NZ Weather Forum

Second day in a row with 19+deg ,got 19.5deg with a NW wind that came through about 3.00pm

9.7 degrees here at present and has been raining well for the past half-hour or so.
A Spy tells me it was raining and snowing on Mt Hutt most of the day.

yeah starting to rain here too with 9 degrees. Mild 15c earlier on before it clouded over.

Absolutely hosed down down here pretty much non stop since about 1am until an hour ago, all the creeks & rivers are up. Grey & Hoki recording about the 60-70mm mark but 9km up the road here I have cleared 100mm. Always guaranteed a day of solid rain whenever I work up on the vats at work

whereas just 22mm inland in Reefton. started raining around 1pm with heavy rain round 3-4pm. all stopped now with the moon making an appearance.

Weather pattern for Auckland continues to look lethargic.

Also its looking dry in the near term for the east of the country.

Looking like we're not even going to reach 50mm this month! That would make it the driest July since July 1993, during which only 25mm was recorded at Owairaka.

May and june were exciting when it came to weather but july is bloody boring! Whens winter really gonna kick in? That is if it is gonna show itself at all...

GFS rainfall for next 7 days. Dry!

There could be the risk of a low coming in from the north end of the month according to ECMWF.

Talking to locals they feel this is one of the warmest starts to winter in living memory with no cold spells on the horizon for another 2 weeks at least either...so much for some people's predictions of a cold winter!!

Bradley wrote:Talking to locals they feel this is one of the warmest starts to winter in living memory with no cold spells on the horizon for another 2 weeks at least either...so much for some people's predictions of a cold winter!!

Niwa said to expect above to above average temps http://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/sco/seaso ... ember-2013. Have not heard anyone predicting a cold winter?

Mean temps for Chch were nearly bang on normal for May and June, July has been warmer, but more so in the night time minimums (fewer frosts) so people havent perceived it as being warmer). Most of Canty was near normal in May but much of the Plains was colder in June (due mainly to colder day times). This month has certainly been warmer, with markedly fewer frosts. Along the eastern Plains and near the coast there has been more cloud than normal, and that usually makes people feel that a winter is colder. The western Plains are probably different.

TonyT wrote: The western Plains are probably different.

yes,been a few days where its been cloudy near the coast but sunny here,certainly been the warmest winter so far in the thirteen years living here .

Yeah it certainly has been abit milder but also slightly damper I reackon, most fronts that have come up the island have delivered some rain at times even NW fronts.
So I think the milder dry days are very welcome in many areas, as for winter in higher parts which received the big dumping of snow back in June I think they would be saying no to more snow.
But as winter often does come back and bite us in the bum near the end, a lot seem to think August/September seems to be the way now days the seasons dragging out longer.

Speaking of which another just right temperature day today with some high cloud from afternoon and a fresh gusty NWer for a time, received 5.5mm of rain from last evenings shower belts from the west.

Lovely mild NW here this morning with 11deg.

Sunshine MTD for Ch'ch is about normal. Re Bradley's comments - there are always those whose speak darkly of an upcoming "cold winter", and who can be safely ignored.

RWood wrote:Sunshine MTD for Ch'ch is about normal. Re Bradley's comments - there are always those whose speak darkly of an upcoming "cold winter", and who can be safely ignored.

Yeah I think the trick is to identify these people and not to be sucked in by their 'gut feeling' about really cold winters coning up just because we had a hot dry summer...

Temperatures have been near average here, cloudy and dry.

Chch Airport has had 9 days this month with a max temp above 15C as has Ak Airport, Wellington Airport has had 2( from MetService web site)

Remember May and June had some significant stormy weather.

Starting to blow a bit of gale at times here,looking at my lawn its needing mowing,never needed to mow it before in July

Mod/strong WNW here in the last hour or so. Mild 14c currently after a light frost this morning.

Richard wrote:looking at my lawn its needing mowing,never needed to mow it before in July

Immmmmmmm Same here. Just had the rideon serviced

The gusty NW has lightened right off this morning,but at least its kept the frost away,6deg.

It was still over 10°C here at midnight with the NW but it died off at 1am allowing the air temp to drop to freezing by sunrise.

Beaut of a day here today. Blue dome skies, no wind to speak of and a warm 16 degrees.

Another mild day here with a high of 17 degrees.