Polar Weather - last week of June

[Razor]

Tekapo has had a reasonabe lowish level dumping going by the Mt John Webcam

http://www.tekapotourism.com/webcam.html

[snowstormwatcher]

Few snow flurries here now with a passing shower. Strong cold SW wind.

[mattyj46]

Only 1.1c in Invercargill, sister said it was snowing but the ground is very wet

[Vertigo]

The low passing over the Auckland Islands currently is rotating very quickly, and very deep. Impressive! If only it had visited us up this way..

[Captain Salty]

For a remote weather system such as this, how accurately is the central pressure measured or how much is assumed from modelling?

[Tornado Tim]

For a remote weather system such as this, how accurately is the central pressure measured or how much is assumed from modelling?

Data from bouys,rawinsonde,SAO,AIREP I think are used in this case...... I doubt any forecasted data is used to blend the current to the forecast.
There are many differences in modeling the current data, you would have to ask Metservice how they do this.

[CWUweather]

apparently it is snowing to sea level in hokitika. that is very rare?

[Captain Salty]

I was just thinking, if a low was predicted to deepen to record breaking levels but was unable to be measured directly at that time, then presumably it wouldn't count as a new record?

[spwill]

I'm visiting my folks in Mosgiel near Dunedin, a dry sunny day here but there were snow showers just to the west and south. Light snow for Balclutha through to Strath Taieri.

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Family over in Westport have just called saying massive Thunder and Lightning storm there at the moment. Looks like later next week that another beast could be on the cards - early days!

[mattyj46]

Just a query for you veterans (mods feel free to move or delete if needed) but what do you guys think about weather watch calling it the 'southern ocean cyclone'?

[Storm Struck]

Yes i sniggered at the name too, theres nothing cyclonic about that low no rotational winds and not to mention its quite far south .
Just because its a deep low doesnt make it a cyclone, wouldnt think so anyway.
Nice dry day here all around just the way it is with these situations, action west and south but nothing here.
Still that westerly was cold coming off the snow, and i did notice the CB's skipping past the Peninnsula today but may have been quite offshore by the looks.
Maybe a brief dose of icy showers Thursday afternoon as the flow does flick S-SW briefly with a coastal trough, but it would be very coastal.

[CWUweather]

so with another system coming in next week. how do you think winter is shaping up so far?
Colder than normal?
Normal ?
or Warmer than normal?

[mikestormchaser]

Yeah just a dry day, abit windy, nothing to major though, how ever were few good gusts out in west melton.
Wind cold though.
I think its fair that the south and west of the south island can have this one I to saw those clouds out past BP today aswel, to me they were'nt CB but more towering CU certainly showing some nice cold air sneaking past.
Shame its not summer.. then the CB and thunderstorms would have been on the cards.

Joliver, to me it is colder then normal, but im saying that for this month, it may be warmer then normal next month to average it out, but yes i think colder, i beleive our average temp here in Christchurch is around 5 or 6C for the month??

[CWUweather]

Yeah just a dry day, abit windy, nothing to major though, how ever were few good gusts out in west melton.
Wind cold though.
I think its fair that the south and west of the south island can have this one I to saw those clouds out past BP today aswel, to me they were'nt CB but more towering CU certainly showing some nice cold air sneaking past.
Shame its not summer.. then the CB and thunderstorms would have been on the cards.

Joliver, to me it is colder then normal, but im saying that for this month, it may be warmer then normal next month to average it out, but yes i think colder, i beleive our average temp here in Christchurch is around 5 or 6C for the month??

I just have that feeling that the next 2 months are going to be very very cold. with lots of sharp wintry blasts

[Tornado Tim]

what do you guys think about weather watch calling it the 'southern ocean cyclone'?

All I will say is those comments from Weather-Watch in my mind make it look very amateurish.

A cool 7.9°C atm here now with more showers coming in on the SW flow.
Tomorrow evening looks like it could contain some thunder later on here.

[spwill]

Some brief sleet/snow showers for the Dunedin area last hr.

[tich]

Still that westerly was cold coming off the snow, and i did notice the CB's skipping past the Peninnsula today but may have been quite offshore by the looks.

Well offshore by the look of it as I was coming back to Chch this afternoon. Showers did clip the southeast corner of BP according to radar earlier in morning.

[NZstorm]

Tomorrow evening looks like it could contain some thunder later on here.

Yes, thunder inbound later this evening for the west of the North Island! We should get at least a few rumbles with small hail and very squally conditions. Gusts to 55kts on the cards for Auckland. The 500mb temp will be -27C, dp 10C.

We came close to catching a storm here yesterday with some quite active cells reaching the west coast of the NI.

[NZstorm]

what do you guys think about weather watch calling it the 'southern ocean cyclone'?

I would prefer we kept the cyclone term for the tropical variety.

The Americans use the term for low pressure systems and in a strict technical sense, a cyclone is any low pressure system.

[Michael]

Europe calls them cyclones though the spelling recognisable ie (ciclona) italan (ciklona) croatian singular.

[Manukau heads obs]

Gusts to 55kts on the cards for Auckland.

we had 53 knots overnight

and 49 knots yesterday (which burnt out our 2nd wind turbine, again , even though it was breaked (shorted)

[jamie]

Showery 24 hours we have had. each shower has had some gusts. nothing special but looks neat on the graph

[Manukau heads obs]

barometer dropping here ahead of this next trough

[Skywatcher]

Just had a brief shower of small hail here.