NZ Weather Forum

Just looking at the latest weather data and it seems very cold but also wet and windy for eastern parts of the country coming up this week-yuk! Are we all thinking it's looking fairly average?
http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast ... noofdays=7

Monday looks icy with some coastal lightning/small hail a possibility given the airmass is so cold and sea temps quite warm. Both Christchurch and Wellington should hear thunder.

Tuesday has the low pressure system deepening out to the east of the country. Something to watch.

GFS 4 day rainfall prediction for what its worth.

I think it will be a windy, as well as, a wet southerly this coming week with that depression out to the east of Canterbury/Otago really revving it up.

Yes ,i see models showing 50mm to 80mm over two days for some towns in Canterbury,great to get that much rain early autumn,might even get field mushrooms popping up.

It's time for a downpour, well, heavy rain or substantial rain and this system could deliver, as a result of a series of events, developing to the east of the SI.
Warm seas, cold upper air temperatures, etc., you have the ingredients.

Yes looks a perfect setup for flooding type rains some were in canterbury
Looks a lot like a late winter or sept oct type wet windy system we get here in Canterbury and I wouldn't be surprised if the wind flow was more on shore than the forecast has it.

Sure has got off to a wet start after it arrived with a thump and gale around 5am

Queenstown, currently 4.2C in showery weather, luckily the NZ Golf Open finished yesterday.

Yes Gale early this morning when the rains arrived. Clearing now but still only 7deg. Expect more rain this afternoon before clearing overnight and returning with a vengeance tomorrow morning! Very cold times!

Sea temps as Nzstorm has mentioned and given enough daytime heating before the trough arrives this arvo should spark up thunderstorms/hail. Heres hoping!

Here's hoping aright,gees ive done a lot of hoping this summer

120-150mm possible for the Peninsula according to latest Metservice warnings...thats rather damp

Richard wrote:Here's hoping aright,gees ive done a lot of hoping this summer

Your more enclined to get the inland heat showers when they accour Richard. . Hasnt been the best season for that unfortunately

Yes the last three summer really,the storms that move from the N & NE have just not happened

a cold 8.2°C and light rain.
just before 4am turned southerly and dropped from a balmy 12.1°C and haven't got near it since.

About to turn showery here in town. Chain showers lining up on radar. Pretty sure I just heard thunder too

Just had a brief hail shower here stones up to pea sized, and another one developing now with the odd stone in the mix.
Autumn sure is here early this year.

Looks nasty to my SW and S at present, big squall line approaching. Have a great view out the 5th floor of my CBD vantage point

we just had a very impressive hail storm pass through.
hail up to 10-15cm across for 5 or so mins.
never seen anything like it.
tried to grab a photo and video but might have been too late.
temp dropped from 14.9°C at 3:23pm to 7.4°C now 20min's later.

Very heavy hail shower here 10 mins ago

No rain in Welly yet, but won't be long..

Temp dropping..

Razor wrote:Looks nasty to my SW and S at present, big squall line approaching. Have a great view out the 5th floor of my CBD vantage point

I do miss my pre-eq view from the 7th floor in the CBD on days like today.

Nice Cb and Cu forms going up to the west at the moment

Distend rumble to the west a few moments ago.

This afternoon has seen passing showers with one very heavy one at 3.00,been westerly most of the day but has turned more S in the last half hour

The skies today have been delivering weather that you would expect in June or July