General November Weather

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 03/11/2013 21:14

Good to see less westerly in the modelling now, are we going to move into a Summer pattern early this year ? the Spring pattern seemed to start early this year.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 04/11/2013 18:09

Some convergence getting going basically right over me.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 04/11/2013 18:53

looks like hamilton is getting it. Im slightly too far north but looks great with the low sun getting in underneath the low dark clouds.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Mon 04/11/2013 19:37

Yea the convergence looks quite nice in the setting sun

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Wed 06/11/2013 09:38

already over 20°C here @ 9.30am. gunna be a warm one.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Thu 07/11/2013 12:21

Just thought I would note the amazing temps being recorded on the west coast in the last 2 days, both Hoki and Westport had 25C yesterday and are a little cooler today but up around 22C.
Recorded 27 days with rain at the bach last month so for the locals these temps must be bliss

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Thu 07/11/2013 13:20

another glorious day here today.
25.9°C at the moment which is what we maxed at yesterday.
not the hottest November temps I have recorded - got into the 27°C's twice in 2011.

and yes, a very pleasant change after a very wet and sodden September and October.
25 days with rain in October and from 20th September, we had 8 dry days until end of October.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 07/11/2013 22:14

Reefton can be up on the daily maximums for NZ but Met Service don't seem record them on their daily charts from what I can gather. Being inland, the town came get day's of 30C on dry days in the summer.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Fri 08/11/2013 06:18

Yes it seems that the Met Service only have recording equipment at Murchison instead,wonder which town would be the warmest.

Thin fog here this morning but looks to be a blue above it so maybe a warm one coming up here today.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Fri 08/11/2013 08:46

Low cloud coming in from the south now, so I suppose that's the end of our sunny morning.
13.8 deg. at present.

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Fri 08/11/2013 09:19

Metservice also have equipment at Springs Junction, but that's over 40km away and quite different climate wise than Reefton because it's more in the mountains - somewhat annoyingly, this is the info you see on Reefton's Metservice webpage.
Murchison would be more similar, even though it's 80km away.
NIWA do have a weather station in Reefton that's been running since the 1960's but it seems to get out of calibration quite regularly based on my observations.
Currently the average temps recorded by my (cheap) station and NIWA are virtually identical, but I record lower mins and higher max's than them.

as for daily highs getting up there - you're right, in summer it can be very warm. had 18 days of +30°C temps recorded last summer.

moylanr · Unread post by **moylanr** » Fri 08/11/2013 10:05

einzack wrote:Metservice also have equipment at Springs Junction, but that's over 40km away and quite different climate wise than Reefton because it's more in the mountains - somewhat annoyingly, this is the info you see on Reefton's Metservice webpage.
Murchison would be more similar, even though it's 80km away.
NIWA do have a weather station in Reefton that's been running since the 1960's but it seems to get out of calibration quite regularly based on my observations.
Currently the average temps recorded by my (cheap) station and NIWA are virtually identical, but I record lower mins and higher max's than them.

as for daily highs getting up there - you're right, in summer it can be very warm. had 18 days of +30°C temps recorded last summer.

eg of why I plan to vote for this forum on http://techday.com/webawards/ this month.

David · Unread post by **David** » Fri 08/11/2013 11:02

Looks like a taste of summer in the north Sunday/Monday? I see 850mb temps are forecast to be around 13C. Should get to 24C on those days maybe...

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Fri 08/11/2013 20:48

I spotted a brief funnel cloud this afternoon with a definite rope like figure on the weak CU convergence between NE/SW, quite surprising given the cloud tops were very low.
It looks like Sunday could be quite a warm day for the east of the south island, temperatures around 28-30C.
Nice for cup and show week though in Canterbury

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 08/11/2013 22:48

Storm Struck wrote:I spotted a brief funnel cloud this afternoon with a definite rope like figure on the weak CU convergence between NE/SW, quite surprising given the cloud tops were very low.

It was sort of interesting the way that it went from NE to a more southerly direction today. Felt a bit humid too, rather than a cooler feeling when the SW went through.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sat 09/11/2013 10:55

Yes looking warmer over the Country over the next few days, I am getting a forecasted high of up to 25 C with today up to 24.

Looks like the Ridge will sticking around for 8+ day's according to GFS, Back to more settled conditions, usual for November.

November going back to my records is always the driest month of the year.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 09/11/2013 17:59

Stable looking pattern for the country! And a blocking high next week.

A nice crop of elevated storms in the Tasman along the warm axis of air advecting off Aussie. Are these elevated storm events in the Tasman becoming more common?

David · Unread post by **David** » Sat 09/11/2013 18:07

A pretty cloudy day overall... just a few sunny spells in the afternoon. Hopefully tomorrow is nicer!

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 09/11/2013 18:22

David wrote:A pretty cloudy day overall... just a few sunny spells in the afternoon. Hopefully tomorrow is nicer!

Fine afternoon here. Air looks drier tomorrow. SE change late Monday.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 10/11/2013 09:49

A nice crop of elevated storms in the Tasman along the warm axis of air advecting off Aussie. Are these elevated storm events in the Tasman becoming more common?

My thinking here is that a hotter Australia leads to an increase in elevated convection over the Tasman Sea. This results in a higher incidence of elevated thunder events over the South Island and higher rainfall as well. Taking a long term perspective here, not just referring to this season.

Air looks drier tomorrow.

The opposite today, very moist and strocumulus.

GFS shows some convection over the inland Bay of Plenty tomorrow. Upper air is warm so surface temps would have to get quite high.

David · Unread post by **David** » Sun 10/11/2013 10:03

NZstorm wrote: The opposite today, very moist and strocumulus.

Is there an inversion due to the warm upper air?
I was surprised to see another overcast morning

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Sun 10/11/2013 10:10

Very moist conditions here. The sort we would expect late afternoon heat thunder if we were in the height of summer.

Still tho MS are saying 25 for here tomorrow.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 10/11/2013 11:04

Typical November weather with the cloud cover on an anticyclonic southwesterly here, usually a sunny or partly sunny afternoon with this pattern, looks like a mostly sunny week ahead with the flow going southeast

David · Unread post by **David** » Sun 10/11/2013 11:53

spwill wrote:Typical November weather with the cloud cover on an anticyclonic southwesterly here, usually a sunny or partly sunny afternoon with this pattern, looks like a mostly sunny week ahead with the flow going southeast

By the time the flow goes southeast the warm upper air will be gone

Was hoping for an early taste of summer but it looks like we'll miss out this time...

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sun 10/11/2013 13:44

21C and a DP of 17C atm with mostly cloudy conditions. Would have to clear a bit more to get the foretasted high today of 24.

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