General November Weather

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 05/11/2012 08:00

The Niwa outlook Nov- Jan, a change from the previous outlook to weakly enhanced southwest flow http://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/sco/seaso ... nuary-2013

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 05/11/2012 08:05

NZstorm wrote:
NZstorm wrote: There looks to be a surface trough crossing northern areas on Tuesday with some showers (easterly surge).
Looks like a low thunder risk for the west of Waikato Tuesday given the time of year.

The upper air looks cold over the next few days with the chance of sea breezes from tomorrow , the air is dry.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 05/11/2012 09:09

The consensus between forecast models for an El Niño over the summer period is much weaker now than two months ago.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 06/11/2012 06:41

Looks like a very chilly stable airmass is still lingering over NZ today. 850mb -6C east coast of SI, its like Antartica! Quite exceptional to see such cold air in November.

midday 850mb chart.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 06/11/2012 07:00

Feels it to with thick gray cloud and only 5 deg, good start to the month with regard to niwa predictions.

snowstormwatcher · Unread post by **snowstormwatcher** » Tue 06/11/2012 07:09

Yeah cold here for November.
High of 7 degrees here yesterday and it doesn't look like it will get much warmer today with light snow down to 600 overnight and grey skies.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 06/11/2012 08:23

Temperatures this end of NZ are not too far off average , cool rather than cold.

The sub zero start in the south might have caught a few growers out, cherries are about 4 weeks from harvest.

I see Melbourne is currently 25C, dewpoint 10C at 6am.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 06/11/2012 12:29

Still around 7 deg here at work with a little hail in the last 10 mins, like a bloody fridge today

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Tue 06/11/2012 16:55

Pretty steady rain giong on here after a fine day.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 06/11/2012 17:15

report of a heavy heat shower in papakura

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 06/11/2012 17:20

It has started lightly raining here, but we are just on the edges

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 06/11/2012 17:20

Manukau heads obs wrote:report of a heavy heat shower in papakura

Can see the convergence line S/SE.

Been a nice day here with 19C.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Tue 06/11/2012 20:37

Yep getting rain here. Perfect for my new lawn which is struggling. Not sure we will get much though.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 06/11/2012 21:04

Quite a lot of shower development last 4 or 5 hrs Waikato to Northland. Currently 14C here, dp 10C, a couple of breif showers here early evening

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 06/11/2012 21:41

Rain on the roof now for the first time today.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Tue 06/11/2012 21:46

This shower is stationary and delivering some decent rain now. Had over 5mm now. Looks the be some even better blow ups further north. Strange they finally got going after dark.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Tue 06/11/2012 22:07

Cleared up in Chch this afternoon (tiny bit of hail about midmorning St Albans), but didn't warm up. Could be a frost tonight as already down to 3.8C at Hillmorton.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 07/11/2012 06:51

Heavy showers here last night with 15mm in Grey lynn, 20mm in Mt Roskill!

Manukau heads obs · Wed 07/11/2012 07:51

we only got a few drops as it moved over this way

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Wed 07/11/2012 07:52

Yea 8.4mm here. Was a pleasant surprise

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 07/11/2012 07:59

Very nice to have that rain last night given Spring has been on the dry side.

A fine start, looks like some sea breeze convergence cloud this afternoon with isolated low top showers.

David · Unread post by **David** » Wed 07/11/2012 08:08

NZstorm wrote:Heavy showers here last night with 15mm in Grey lynn, 20mm in Mt Roskill!

Wow - only 0.4mm here yesterday and 3.4mm since midnight. Sadly not enough to put off watering the garden for the first time this season

David · Unread post by **David** » Wed 07/11/2012 13:05

Feeling rather cool today, cloudy skies 14-15C. Hard to believe its 3 weeks until summer

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 07/11/2012 17:13

The sun came out this afternoon, max 17-18C. light winds.
There is a line of solid looking towering Cu out to the east (low top)

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 08/11/2012 11:19

A lot of Cumulus around now after a fine start, light winds. Likely see some showers develop again when the sea breezes start up. Currently a cool 15C.

NZ Weather Forum