General October Weather

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 30/09/2012 08:49

October starts with some cooler showery weather for most!

I'll be keeping on eye on this trough for the possibility of thunder near Auckland Monday pm?

Will have to see how far north the system will actually come. Taranaki looks a best spot for the NI.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Sun 30/09/2012 09:16

Hmm, I have a flat out day moving school mobile dental units for BOPDHB in the Eastern BOP. Whilst I'd love to see some lightning, I hope it leaves me alone until after I've finished should it come up East of the modeled path.

Of course I'm hoping I didn't just Jinx myself.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 30/09/2012 20:53

Maybe if the trough can slow down a bit there will be convection over the North Island Tuesday. A long shot but the UKmet shows it a close run thing.

moylanr · Unread post by **moylanr** » Mon 01/10/2012 14:28

Would you find it helpful if some of the attached data was available on the internet one day?

eg Solar radiation in central Christchurch may be of interest on a day like today (clouds are gathering in the last half hour with readings dropping from 1000 W/m^2 to under 250)?

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 01/10/2012 15:48

I see there has been isolated thunderstorms West Waikato/South Ak last hr.

A weak shower line crossed here

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Tue 02/10/2012 05:00

Getting torrential rain wind and and hail here at the moment. Wasnt expecting it to be this good.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 02/10/2012 06:50

Some weak storms over the Waikato early this morning too.

There is a window this afternoon for thunderstorms/hailers over the wider Gisborne/East Cape region but the upper trough is on the move east.

500mb chart for 1pm.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 03/10/2012 08:44

Poor timing for the North Island with this cold upper level trough system but it did produce scattered thunderstorms pm for parts of BOP/Gisborne. I was at Hot Water Beach, Coromandel yesterday and could see some nice Cb down south.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 03/10/2012 09:04

did you mamage to find room to dig your own hole, or did you have to wait for someone to vacate their hot water pool?
its usualy a zoo!

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 03/10/2012 09:28

Manukau heads obs wrote:did you mamage to find room to dig your own hole, or did you have to wait for someone to vacate their hot water pool?
its usualy a zoo!

Yes, that little part of the beach was packed otherwise a near empty pristine white sand beach, paradise found.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Wed 03/10/2012 11:51

Glorious day 23 degrees already

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Wed 03/10/2012 13:13

Razor wrote:Glorious day 23 degrees already

Make the most of the warmth

Southerly wind change approx 45 mins away

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 03/10/2012 19:37

Razor wrote:Glorious day 23 degrees already

23 was the high before the SW kicked about 1.30 before swinging back round easterly about 5pm

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Wed 03/10/2012 20:19

Yes. an interestingly boring day here. A lot of stratus with the resurrection of the north wind from the southerly change around 2pm. It was calm here for a while before the NE came back.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 04/10/2012 08:39

http://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/sco/seaso ... ember-2012
I see Niwa are still going for higher than normal pressures south of Australia and New Zealand, and lower pressures are forecast to the north of the North Island, resulting in a weaker than normal westerly flow over the country, Oct - Dec period.

Manukau heads obs · Thu 04/10/2012 09:12

typicaly the weather pattern is opposite for the week that the release their outlook
LOL

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Thu 04/10/2012 09:14

Inspite of this week,the SW flow has been WSW so hasnt reached the speeds expected due to the anticyclones remaining over Australia and when they do they weaken and well north when they do come so it hasnt been as windy as it can be.

David · Unread post by **David** » Thu 04/10/2012 16:39

Certainly a windy start to the month, 60 km/h on the 2nd, and 64 km/h today which is the equal highest gust for the year

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Thu 04/10/2012 17:32

Was that equal with a northerly day I think it was in june.There was a day it gave a good gust from the north for a couple of hours,remember it well.

David wrote:Certainly a windy start to the month, 60 km/h on the 2nd, and 64 km/h today which is the equal highest gust for the year

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 04/10/2012 21:27

Another convergence moved through this afternoon.
I think that if this trend/pattern continues, maybe a convergence thunderstorm is on the cards this summer

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Thu 04/10/2012 21:47

Late Friday to Saturday will be an interesting day for the NI as a deep approaches NZ from the south.
A sufficient cold front is expected develop on it and bring the risk of gusty embedded thunderstorms from West coast of the SI to Auckland.

Looks like the front will greet Waikato early morning Saturday going by the latest GFS run . The west coast of the SI should have a bit of activity on it tomorrow.

snowstormwatcher · Unread post by **snowstormwatcher** » Fri 05/10/2012 12:20

Warm day here with 21 degrees and a strong NW wind.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Fri 05/10/2012 14:39

Did a segment with Close Up on Monday earlier this week. Went on a storm chase, didn't end up being that great but apparently they are showing it tonight. So tune in at 7pm tonight on TV ONE.

It's a type of story where they tend to fill a gap so it might not appear if something more important comes up or they haven't finished editing it yet. Still, have been told it's going to show tonight so fingers crossed!

Cheers
Aaron

http://www.facebook.com/nzstormchasers

May well see myself and Aaron on Close up tonight!

Lacertae · Unread post by **Lacertae** » Fri 05/10/2012 15:16

Haircuts sorted this time ?

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Fri 05/10/2012 16:31

It will be cool to see

.
I see the MS have a moderate risk for north canterbury tomorrow afternoon, its 50/50 as it will be very westerly so not the greatest conditions but perhaps something in the foothills around Cheviot area.
Fresh to strong gusty NW here today and just warming up abit now as the sun comes out, up to 22C now very nice.

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