Wet NW Flow Over South Island for New Year

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Thought I might start up a topic of this event as it looks as though there might be a considerable amount of rain falling on the western side of the South Island with this event with some spillage over to the eastern side.
MetService has predicted of up to 600mm of rain in some areas for their forecast periods.
That's a lot of rain so I hope that people especially campers and trampers in that region are prepared for this event.
If it was me I would stay at home or go tramping to somewhere where it is likely to be less wet like Banks Peninsula although your tent could be blown away in a severe NW gus t

[Dean.]

Heavy rain here in Te Anau.Tent is holding up well though.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

MetService have upgraded their thunderstorm outlook to severe so there looks like a good chance of seeing "Wildfire" along the Southern Alps tomorrow after dark.
Could be 14347 strikes?
...or about 3

[Manukau heads obs]

In Motueka area,camping,hoping for rain shadow
Affect from tasman mountains

[Richard]

So far the wind has been only light,but that can all change within a minute

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Warm start here this morning. Thick High cloud currently with a light NW and 20 degrees.

[NZstorm]

The trop is high over Westland, 12km which should help with the rain making. Should see cb tops to that height.

I notice Southland gets a lot of rain from this system and some decent rain in Otago as well.

[Richard]

What's the feelings about heavy thundery falls for Canterbury Wednesday which the MS are saying,then at the same time have nil rainfall for CHCH

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

What's the feelings about heavy thundery falls for Canterbury Wednesday which the MS are saying,then at the same time have nil rainfall for CHCH

Yes its a bit bizzare. Your right looks like nothing more than a brief period or rain really. Skies have cleared here now and its 23 degrees and climbing. Its gonna be HOT HOT HOT if the high cloud doesnt return

[Richard]

You often find that when they have these ' a bob each way' forecasts,the rainfall rates are a better indercation of how the weather will turn out

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Yes you do indeed. Is the NW getting strong there Richard?

[Richard]

No not really,its one of those types where it blows like hell for ten minutes,then not a breath,i was just out checking the sheep and you could hear one of those gusts passing maybe a k away,could see the tops of the trees bending yet nothing here

[Dale]

MetService have upgraded their thunderstorm outlook to severe so there looks like a good chance of seeing "Wildfire" along the Southern Alps tomorrow after dark.
Could be 14347 strikes?
...or about 3

You would be lucky with 3.. so far it was supposed to have bucketed down since Christmas Day.. we've had some overnight rain. Oh I do lie.. just before midnight last night there was some small hail with a 2 second squall.

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

That should change for you later on tonight through tomorrow Dale.

[melja]

Staying at the caravan at the twizel end of benmore and the weather is nothing like they say, small spill over shower and strong winds just before but now sunny and a light nw 23C.
Looks grim up in the mountains tho so I hope we get a little electrical activity tonight like they say.
Only 30 mm since midnight up in Arthurs pass so no big rain there yet.

[Dean.]

Heavy rain and strong winds here in Te Anau since 7pm yesterday...a large rumble of thunder early morning but nothing since.

[Storm Struck]

Cloud cover could be an issue tomorrow but i wonder if that morning rain from the west will clear mid morning like it normally does to clearer skies, then the southerly comes up later with thunderstorms.
The chance is there and possibly even a high risk from mid Canterbury northwards due to the timing of the southerly, it will be a fast moving lot though typical roll cloud etc.
Well worth a chase for sure
It will be nice looking west tonight with the lightning, it seems to be getting organised now on the radars etc.

[Richard]

Should be a good light show tonight hopefully Jase
Considering the strong wind warnings weve had little of any wind,only maybe a hour all up,ATM dead calm

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

I feel late tonight and through tomorrow all the action is gonna happen. The systems looks at its most 'energetic' then.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

The NW did lessen during the afternoon but it is now back up in strenght.
I'm not too sure of the 'light-show' over the alps this evening now, also tomorrow's thunderstorm outlook dosen't look too promising, either but anyway,should get a good drop of rain tomorrow night as we need it here

Should be a good light show tonight hopefully Jase
Considering the strong wind warnings weve had little of any wind,only maybe a hour all up,ATM dead calm

[CHCH Weather Chaser]

Radar firing up now for Westland south of Hokitika and will push north over the next few hours. Very impressive to look at, very heavy stuff in that. Will be an interesting 24 hours ahead!

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

I don't know where you are getting the images from as MetService's rain radar network seems to be down at the moment.

[Storm Struck]

Radar firing up now for Westland south of Hokitika and will push north over the next few hours. Very impressive to look at, very heavy stuff in that. Will be an interesting 24 hours ahead!

Lightning on the trackers over the alps and west coast, dropped back abit the last 20 minutes though should pick up again soon for some nice wildfire to look at.
John you can see it on the canterbury radar 300km one, i came across the non existant westland radar too

[Richard]

Plenty of spill over rain south of Timaru reaching the coast,even has red in amongst it on the radar,this should move north during the day.

[Manukau heads obs]

Rain radars are not available for me...where u guys getting
Updates?