NZ Weather Forum

I thought I would start up a thread for the actual Polar Blast 19th to 21st June, as to relieve the other thread which should be labelled "The Lead up and Scenarios Possible to the Polar Blast 19th to 21st June" , if this weather event is to become a substantial event for winter this year in New Zealand.
If not, this post can be deleted.

Yes use this thread for reporting conditions and discussion about the conditions etc, otherwise use this thread here

Thanks

Good one, Tim, thanks

Looks like its starterd .
Raining here in Rangiora for the last half hour and warm on 10C

Arrived at work in Bromley at 530 and its just starting to rain here , currently 7C

The merest hint of very fine drizzle has just begun floating down here.
Temp. slowly coming up: now 3.8 degrees.
No stars, quite dark still under overcast.

Light rain now.
The cloud cover is thickening and seems to me to have that faint yellowish-pinkish tinge that can happen under Certain Circumstances.
5.2 degrees.

Light to moderate rain in chch now and seems cooler.

Warmed here from 5.2deg at 6.00am to 6.7 now,mod rain.

Well M/S have finally put out a severe weather warning now, Nothing about snow below 200m now. I still think there will be snow on friday for sea level. Also above 500m they are going for 1m - 1.5m of snow thats Insane

M/S just released a new warning....big snow falls coming! (especially inland)
and damaging SE winds for areas lee of the ranges

A serious couple of days coming up major snow inland and heavy rain for coastal area incl Chch. Looks like most predictions now excluding chch from any snow

Still borderline whether we will get snow here at 100m asl. Heaviest snow will probably be north of Ashburton anyway.
Currently 5 degrees and raining.

Cold air currently pushing in way down South at Macquarie Island -1.1degC @ 8:29am

http://www.antarctica.gov.au/webcams/macquarie-island

snowstormwatcher wrote:Still borderline whether we will get snow here at 100m asl. Heaviest snow will probably be north of Ashburton anyway.
Currently 5 degrees and raining.

Not convinced with things yet,still could change at the last minute Need another run.

Does it look like nothing will happen in the city now? Oh well, no snowman for me.

Would people stop taking each model run at face value….. It has always been best to "blend" multiple forecast runs to avoid forecast flip flops that way you can get a more stable trend of whats forecast to happen.

Either way you look at it, significant snow is likely to fall over the the east and the south of the South Island.

Metservice is now saying christchurch wont get any snow.

Wise words Tim

A good web cam at Glentanner http://www.glentanner.co.nz/web-cam

The webcam at Glentanner (on the Rd to Mt Cook) has snow falling as of 12:30pm

http://www.takeabreak.co.nz/accommodati ... .asp?cam=2

and falling heavily by the looks

That looks Good. I am still sure there will be snow at sea level for CHCH the latest GFS still shows thursday at around 520mb Thats snow at sea level????

jamie wrote:and falling heavily by the looks

Big flakes too,some of the largest flakes ive seen where in that area

Met Service now saying no snow for Wellington.. However 130kph Southerly Gusts..