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Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 12:22
by NZstorm
Plenty of t/cu out there but also Stratocu indicating that a little bit of warming starting to happen aloft.

Will be keeping an eye on the convergence line this afternoon and looking at going for a drive down to the Hauraki Plains.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 12:40
by David
CB growing to my south, starting to get a wispy top to it. It's quite close to here.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 12:53
by jamie
Contemplating heading towards Paeroa way. The stuff developing on the west side of the coromandel peninsula might grow south into the hauraki plains.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 12:55
by David
Starting to rain here now. We reached 21C earlier so lots of heating going on :)

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 12:57
by NZstorm
Glaciated cb with heavy precip over east Auckland.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 13:12
by David
Not much at all from that CB here!

Updated thunderstorm outlook
ThunderstormOutlook081113.png
Issued at: 12:51pm Friday 8 Nov 2013

Updated 12:40pm Friday to include a moderate risk of SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS for southern districts of Auckland, through inland and eastern parts of Waikato,including the Coromandel Peninsula.

Upper level temperatures remain relatively cold over the North Island during today, and conditions are likely to be favourable for the development of thunderstorms from Northland down to the central North Island high country and inland Hawkes Bay. There is a moderate to high risk of thunderstorms developing in these areas, especially during the afternoon. These thunderstorms are likely to be accompanied by localised heavy rain with intensities of 10 to 25mm per hour and hail of 10 to 20mm in diameter. Additionally, there is a moderate risk of SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS forming during the afternoon about the ranges of Gisborne and northern Hawkes Bay, across to Taupo and Tongariro National Park, and also about southern districts of Auckland, through inland and eastern parts of Waikato, including the Coromandel Peninsula. Localised downpours with rain rates of 25-35 mm/hr are likely with these SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

Additionally, there is also a low risk of isolated thunderstorms over the Wanganui hill country, the ranges of northern Manawatu and the ranges of Nelson this afternoon.

Note, thunderstorm activity is expected to decrease in most areas early Friday evening.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 13:13
by jamie
Ah you beat me to it David. Was just doing the same.

Wind has almost stalled now and strong heating occuring. Great stuff!

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 13:34
by KiwiWeather
Thunder and rain here.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 13:56
by David
We have lost the sea breeze here, now a westerly :(

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 14:33
by jamie
Port Waikato storm just exploded to having green on the radar. Tim and I between morronsville and te aroha.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 14:47
by ben g
E Sea breeze only just arriving in orewa now,

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 14:54
by Weather Watcher
jamie wrote:Port Waikato storm just exploded to having green on the radar. Tim and I between morronsville and te aroha.
Wouldn't you be better off further west?. Currently easterly across Waikato/Hamilton, with westerly sea breezes along the west coast. Port Waikato storm reflects this. Models suggest convergence stays about and west of Hamilton.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 15:18
by David
Looks like some thunder activity around the Manukau Harbour going by the radar and lightning tracker. West coast getting it again...

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 15:21
by jamie
Yea we are now east ohinewai.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 15:40
by cbm
View from desk ATM.
S2440002.JPG

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 15:55
by spwill
Small hail with the heavy shower here near Bombay

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 15:58
by Manukau heads obs
the port waikato CB from just south of Waiuku :)
(2:45pm)

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 16:04
by spwill
Small funnel cloud observed near Bombay

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 16:47
by GreggWard
Brian, from the latest radar it looks like another storm heading your way.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 16:50
by Manukau heads obs
yes, that CB over Pukekohe is impressive from here

strong sea breeze here though...it will pass up through the manukau I suggest

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 17:01
by NZstorm
Worked at Mission Bay for the afternoon and got a couple of heavy showers coming up from the south.
Looks like another cb over South Auckland moving this way.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 17:46
by spwill
Went down to Bombay mid afternoon, heavy showers around but the thunder activity was very isolated today.
Small hail and a funnel cloud observed, some photos from my afternoon

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 18:22
by NZstorm
Another funnel spwill. =D>

That upper trough pulled out fairly quickly this afternoon, faster than midnight gfs was indicating.

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 18:32
by Thunder
Nice funnel Spwill \:D/

Re: Tasman Low- Storms and Rain - 4th to 9th Nov

Posted: Fri 08/11/2013 18:53
by GreggWard
NZstorm wrote: That upper trough pulled out fairly quickly this afternoon, faster than midnight gfs was indicating.
Yes, you could see showers via the radar imagery, which built over the central NI early afternoon, die out as the afternoon progressed.

Good photos spwill.