General November Weather

[moylanr]

Any recommendation as to the best publically available forecast for Waikato/Bay of Plenty area over the next week please?

By best I dont mean pleasant+, I mean useful for holiday planning.

[spwill]

Any recommendation as to the best publically available forecast for Waikato/Bay of Plenty area over the next week please?
.

Use Metservice and follow this forum. Models are currently pointing to a spell of humid wet weather from next Wednesday.

[moylanr]

Any recommendation as to the best publically available forecast for Waikato/Bay of Plenty area over the next week please?
.

Use Metservice and follow this forum. Models are currently pointing to a spell of humid wet weather from next Wednesday.

Looking for alternatives to Metservice due to:

"7. The weather forecasters here suck! Far worse than average. We were supposed to have four or five solid days of rain this week. We’ve had one. It’s been bright, sunny, and beautiful since then. That said, New Zealand CAN do a decent thunderstorm. As a midwesterner used to frequent, tornado-inducing thunderstorms, I was impressed by one the other night. Kudos, New Zealand weather. Kudos."

extracted from a travel blog entitled "Month Two Recap – Strange Things About New Zealand" posted last weekend.

[Manukau heads obs]

I wonder where that forecast was for?

[moylanr]

I guess Hamilton, Hobbiton area.

[spwill]

Midwest USA might be an easier place to forecast than NZ, USA does have a very good weather service.

[NZstorm]

Looks to be a marginal set up for thunder/severe hail in Canterbury later today. UKmet triggers onshore flow/convection early afternoon starting over east North Otago. But GFS keeps a dry westerly and triggers onshore flow/convection coastal mid Canterbury/BP later in the day.

EDIT This post was placed under December weather in error.

[NZstorm]

Midwest USA might be an easier place to forecast than NZ, USA does have a very good weather service.

I think the problem in this country is funding.
Geography is much less relevant now than it was 20 years ago.

[Manukau heads obs]

we though do not have as much up wind weather data...i.e not alot of data reporting from the tasman sea as you would get say in the midwest

[Orion]

I'm just keeping an eye on a patch of dark grey and white cloud not too far to my south-east; it seems to be getting raggedy and a bit turbulent-looking.
Gusty winds from west or NW; probably about 21 degrees (my outside thermometer not in a good spot, sorry).

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Cumulus forms are bubbling up to the south of here at the moment, although a bit flat.
The persistent high cloud layer (Jet) to the north of us gradually moving away allowing the sun to become "more sunnier?"
Could be a clap or two later this afternoon as long as we don't get nay hail with it

[jamie]

I wasn't expecting this much wind today. My 64km/h alarm on the weather station keeps going off.

[laye]

Dubcity = Whangarei...
Well whanau..
The weathers great here..
Sunny/cloudy 60/40 ratio..
Slight breeze with the odd. tad harder gusts..
Most dub citians have gone beach..
Ok ... Me too ... Sandy Bay here I come !!

[David]

We've reached 25.4°C here today. The NW is blustery but it blows over quite a bit of land before it gets here, hence it's a warm wind in summer

[Tornado Tim]

Some very contrasting upper air temps number this afternoon. Warm over the North of country, cold over the south.

Cloudy to overcast this afternoon, with a brisk NW.

[jamie]

I think a gust to 80 might be possible on the arrival of this front. Been getting to 70 already.

[jamie]

Too easy! Just tipped 82km/h. Maybe 90km/h might be on the cards

[ben g]

Very windy here just lost power for 20 mins,I'm assuming something wind related. fire service being called out for a few trees and power lines down around Auckland .

[Manukau heads obs]

yes, 100kmh gusts here
lots of sand blowing down the coast line

some mist and low cloud now

very normal for time of year

[Manukau heads obs]

SW wind change through here now with brief heavy shower of rain

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

SW wind change through here now with brief heavy shower of rain

That's nice
Sorry for being a bit late with this. Congrats on your 10000 postings, Brian

[Manukau heads obs]

do I get a medal with that?
I see I joined the forum 10 years ago too
thats another medal surely

[spwill]

do I get a medal with that?
I see I joined the forum 10 years ago too
thats another medal surely

We all know a bit more about the climate of Manakau Heads, well done Brian

One of the better Novembers here, the last two weeks had an average max of around 24C , 4C above the Nov average.

[Nev]

Akld, Tauranga and Hamilton all smashed their highest ever Nov average max-temp records this month, while Wgtn recorded its 2nd-equal highest average mean-temp.

Below are some very preliminary figures ℅ NIWA…

Code: Select all

Nov 2013 Average Temps (°C) and their departure from normal

Site                        T-max          T-min         T-mean 

Auckland, Mangere        21.8  +2.4     13.8  +1.0     17.8  +1.7
Auckland Aero            21.6  +2.1     13.5  +0.7     17.6  +1.4
Tauranga Aero            22.3  +2.2     13.1  +1.4     17.7  +1.8
Hamilton Aero            22.1  +2.2     10.1  +0.6     16.1  +1.4
Hamilton, Ruakura        23.6  +3.7      9.6  -0.3     16.6  +1.7
Wellington, Kelburn      17.8  +1.3     11.4  +1.1     14.6  +1.2
Christchurch Aero        19.0  +0.1      8.9  +0.9     13.9  +0.5
Dunedin, Musselburgh     16.5  +0.4      9.8  +1.2     13.1  +0.7 

Edit: Amended Dunedin normals and updated Akld & Chch Aero T-mins and T-means.

[Manukau heads obs]

yes, 1.5C warmer than 'normal' here for me ...it was the last 2 weeks that did that alright