, ASHBURTON and BANKS PENINSULA.
At 06:00 pm, MetService weather radar detected severe thunderstorms near ASHBURTON, WINCHMORE, HINDS, TINWALD and MAYFIELD.
These severe thunderstorms are moving towards the northeast, and are expected to lie near RAKAIA, WINCHMORE, LAURISTON, CHERTSEY, TE PIRITA, DROMORE, METHVEN and ASHBURTON FORKS at 06:30 pm and near RAKAIA, DARFIELD, HORORATA, DUNSANDEL, KIRWEE, CHARING CROSS, GREENDALE, METHVEN, WINDWHISTLE and HIGHBANK at 07:00 pm.
These thunderstorms are expected to be accompanied by very heavy rain and large hail.
Re: Thunderstorms possible 24th Feb Canterbury!!
Posted: Fri 24/02/2012 19:01
by Orion
At the storm's height we had nearly constant thunder, I saw one brilliant flare of lightning illuminate the scene; had five minutes or so of fat-pea-size hail which was hitting the windows and really thudding on the roof at times.
Seems to have gone quiet now so have dared to plug internet back in (previous post done on mobile ph.)
11.8 degrees, 75% humidity.
The wind here is very much south-easterly, even ESE, rather than southerly. Low grey cloud rushing in from that direction, some nasty-looking stuff further to the north-east. Some light rain.