Deep Subtropical Low - Sept 24-26

[Orion]

Gave my Silverdale Spy a good 48 hours' notice of event to come.

You certainly have a vast network spies there Orion

They could be anywhere....

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Looks like you guys will get good hammering like we got down here with this years "Big Blow", the other Tuesday night, judging by the isobars
Will put Michael's "SW Gales" to shame?

[littleheaven]

Crikey. The 2008 "weather bomb" was one of the few times we've had trees down in my street and power out (luckily I'd already filled a thermos of boiling water so I could heat the baby's bottle). Is it really likely to be that bad? I guess I should go haul the garden furniture somewhere safe tomorrow morning. If it's that serious, I am also surprised there isn't that much in the media. It's buried well down the Herald's main page and couldn't find it at all at the TVNZ news website. I've already warned my 72 year old Mum not to try going out (by bus) on Wednesday. But like someone said, not really a lot of time to get much of a warning out. I hope boat owners are securing their moorings.

[Tornado Tim]

Yes Media coverage of this event has been very poor! The major broadcasting networks have been so sucked up in the Americas cup that they are practically leaving this thing boil down until its in our backyard.

[spike_01]

Centre of the Low should be over Auckland about mid night tonight..

[NZstorm]

Looks like you guys will get good hammering like we got down here with this years "Big Blow", the other Tuesday night, judging by the isobars
Will put Michael's "SW Gales" to shame?

It won't be as strong as Canterbury's big blow. The Canterbury N'Wester had a lot more breeze as you got the jet stream reinforcing the wind flow.

[Richard]

And i would imagine too that this low coming will deliver a much more steady wind than N'Wester did,in between the gusts were periods of light wind ..well it was here,dont know about the rest of Canterbury.

[Manukau heads obs]

the new low center will now need to move more S
otherwise its all going to be only a glancing blow...

[Manukau heads obs]

and it appears its doing just that now...

[jamie]

Been a while since I've seen the rain radar fill in the way it is. Suggests a heck of a lot of rain to move it.

[David]

The wind is obviously going to intensity really fast - only gusting 17 km/h in Howick at the moment.

[Manukau heads obs]

it is slowly increasing in the gulf....
it will ramp up quick...as the high to the south intensifies at the same time..

it is slowly increasing here

[Manukau heads obs]

gusting to over 50 kts in the outer hauraki gulf now
already gusting to 27 kts here...

[David]

Still only gusting 26 km/h in Howick, and we're not sheltered from the SSE here either

[ben g]

Metservice said on Facebook expect about a 29 hpa drop in the 24 hours till midnight. Awsome . Still only light breeze here.

[Manukau heads obs]

gusting to 60 kts in the gulf now and steadily increasing
30 kt gusts here now

[1peppers1]

Tie down your trampolines, and no kayaking for a few more days!

[KiwiWeather]

Hardly any wind here at all. Tree's barely moving and very light rain.

[David]

Hardly any wind here at all. Tree's barely moving and very light rain.

It seems most of the wind is staying out to sea, hasn't gusted past 30 km/h here yet. It's more of a southerly than a SE here so far. The rain had turned moderate now, 8mm total since 9am.

[Tornado Tim]

gusting up to 40 km/hr SE here atm....., 48 at Jamies place.

[Nev]

Blog by MetService's John Law this arvo has a few recent stats...

[Orion]

Thanks for that link, Nev - looks full of information.
I notice on the Orewa webcam http://www.windsurf.co.nz/windsurf_cam_orewa.asp that the "ruffled zone" at the water's edge looks increasingly turbulent.

[David]

Barometer falling really fast, 3 hPa drop during the last hour. Wind gusting 34 km/h from a 190° bearing (S), 18mm rain today

[Manukau heads obs]

gusting up to 75 kts now in the outer hauraki gulf (140kmh)

[Dale]

Starting to blow some nice gusts from the SE here in the Grey.. far away from the action up there, but not really complaining with sunset lenticulars!