Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

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NZstorm
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Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by NZstorm »

Looks like thunder potential this week over the west and north of the country. I wouldn't like to try and put too much detail on it as storms are typically hit and miss type of weather. Taranaki/Waitomo later tomorrow looks a good bet though.

There looks to be a trough coming onto the top of the North Island later Tuesday and so Auckland should be in the firing line then.

GFS 500mb temp chart for Tuesday.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

yes Monday afternoon looks like we could catch a storm or two.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by NZstorm »

18ZGFS instability/500mb wind forecast for midday tomorrow.

A low risk of a tornado for Taranaki if the surface flow can veer into the N.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by NZstorm »

Lightning observable to west.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by spwill »

Yes, some big Cbs showing up along the North Island west coast but there is no radar this morning.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

real nice mama to my SW
will get a photo up
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

mama from cb
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by NZstorm »

spwill wrote:Yes, some big Cbs showing up along the North Island west coast but there is no radar this morning.
http://www.weatherzone.co.nz/radar/auckland/
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

-5 LI floating around this afternoon with some very very decent CAPE numbers. Could it be a craker afternoon?
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

that weather zone radar is not lined up correctly
we have had no rain last few hours..i.e the shower lines are further south that it suggests
but still good to have a rain radar!
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

currently 18.2*C / 16.3*C DP. These are crazy temps and moisture for mid June. Need something to trigger off all this energy!
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamesrobert »

plane hit by lightning.....only news because there was an MP onboard!
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Looks like Metervice are picking up the risk for some isolated thunderstorms this afternoon for Waikato today :)
Metservice wrote:In the west from Waikato to North Taranaki, also Taupo:
Showers, some heavy. Isolated thunderstorms possible from afternoon.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Quite Lightning active in the tasman atm :)
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by spwill »

Can see some distant Cb in the west, currently fine, Greylynn showing a warm 19C, dp15C
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by spwill »

A sudden heavy shower here, Summer like.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

CRAP! very close lightning strikes here at work with pea to marble sized hail and flooding rain.

flooding our building and just trigged the fire alarm. WOW
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

Quite bad flooding in our building. It was coming through the roof at a hourrendous rate. Some very very close strikes too.

Best core ive experienced this year by far. Hail, wind, flooding, close strikes. Nice!
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by cbm »

Just light rain in the central city. But certainly observed the thunder and lightning.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

I cant believe Tims station missed this. Its just down the road from my work. My station missed it too. It probably needed/needs a warning on that. Just before it started hailing there was a brilliant lowering which looked very much like a wall cloud but my view was blocked by trees so couldnt see all that well.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

Oh wait i see Tims lost power from that so he did get hit!
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by madaero »

continual thunder here and now torrential rain with flooding!! Got the thunder and light rain about an hour ago but now seems the storm cell may have re-tracked on itself and getting hit hard now.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by jamie »

Yea my brother phoned to say Hamilton East got pea-marble sized hail with flooding too.
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Re: Thunder risk for North Island for week starting June 17th

Unread post by David »

Wow at the vertical rainfall line on Tim's weather graphs! What was the max rain rate Tim?

Boring weather here, overcast and gloomy for the past hour
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