Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Archive of NZ Weather & Climate
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.

For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
Orion
Posts: 3994
Joined: Sun 08/08/2010 16:49
Location: Ashburton, Mid-Canterbury, 110m asl.
Has thanked: 1367 times
Been thanked: 329 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Orion »

Richard wrote:
Orion wrote:Gave my Silverdale Spy a good 48 hours' notice of event to come.
You certainly have a vast network spies there Orion :B
They could be anywhere.... ;)
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posts: 18488
Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
Has thanked: 1769 times
Been thanked: 1412 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Looks like you guys will get good hammering like we got down here with this years "Big Blow", the other Tuesday night, judging by the isobars 8-o
Will put Michael's "SW Gales" to shame? :lol:
JohnGaul
NZThS
User avatar
littleheaven
Posts: 236
Joined: Thu 27/01/2011 10:55
Location: Auckland
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by littleheaven »

Crikey. The 2008 "weather bomb" was one of the few times we've had trees down in my street and power out (luckily I'd already filled a thermos of boiling water so I could heat the baby's bottle). Is it really likely to be that bad? I guess I should go haul the garden furniture somewhere safe tomorrow morning. If it's that serious, I am also surprised there isn't that much in the media. It's buried well down the Herald's main page and couldn't find it at all at the TVNZ news website. I've already warned my 72 year old Mum not to try going out (by bus) on Wednesday. But like someone said, not really a lot of time to get much of a warning out. I hope boat owners are securing their moorings.
Claire
Glenfield, Auckland
User avatar
Tornado Tim
Moderator
Posts: 4920
Joined: Sun 19/10/2008 17:17
Location: Raglan, Waikato / Hillcrest, Hamilton
Has thanked: 102 times
Been thanked: 202 times
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

Yes Media coverage of this event has been very poor! The major broadcasting networks have been so sucked up in the Americas cup that they are practically leaving this thing boil down until its in our backyard.
NZAPStrike.net - NZ Aus Pacific Strike Network
User avatar
spike_01
Posts: 668
Joined: Thu 25/08/2005 10:06
Location: Wellington
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by spike_01 »

Centre of the Low should be over Auckland about mid night tonight.. :eek:
User avatar
NZstorm
Posts: 11333
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
Has thanked: 342 times
Been thanked: 361 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by NZstorm »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Looks like you guys will get good hammering like we got down here with this years "Big Blow", the other Tuesday night, judging by the isobars 8-o
Will put Michael's "SW Gales" to shame? :lol:

It won't be as strong as Canterbury's big blow. The Canterbury N'Wester had a lot more breeze as you got the jet stream reinforcing the wind flow.
User avatar
Richard
Posts: 8369
Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
Has thanked: 1656 times
Been thanked: 800 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Richard »

And i would imagine too that this low coming will deliver a much more steady wind than N'Wester did,in between the gusts were periods of light wind ..well it was here,dont know about the rest of Canterbury.
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

the new low center will now need to move more S
otherwise its all going to be only a glancing blow...
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

and it appears its doing just that now...
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
jamie
Posts: 5907
Joined: Fri 25/02/2011 21:35
Location: Hamilton NZ
Has thanked: 22 times
Been thanked: 273 times
Contact:

Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by jamie »

Been a while since I've seen the rain radar fill in the way it is. Suggests a heck of a lot of rain to move it.
User avatar
David
Posts: 7578
Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
Location: Howick, Auckland
Has thanked: 416 times
Been thanked: 825 times
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by David »

The wind is obviously going to intensity really fast - only gusting 17 km/h in Howick at the moment.
Image
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

it is slowly increasing in the gulf....
it will ramp up quick...as the high to the south intensifies at the same time..

it is slowly increasing here
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

gusting to over 50 kts in the outer hauraki gulf now
already gusting to 27 kts here...
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
User avatar
David
Posts: 7578
Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
Location: Howick, Auckland
Has thanked: 416 times
Been thanked: 825 times
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by David »

Still only gusting 26 km/h in Howick, and we're not sheltered from the SSE here either :-k
Image
ben g
Posts: 166
Joined: Tue 20/03/2012 20:32
Location: Belmont,north shore, Auckland
Has thanked: 11 times
Been thanked: 4 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by ben g »

Metservice said on Facebook expect about a 29 hpa drop in the 24 hours till midnight. Awsome . Still only light breeze here.
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

gusting to 60 kts in the gulf now and steadily increasing
30 kt gusts here now
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
1peppers1
Posts: 1
Joined: Tue 24/09/2013 13:36
Location: Whakatane, New Zealand
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by 1peppers1 »

Tie down your trampolines, and no kayaking for a few more days!
User avatar
KiwiWeather
Posts: 403
Joined: Wed 01/02/2006 15:58
Location: South Auckland - NZ
Has thanked: 37 times
Been thanked: 32 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by KiwiWeather »

Hardly any wind here at all. Tree's barely moving and very light rain.
User avatar
David
Posts: 7578
Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
Location: Howick, Auckland
Has thanked: 416 times
Been thanked: 825 times
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by David »

Peopled_Diagram wrote:Hardly any wind here at all. Tree's barely moving and very light rain.
It seems most of the wind is staying out to sea, hasn't gusted past 30 km/h here yet. It's more of a southerly than a SE here so far. The rain had turned moderate now, 8mm total since 9am.
Image
User avatar
Tornado Tim
Moderator
Posts: 4920
Joined: Sun 19/10/2008 17:17
Location: Raglan, Waikato / Hillcrest, Hamilton
Has thanked: 102 times
Been thanked: 202 times
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

gusting up to 40 km/hr SE here atm....., 48 at Jamies place.
NZAPStrike.net - NZ Aus Pacific Strike Network
User avatar
Nev
Moderator
Posts: 6216
Joined: Tue 07/03/2006 15:24
Location: Waiheke Island, Hauraki Gulf
Has thanked: 468 times
Been thanked: 1064 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Nev »

Blog by MetService's John Law this arvo has a few recent stats...
Orion
Posts: 3994
Joined: Sun 08/08/2010 16:49
Location: Ashburton, Mid-Canterbury, 110m asl.
Has thanked: 1367 times
Been thanked: 329 times

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Orion »

Thanks for that link, Nev - looks full of information.
I notice on the Orewa webcam http://www.windsurf.co.nz/windsurf_cam_orewa.asp that the "ruffled zone" at the water's edge looks increasingly turbulent.
User avatar
David
Posts: 7578
Joined: Sat 18/08/2007 21:02
Location: Howick, Auckland
Has thanked: 416 times
Been thanked: 825 times
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by David »

Barometer falling really fast, 3 hPa drop during the last hour. Wind gusting 34 km/h from a 190° bearing (S), 18mm rain today
Image
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

gusting up to 75 kts now in the outer hauraki gulf (140kmh)
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
User avatar
Dale
Posts: 1070
Joined: Sun 27/07/2008 08:59
Location: Greymouth - Feral Coast.. NZ
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Re: Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

Unread post by Dale »

Starting to blow some nice gusts from the SE here in the Grey.. far away from the action up there, but not really complaining with sunset lenticulars!
Locked